KiruaTradingKiruaTrading

View on Polymarket

Created December 22, 2025

Active July 7, 2026

Balance$3.74K

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$8.38K

Apr 28

May 15

Jun 2

Jun 19

Jul 7

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Economy+$139.53

WR: 75.0%(3/4)

ROI: +9.3%

Sports+$44.99

WR: 50.0%(1/2)

ROI: +81.8%

Soccer+$44.99

WR: 50.0%(1/2)

ROI: +81.8%

Finance+$12.63

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +175.7%

Politics-$1.31K

WR: 0.0%(0/2)

ROI: -100.0%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$7.51K

27.0%

Taker Volume$20.27K

73.0%

Taker Ratio

73%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$4.21

ROI

22.8%

Win Rate

50.0%

Volume

$496.02

Fee

$9.36

1 Wins in 2 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$45.92

ROI

-12.5%

Win Rate

22.2%

Volume

$1.28K

Fee

$23.20

2 Wins in 9 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

-$186.29

ROI

-11.2%

Win Rate

28.6%

Volume

$3.61K

Fee

$44.55

6 Wins in 21 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

-$5.97K

ROI

-29.2%

Win Rate

50.6%

Volume

$27.79K

Fee

$414.86

41 Wins in 81 Markets

Recent Markets | total 176

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

5-5-earthquake

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

+$4.21

+22.8%

fee: $0.79

Active

2h ago

5-5-earthquake

Active

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Active 2h ago

PnL+$4.21

ROI+22.8%

Volumefee: $0.79

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

—

fee: $8.57

Active

8h ago

Active

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Active 8h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $8.57

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

—

fee: $5.00

Active

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Active

Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $5.00

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

+$125.57

+191.8%

fee: $0.62

Yes

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Yes

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$125.57

ROI+191.8%

Volumefee: $0.62

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$46.41

-100.2%

fee: $0.09

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$46.41

ROI-100.2%

Volumefee: $0.09

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$8.75

-104.3%

fee: $0.36

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$8.75

ROI-104.3%

Volumefee: $0.36

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$27.91

-93.4%

fee: $0.98

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$27.91

ROI-93.4%

Volumefee: $0.98

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$17.72

-16.1%

fee: $4.35

1d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$17.72

ROI-16.1%

Volumefee: $4.35

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$74.92

-84.3%

fee: $2.44

2d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$74.92

ROI-84.3%

Volumefee: $2.44

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$32.42

-57.4%

fee: $1.97

Yes

3d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Yes

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$32.42

ROI-57.4%

Volumefee: $1.97

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$12.83

-104.3%

fee: $0.53

3d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$12.83

ROI-104.3%

Volumefee: $0.53

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$6.60

-103.2%

fee: $0.20

4d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$6.60

ROI-103.2%

Volumefee: $0.20

5-5-earthquake

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

+$268.67

+46.0%

fee: $8.24

4d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$268.67

ROI+46.0%

Volumefee: $8.24

best-ai-model

Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

-$406.20

-101.3%

fee: $5.36

4d ago

best-ai-model

Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL-$406.20

ROI-101.3%

Volumefee: $5.36

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

+$6.30

+14.2%

fee: $0.23

4d ago

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL+$6.30

ROI+14.2%

Volumefee: $0.23

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

+$44.59

+25.7%

fee: $1.44

4d ago

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL+$44.59

ROI+25.7%

Volumefee: $1.44

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

-$4.00

-100.0%

5d ago

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL-$4.00

ROI-100.0%

Volume

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

-$1.20

-100.0%

5d ago

Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

Settled 2d ago

PnL-$1.20

ROI-100.0%

Volume

best-ai-company

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

—

fee: $3.11

Active

6d ago

best-ai-company

Active

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Active 6d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $3.11

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?

—

fee: $0.18

Active

6d ago

Active

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?

Active 6d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.18

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

+$3.31

+50.2%

fee: $0.09

Yes

6d ago

Yes

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$3.31

ROI+50.2%

Volumefee: $0.09

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

-$787.49

-52.4%

fee: $32.58

8d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 7d ago

PnL-$787.49

ROI-52.4%

Volumefee: $32.58

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$84.86

+28.7%

fee: $5.54

Yes

8d ago

5-5-earthquake

Yes

Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 7d ago

PnL+$84.86

ROI+28.7%

Volumefee: $5.54

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

-$2.27

-104.6%

fee: $0.10

8d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?

Settled 1d ago

PnL-$2.27

ROI-104.6%

Volumefee: $0.10

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$49.63

+125.4%

fee: $5.07

9d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$49.63

ROI+125.4%

Volumefee: $5.07

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$51.08

+14.1%

fee: $0.15

9d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$51.08

ROI+14.1%

Volumefee: $0.15

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

-$93.95

-37.4%

Active

9d ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Active 9d ago

PnL-$93.95

ROI-37.4%

Volume

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$143.62

+450.1%

fee: $0.87

Yes

9d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Yes

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$143.62

ROI+450.1%

Volumefee: $0.87

5-5-earthquake

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

-$991.63

-84.3%

fee: $31.59

10d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL-$991.63

ROI-84.3%

Volumefee: $31.59

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$23.31

+22.0%

10d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$23.31

ROI+22.0%

Volume

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$239.17

+90.4%

fee: $3.93

10d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$239.17

ROI+90.4%

Volumefee: $3.93

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

-$239.85

-102.3%

fee: $5.29

11d ago

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Settled 10d ago

PnL-$239.85

ROI-102.3%

Volumefee: $5.29

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$3.07

+21.5%

11d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$3.07

ROI+21.5%

Volume

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

-$41.31

-18.1%

fee: $2.48

12d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL-$41.31

ROI-18.1%

Volumefee: $2.48

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$157.71

+52.8%

fee: $2.05

12d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$157.71

ROI+52.8%

Volumefee: $2.05

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

-$5.72

-104.0%

fee: $0.22

12d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL-$5.72

ROI-104.0%

Volumefee: $0.22

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

+$12.60

+37.4%

12d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL+$12.60

ROI+37.4%

Volume

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

-$128.28

-98.6%

12d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Settled 8d ago

PnL-$128.28

ROI-98.6%

Volume

best-ai-company

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

-$5.41

-103.9%

fee: $0.21

Yes

13d ago

best-ai-company

Yes

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL-$5.41

ROI-103.9%

Volumefee: $0.21

best-ai-company

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

-$3.30K

-85.6%

fee: $129.68

13d ago

best-ai-company

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL-$3.30K

ROI-85.6%

Volumefee: $129.68

best-ai-company

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

-$61.76

-103.9%

fee: $2.31

13d ago

best-ai-company

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL-$61.76

ROI-103.9%

Volumefee: $2.31

best-ai-company

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

—

fee: $4.80

Active

15d ago

best-ai-company

Active

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Active 15d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $4.80

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

+$1.15

+0.7%

fee: $0.06

15d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL+$1.15

ROI+0.7%

Volumefee: $0.06

best-ai-model

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?

+$22.52

+67.9%

fee: $0.54

Yes

15d ago

best-ai-model

Yes

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?

Settled 9d ago

PnL+$22.52

ROI+67.9%

Volumefee: $0.54

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

+$21.85

+60.0%

fee: $1.88

Yes

17d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Yes

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL+$21.85

ROI+60.0%

Volumefee: $1.88

5-5-earthquake

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

-$213.27

-52.1%

fee: $18.99

Yes

17d ago

5-5-earthquake

Yes

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL-$213.27

ROI-52.1%

Volumefee: $18.99

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

-$997.98

-103.1%

fee: $29.89

18d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL-$997.98

ROI-103.1%

Volumefee: $29.89

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

+$12.60

+11.9%

fee: $4.54

19d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL+$12.60

ROI+11.9%

Volumefee: $4.54

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

-$4.46

-104.8%

fee: $0.20

20d ago

5-5-earthquake

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL-$4.46

ROI-104.8%

Volumefee: $0.20

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

+$14.63

+35.6%

fee: $0.55

21d ago

6pt5-earthquake-weekly

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Settled 15d ago

PnL+$14.63

ROI+35.6%

Volumefee: $0.55

176 Markets

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