nellojello

nellojello

Created January 12, 2026
Active November 9, 2026
Balance$1.13K

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$1.24K
Oct 11
Oct 18
Oct 26
Nov 2
Nov 10

Top Categories

Last 30 Days
Geopolitics+$1.02K
WR: 56.3%(9/16)
ROI: +23.0%
Tech+$8.67
WR: 50.0%(1/2)
ROI: +23.2%
Pop Culture+$8.67
WR: 100.0%(1/1)
ROI: +23.2%
Economy+$0.00
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Crypto+$0.00
WR: 0.0%(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days
Maker Volume$1.01K
5.0%
Taker Volume$19.36K
95.0%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

-$49.12
Rebate:

ROI

-51.7%

Win Rate

33.3%

Volume

$2.48K

Fee

$0.94

1 Wins in 3 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$55.86
Rebate:

ROI

-5.4%

Win Rate

40.0%

Volume

$4.35K

Fee

$10.05

2 Wins in 5 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

-$225.03
Rebate:

ROI

-7.3%

Win Rate

38.9%

Volume

$10.32K

Fee

$40.61

7 Wins in 18 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

-$1.24K
Rebate:

ROI

-13.6%

Win Rate

34.3%

Volume

$20.38K

Fee

$148.08

12 Wins in 35 Markets

Recent Markets | total 229
iran-target-a-arab-country-by
Yes
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?
Settled 3h ago
PnL-$57.79
ROI-100.0%
Volume
P
spacex-starship-flight-test
Active
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?
Active 6h ago
PnL+$8.67
ROI+23.2%
Volumefee: $0.94
PnL+$20.34
ROI+2.9%
Volumefee: $9.11
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $0.38
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $9.28
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $4.89
PnL+$25.00
ROI+6.7%
Volume
PnL+$14.70
ROI+3.3%
Volume
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.50
PnL-$549.20
ROI-101.1%
Volumefee: $6.14
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $5.49
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $4.55
PnL-$319.61
ROI-102.4%
Volumefee: $7.61
PnL-$355.50
ROI-102.2%
Volumefee: $7.50
PnL-$90.75
ROI-103.1%
Volumefee: $2.75
PnL+$20.60
ROI+6.0%
Volume
PnL+$669.18
ROI+33.6%
Volume
PnL-$320.71
ROI-100.3%
Volumefee: $0.87
PnL-$203.90
ROI-100.0%
Volume
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Settled 13d ago
PnL+$5.25
ROI+17.6%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $1.70
PnL+$32.70
ROI+12.3%
Volumefee: $1.20
PnL+$61.15
ROI+10.3%
Volume
P
how-high-30-year-treasury
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $2.30
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.19
PnL-$137.96
ROI-102.0%
Volumefee: $2.76
PnL+$632.46
ROI+255.2%
Volumefee: $25.97
PnL-$42.60
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$114.00
ROI+16.6%
Volume
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.43
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $3.01
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Active
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $13.13
PnL+$330.45
ROI+205.8%
Volume
PnL-$1.63K
ROI-100.0%
Volume
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
PnL-$656.47
ROI-101.4%
Volumefee: $9.12
PnL-$3.01
ROI-3.4%
Volumefee: $9.36
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$4.00
ROI-7.7%
Volume
PnL-$30.16
ROI-102.4%
Volumefee: $0.72
spx-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$9.97
ROI-103.6%
Volumefee: $0.34
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?
Settled 8d ago
PnL-$42.52
ROI-106.3%
Volumefee: $2.52
PnL-$10.00
ROI-100.0%
Volume
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Active
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
spx-daily-up-or-down
Up
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$83.56
ROI+57.7%
Volumefee: $3.69
P
trump-company-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Dell" in October?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$9.56
ROI-102.8%
Volumefee: $0.26
PnL-$20.19
ROI-103.6%
Volumefee: $0.70
PnL-$17.00
ROI-102.9%
Volumefee: $0.48
PnL+$24.96
ROI+94.1%
Volumefee: $0.52
PnL-$41.97
ROI-102.4%
Volumefee: $0.97
PnL-$47.42
ROI-103.1%
Volumefee: $1.42
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL+$54.00
ROI+22.0%
Volume
PnL-$312.73
ROI-101.5%
Volumefee: $4.73
PnL+$102.05
ROI+185.7%
Volume
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL+$71.00
ROI+39.7%
Volume
PnL-$2.17
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$2.27K
ROI+127.5%
Volume
spacex-starship-flight-test
Yes
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$316.81
ROI-74.8%
Volumefee: $17.63
PnL-$659.20
ROI-100.0%
Volume
P
iran-target-jordan-by
No
Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL-$17.60
ROI-100.0%
Volume
PnL+$87.65
ROI+63.2%
Volumefee: $4.17
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
No
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Settled 7d ago
PnL+$150.50
ROI+88.8%
Volume
PnL-$4.41
ROI-11.6%
Volumefee: $2.41
PnL-$38.79
ROI-49.7%
Volumefee: $3.53
trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen
No
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
Settled 25d ago
PnL+$23.44
ROI+22.0%
Volume
PnL+$102.77
ROI+121.1%
Volumefee: $2.35
PnL—
ROI—
Volumefee: $4.76
nothing-ever-happens
Active
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Active 1mo ago
PnL—
ROI—
Volume
bank-failure
Yes
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$41.80
ROI-102.5%
Volumefee: $1.00
ukraine-strikes-in-caspian-sea
No
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$50.58
ROI+14.1%
Volume
PnL-$271.23
ROI-102.3%
Volumefee: $6.23
PnL-$540.27
ROI-101.8%
Volumefee: $9.80
PnL+$548.54
ROI+223.5%
Volume
PnL+$10.14
ROI+5.9%
Volumefee: $8.90
PnL+$4.56
ROI+8.9%
Volume
PnL-$44.37
ROI-10.5%
Volumefee: $26.75
spacex-starship-flight-test
No
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL-$142.65
ROI-86.9%
Volumefee: $5.80
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL+$15.07
ROI+6.6%
Volumefee: $16.15
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
No
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$5.00
ROI+33.3%
Volume
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL-$31.83
ROI-100.0%
Volume
spacex-starship-flight-test
No
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL+$1.43K
ROI+126.0%
Volumefee: $20.86