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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.36
farmoor2
farmoor2
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Save
Created
August 6, 2026
Active
September 18, 2026
Balance
$45.52
Incoming
+$1.20K
Rewards
+$221.88
Outgoing
-$652.46
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$3.47
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 23
Aug 30
Sep 7
Sep 14
Sep 22
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$1.84
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +33.2%
Economy
+$1.23
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +3.4%
Crypto
+$0.40
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +1.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$135.56
100.0%
Taker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Ratio
0%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$1.00
ROI
8.6%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$24.20
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$3.47
ROI
5.2%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$135.56
Fee
$0.00
4 Wins in 4 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 135
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
gdp-quarterly
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
+$1.00
+8.6%
$24.20
Active
3d ago
gdp-quarterly
Active
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
Active 3d ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$24.20
P
median-home-price-us
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
+$0.23
+0.9%
$50.84
Active
20d ago
P
median-home-price-us
Active
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
Active 20d ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$50.84
third-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$1.84
+33.2%
$12.92
Active
23d ago
third-best-ai-company
Active
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
+$1.84
ROI
+33.2%
Volume
$12.92
P
StripChain FDV above $80M one day after launch?
+$0.40
+1.6%
$47.60
Active
26d ago
P
Active
StripChain FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Active 26d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$47.60
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
-$6.60
-16.3%
$80.19
Active
1mo ago
second-largest-company
Active
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.60
ROI
-16.3%
Volume
$80.19
P
median-home-price-us
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
-$2.36
-8.6%
$52.83
Active
1mo ago
P
median-home-price-us
Active
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.36
ROI
-8.6%
Volume
$52.83
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
-$9.68
-7.3%
$267.16
Yes
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$9.68
ROI
-7.3%
Volume
$267.16
P
core-pce-mom
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?
+$1.20
+7.3%
$40.40
Yes
1mo ago
P
core-pce-mom
Yes
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$40.40
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$7.60
-19.7%
$77.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.60
ROI
-19.7%
Volume
$77.60
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$1.53
+20.2%
$17.05
Yes
1mo ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Yes
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$1.53
ROI
+20.2%
Volume
$17.05
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.80
-2.9%
$60.80
Yes
1mo ago
third-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$60.80
P
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
+$1.02
+8.6%
$24.70
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$24.70
P
university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?
-$6.20
-100.0%
$6.20
No
1mo ago
P
university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment
No
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$6.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.20
1-us-netflix-show
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
+$1.72
+12.4%
$13.92
Yes
1mo ago
1-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.72
ROI
+12.4%
Volume
$13.92
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
-$28.02
-21.1%
$272.52
No
1mo ago
No
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$28.02
ROI
-21.1%
Volume
$272.52
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
-$15.67
-18.3%
$186.70
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.67
ROI
-18.3%
Volume
$186.70
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
-$6.88
-38.2%
$26.88
No
1mo ago
No
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.88
ROI
-38.2%
Volume
$26.88
P
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
-$2.22
-11.0%
$42.22
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$2.22
ROI
-11.0%
Volume
$42.22
2-us-netflix-movie
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
-$15.14
-63.1%
$46.14
Yes
1mo ago
2-us-netflix-movie
Yes
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.14
ROI
-63.1%
Volume
$46.14
livebench-overall-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
+$0.12
+1.4%
$12.90
Active
1mo ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$12.90
P
inflation-china-annual
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
+$16.00
+227.3%
$24.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
inflation-china-annual
Yes
Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.00
ROI
+227.3%
Volume
$24.00
chinese-ai-2
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$0.72
-18.0%
$20.72
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-2
No
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-18.0%
Volume
$20.72
Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?
-$5.96
-100.0%
$5.96
No
1mo ago
No
Will New People win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?
Settled 48m ago
PnL
-$5.96
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.96
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?
-$1.90
-2.0%
$131.89
No
1mo ago
No
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$131.89
P
university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?
-$0.08
-1.3%
$18.63
No
1mo ago
P
university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment
No
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.08
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$18.63
hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?
-$0.50
-2.2%
$30.71
Yes
1mo ago
hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature
Yes
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$30.71
Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?
—
—
$0.28
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will New People win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.28
P
Will Trump say "Gold" or "Silver" during Friday roundtable?
+$7.22
+76.8%
$12.78
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Gold" or "Silver" during Friday roundtable?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.22
ROI
+76.8%
Volume
$12.78
Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?
-$1.34
-97.2%
$12.49
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will CPRF win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.34
ROI
-97.2%
Volume
$12.49
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?
-$5.03
-55.9%
$16.29
No
1mo ago
No
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.03
ROI
-55.9%
Volume
$16.29
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
+$0.18
+1.0%
$30.82
No
1mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
No
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$30.82
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
-$3.18
-14.0%
$39.18
Yes
1mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Yes
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.18
ROI
-14.0%
Volume
$39.18
P
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?
-$2.54
-55.5%
$22.54
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.54
ROI
-55.5%
Volume
$22.54
P
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$4.60
-34.8%
$24.60
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.60
ROI
-34.8%
Volume
$24.60
P
Will Trump say "Clean Coal" or "Beautiful Coal" during Friday roundtable?
+$0.17
+0.6%
$59.82
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Clean Coal" or "Beautiful Coal" during Friday roundtable?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.17
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$59.82
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
-$6.25
-8.4%
$136.24
No
1mo ago
No
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.25
ROI
-8.4%
Volume
$136.24
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
+$0.35
+10.5%
$9.65
Yes
1mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$9.65
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
+$3.59
+6.3%
$86.40
No
1mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
No
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.59
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$86.40
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
+$1.12
+6.8%
$33.21
No
1mo ago
trump-truth-social
No
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.12
ROI
+6.8%
Volume
$33.21
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
-$5.20
-76.9%
$11.20
No
1mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
No
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-76.9%
Volume
$11.20
P
ism-services-pmi
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?
-$6.40
-18.5%
$66.40
No
1mo ago
P
ism-services-pmi
No
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in August?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$6.40
ROI
-18.5%
Volume
$66.40
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$18.84
-21.6%
$177.84
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Tony" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$18.84
ROI
-21.6%
Volume
$177.84
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
-$9.33
-74.5%
$28.33
No
1mo ago
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.33
ROI
-74.5%
Volume
$28.33
airbnb-hit-price-weekly
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?
-$40.43
-99.5%
$40.92
Yes
1mo ago
airbnb-hit-price-weekly
Yes
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of August 3 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$40.43
ROI
-99.5%
Volume
$40.92
3rd-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
-$0.15
-4.8%
$5.15
Active
1mo ago
3rd-largest-company
Active
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$5.15
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$4.88
-21.5%
$50.88
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Tony" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.88
ROI
-21.5%
Volume
$50.88
nycmayor-tweets
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
-$6.40
-100.0%
$6.40
Yes
1mo ago
nycmayor-tweets
Yes
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.40
P
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
-$3.15
-22.1%
$20.99
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$3.15
ROI
-22.1%
Volume
$20.99
2-us-netflix-show
Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
-$2.60
-52.0%
$22.60
Yes
1mo ago
2-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.60
ROI
-52.0%
Volume
$22.60
P
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
-$7.56
-29.8%
$51.56
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$7.56
ROI
-29.8%
Volume
$51.56
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
-$0.16
-0.5%
$84.08
Yes
1mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.16
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$84.08
spx-open-daily-up-or-down
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7?
+$18.44
+47.0%
$61.56
Up
1mo ago
spx-open-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$18.44
ROI
+47.0%
Volume
$61.56
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$9.76
-74.2%
$35.76
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Tony" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.76
ROI
-74.2%
Volume
$35.76
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$1.56
-5.9%
$73.56
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Tony" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.56
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$73.56
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$7.26
-11.5%
$122.17
No
1mo ago
No
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.26
ROI
-11.5%
Volume
$122.17
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
—
—
$20.00
Yes
1mo ago
second-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$17.58
-37.5%
$77.58
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$17.58
ROI
-37.5%
Volume
$77.58
third-best-ai-company
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
-$3.40
-37.8%
$43.40
Active
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Active
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.40
ROI
-37.8%
Volume
$43.40
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
-$3.60
-100.0%
$3.60
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Settled 21h ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.60
P
jolts
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in July?
-$1.82
-12.5%
$29.34
No
1mo ago
P
jolts
No
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in July?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$1.82
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$29.34
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?
+$0.04
+1.1%
$19.96
No
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$19.96
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
-$3.81
-82.9%
$7.81
No
1mo ago
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.81
ROI
-82.9%
Volume
$7.81
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
-$34.45
-75.0%
$59.45
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$34.45
ROI
-75.0%
Volume
$59.45
taipei-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
-$13.88
-23.9%
$136.41
Yes
1mo ago
taipei-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$13.88
ROI
-23.9%
Volume
$136.41
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?
-$0.40
-100.0%
$0.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?
Settled 48m ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.40
jeddah-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?
+$8.51
+86.9%
$11.49
Yes
1mo ago
jeddah-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.51
ROI
+86.9%
Volume
$11.49
Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
—
—
$4.74
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.74
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$15.53
-67.5%
$45.68
No
1mo ago
No
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.53
ROI
-67.5%
Volume
$45.68
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$2.20
-16.2%
$22.20
No
1mo ago
No
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.20
ROI
-16.2%
Volume
$22.20
P
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
+$5.52
+102.2%
$20.48
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.52
ROI
+102.2%
Volume
$20.48
top-netflix-show-week
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
-$9.20
-100.0%
$9.20
Yes
1mo ago
top-netflix-show-week
Yes
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.20
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$1.76
Active
1mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Active
Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.76
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$6.63
Active
1mo ago
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.63
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$0.60
-3.0%
$40.60
No
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
No
Will "Tony" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-3.0%
Volume
$40.60
P
core-pce-yoy
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
—
—
$20.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
core-pce-yoy
Yes
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
Will New People win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?
—
—
$0.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will New People win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.20
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
—
—
$20.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$0.18
+1.5%
$19.82
Yes
1mo ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$19.82
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Tony" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$1.40
-100.0%
$1.40
Yes
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Yes
Will "Tony" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.40
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$19.40
-47.3%
$79.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$19.40
ROI
-47.3%
Volume
$79.40
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
+$1.15
+10.5%
$16.45
No
1mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
No
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$16.45
P
jolts
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in July?
-$5.52
-48.6%
$13.98
No
1mo ago
P
jolts
No
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in July?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$5.52
ROI
-48.6%
Volume
$13.98
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$23.11
-89.9%
$41.63
No
1mo ago
No
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$23.11
ROI
-89.9%
Volume
$41.63
1-us-netflix-movie
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
-$8.74
-100.0%
$8.74
Yes
1mo ago
1-us-netflix-movie
Yes
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.74
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$8.74
third-best-math-ai
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$3.46
-100.0%
$3.46
No
1mo ago
third-best-math-ai
No
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$3.46
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.46
P
Will StripChain launch a token by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$23.60
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will StripChain launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$23.60
P
inflation-china-annual
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
-$1.12
-100.0%
$1.12
No
1mo ago
P
inflation-china-annual
No
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.12
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.12
P
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?
-$3.12
-100.0%
$3.12
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$3.12
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.12
best-ai-agent
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
Yes
1mo ago
best-ai-agent
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.00
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7?
+$3.85
+35.2%
$21.15
No
1mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.85
ROI
+35.2%
Volume
$21.15
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?
+$0.63
+1.0%
$126.03
Yes
1mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$126.03
paris-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?
+$0.24
+3.3%
$15.00
Yes
1mo ago
paris-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$15.00
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
+$0.94
+5.1%
$19.06
No
1mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.94
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$19.06
Will Michelle Bolsonaro be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?
-$4.68
-100.0%
$4.68
No
1mo ago
No
Will Michelle Bolsonaro be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.68
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.68
P
ism-manufacturing-pmi
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
-$2.02
-100.0%
$2.02
No
1mo ago
P
ism-manufacturing-pmi
No
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.02
oil-daily-up-or-down
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?
+$0.20
+2.1%
$19.80
Down
1mo ago
oil-daily-up-or-down
Down
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$19.80
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
—
—
$8.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.00
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
-$0.62
-100.0%
$0.62
Yes
1mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Yes
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.62
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.62
shanghai-daily-lowest-temperature
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?
+$0.17
+0.7%
$45.42
No
1mo ago
shanghai-daily-lowest-temperature
No
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.17
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$45.42
P
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
—
—
$1.60
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.60
135 Markets
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