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PolyPnL
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$1.25
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Save
Created
December 15, 2024
Active
July 27, 2026
Balance
$1.56
Incoming
+$310.21
Rewards
+$54.08
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 25
Sep 2
Sep 9
Sep 17
Sep 24
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 390
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
+$0.02
+0.2%
$21.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$21.18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
+$0.02
+0.2%
$21.20
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$21.20
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
-$0.99
-50.0%
$2.97
Yes
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Yes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-50.0%
Volume
$2.97
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
+$0.07
+0.6%
$21.12
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$21.12
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
+$0.39
+6.3%
$12.67
Active
2mo ago
Active
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$12.67
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
+$0.22
+16.1%
$2.97
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$2.97
impeachment
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
-$0.01
-0.1%
$20.98
Active
2mo ago
impeachment
Active
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$20.98
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
-$0.28
-9.0%
$6.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-9.0%
Volume
$6.01
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
-$0.04
-1.0%
$8.44
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-1.0%
Volume
$8.44
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
+$2.99
+4.3%
$141.90
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.99
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$141.90
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$0.01
+6.7%
$0.34
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$0.34
spx-daily-up-or-down
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
-$1.79
-4.9%
$71.77
Up
2mo ago
spx-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.79
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$71.77
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
-$0.05
-0.0%
$218.14
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$218.14
yoon-out
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
+$0.06
+3.7%
$3.49
fee: $0.01
Active
2mo ago
yoon-out
Active
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$3.49
fee: $0.01
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$3.44
+1.2%
$572.05
No
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.44
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$572.05
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
+$2.28
+2.5%
$185.95
No
2mo ago
No
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.28
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$185.95
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$0.13
+11.6%
$2.38
No
2mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$2.38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
+$0.09
+2.3%
$8.25
fee: $0.02
Active
2mo ago
Active
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$8.25
fee: $0.02
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
-$0.01
-0.5%
$2.57
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$2.57
israel-x-lebanon-relations
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
+$0.94
+3.7%
$51.52
Active
2mo ago
israel-x-lebanon-relations
Active
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.94
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$51.52
P
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$0.91
+3.1%
$59.97
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$59.97
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$5.42
+0.3%
$3.55K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.42
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$3.55K
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
-$2.74
-5.7%
$93.17
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.74
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$93.17
fee: $0.01
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
+$0.17
+0.2%
$150.23
No
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
No
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.17
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$150.23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
-$0.73
-2.4%
$60.54
No
2mo ago
No
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.73
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$60.54
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
+$0.02
+0.1%
$38.55
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$38.55
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?
-$2.03
-6.4%
$61.53
Down
2mo ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.03
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$61.53
us-forces-in-gaza
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
+$0.33
+1.7%
$38.61
Active
2mo ago
us-forces-in-gaza
Active
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$38.61
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$0.43
+4.7%
$18.48
Yes
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+4.7%
Volume
$18.48
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$0.67
+0.5%
$278.66
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$278.66
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
+$0.24
+1.3%
$38.03
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$38.03
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
+$0.88
+4.3%
$41.58
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$41.58
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
+$0.33
+5.5%
$12.43
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$12.43
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
+$0.92
+1.0%
$177.78
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.92
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$177.78
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$0.04
+66.7%
$0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+66.7%
Volume
$0.18
abraham-accords-new-member
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
+$0.23
+0.7%
$63.02
Active
2mo ago
abraham-accords-new-member
Active
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$63.02
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$0.10
+90.0%
$0.32
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+90.0%
Volume
$0.32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$0.25
+0.3%
$161.45
No
2mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$161.45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$372.63
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$372.63
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
-$0.45
-0.3%
$356.44
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$356.44
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
+$2.25
+2.8%
$164.92
Active
2mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
Active
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.25
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$164.92
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$1.71
+1.8%
$195.01
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.71
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$195.01
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$0.34
+2.2%
$30.83
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$30.83
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
+$0.11
+1.1%
$20.46
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$20.46
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
+$0.96
+3.0%
$65.63
No
2mo ago
No
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$65.63
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
+$0.03
+0.1%
$61.48
Active
2mo ago
Active
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$61.48
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
+$2.28
+78.1%
$8.12
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.28
ROI
+78.1%
Volume
$8.12
ukraine-joins-nato
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
+$0.02
+0.3%
$9.90
Active
2mo ago
ukraine-joins-nato
Active
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$9.90
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
-$0.82
-3.3%
$48.35
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.82
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$48.35
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
-$0.63
-9.0%
$13.31
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-9.0%
Volume
$13.31
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
+$0.04
+39.0%
$0.24
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+39.0%
Volume
$0.24
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
+$0.63
+2.2%
$58.90
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$58.90
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
-$0.69
-0.7%
$191.50
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.69
ROI
-0.7%
Volume
$191.50
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
+$0.09
+66.7%
$0.35
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+66.7%
Volume
$0.35
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?
+$0.65
+84.3%
$2.21
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+84.3%
Volume
$2.21
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
+$0.11
+1.8%
$12.21
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$12.21
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$0.69
-1.3%
$102.00
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.69
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$102.00
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?
-$4.27
-9.2%
$88.46
Down
2mo ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.27
ROI
-9.2%
Volume
$88.46
spx-daily-up-or-down
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
+$0.22
+1.4%
$32.11
Down
2mo ago
spx-daily-up-or-down
Down
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$32.11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$0.14
-0.1%
$289.38
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$289.38
china-invade-taiwan
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
+$0.03
+0.1%
$93.27
Active
2mo ago
china-invade-taiwan
Active
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$93.27
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
-$0.40
-0.5%
$166.83
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$166.83
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
-$0.08
-0.6%
$23.40
No
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$23.40
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
+$1.65
+7.5%
$45.87
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.65
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$45.87
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
+$31.70
+20.2%
$346.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$31.70
ROI
+20.2%
Volume
$346.00
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
+$0.12
+0.3%
$79.60
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$79.60
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
+$0.55
+4.6%
$24.53
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$24.53
P
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
+$3.22
+3.3%
$198.79
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.22
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$198.79
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$0.10
+0.3%
$63.26
No
2mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$63.26
iran-nuke
Iran Nuke before 2027?
+$0.03
+0.3%
$20.23
Active
2mo ago
iran-nuke
Active
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$20.23
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
-$5.60
-13.2%
$79.29
Up
2mo ago
Up
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-13.2%
Volume
$79.29
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
+$6.04
+2.7%
$461.20
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.04
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$461.20
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
+$4.89
+1.6%
$603.63
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.89
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$603.63
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
+$0.10
+1.7%
$12.10
Active
2mo ago
Active
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$12.10
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?
+$0.83
+0.6%
$258.73
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.83
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$258.73
P
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
+$6.95
+2.2%
$628.58
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.95
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$628.58
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
-$1.06
-22.0%
$8.61
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-22.0%
Volume
$8.61
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
+$1.23
+0.6%
$413.05
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$413.05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
-$0.37
-0.5%
$141.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.37
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$141.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
-$2.19
-0.8%
$562.64
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.19
ROI
-0.8%
Volume
$562.64
US military draft authorized in 2026?
+$0.22
+0.5%
$91.85
Active
2mo ago
Active
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$91.85
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
-$4.51
-47.1%
$14.63
Yes
2mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.51
ROI
-47.1%
Volume
$14.63
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
—
—
$24.86
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.86
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
+$0.21
+0.2%
$267.63
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$267.63
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
-$9.83
-25.9%
$66.09
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.83
ROI
-25.9%
Volume
$66.09
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
+$1.89
+5.9%
$65.84
No
2mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.89
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$65.84
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
+$1.56
+1.4%
$222.41
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.56
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$222.41
oil-daily-up-or-down
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?
-$4.48
-5.1%
$171.42
Up
2mo ago
oil-daily-up-or-down
Up
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.48
ROI
-5.1%
Volume
$171.42
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
+$0.11
+0.2%
$90.59
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$90.59
spx-daily-up-or-down
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?
-$0.19
-1.1%
$35.58
Up
2mo ago
spx-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$35.58
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
+$0.50
+1.6%
$62.38
No
2mo ago
No
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$62.38
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
-$2.05
-9.5%
$40.91
Up
2mo ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Up
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-9.5%
Volume
$40.91
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
+$4.53
+15.2%
$63.93
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.53
ROI
+15.2%
Volume
$63.93
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
-$0.11
-0.2%
$123.18
No
2mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$123.18
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
-$0.59
-2.8%
$41.76
Yes
2mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$41.76
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
-$8.89
-1.6%
$1.08K
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.89
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$1.08K
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
-$0.18
-0.4%
$79.97
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$79.97
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?
+$0.11
+0.4%
$54.31
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+0.4%
Volume
$54.31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
+$0.76
+4.0%
$39.16
Active
2mo ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$39.16
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?
-$0.02
-0.1%
$81.00
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$81.00
390 Markets
•
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