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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
li
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$184.71
lightshield
lightshield
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
July 24, 2026
Active
August 27, 2026
Balance
$592.01
Incoming
+$4.54K
Rewards
+$2.55K
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$580.21
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Weather
+$65.22
WR: 33.3%
(2/6)
ROI: +25.3%
Tweets Markets
+$4.25
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +0.9%
Soccer
+$1.20
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +0.3%
Baseball
-$2.38
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -6.4%
Geopolitics
-$13.90
WR: 25.0%
(2/8)
ROI: -0.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$17.61K
97.3%
Taker Volume
$481.92
2.7%
Taker Ratio
3%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$580.21
ROI
-7.2%
Win Rate
16.7%
Volume
$18.09K
Fee
$8.81
12 Wins in 72 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 454
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
1-paid-app
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$1.20
+9.1%
$118.80
Yes
17d ago
1-paid-app
Yes
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+9.1%
Volume
$118.80
P
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?
-$0.50
-0.6%
$120.50
Active
17d ago
P
Active
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$120.50
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
-$11.97
-6.0%
$510.03
Active
17d ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 17d ago
PnL
-$11.97
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$510.03
Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?
-$73.00
-65.8%
$173.00
No
18d ago
No
Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$73.00
ROI
-65.8%
Volume
$173.00
P
b200-rental-price
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
-$88.80
-100.0%
$88.80
Yes
18d ago
P
b200-rental-price
Yes
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$88.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$88.80
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$10.80
+1.5%
$1.47K
Active
18d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$10.80
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$1.47K
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?
+$2.40
+3.6%
$117.60
Active
19d ago
Active
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?
Active 19d ago
PnL
+$2.40
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$117.60
P
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
-$69.00
-40.4%
$369.00
Active
20d ago
P
Active
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
Active 20d ago
PnL
-$69.00
ROI
-40.4%
Volume
$369.00
Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
-$13.00
-29.3%
$178.76
Active
20d ago
Active
Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
Active 20d ago
PnL
-$13.00
ROI
-29.3%
Volume
$178.76
P
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
-$2.46
-1.8%
$325.04
fee: $1.39
Active
20d ago
P
Active
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Active 20d ago
PnL
-$2.46
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$325.04
fee: $1.39
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$225.00
Active
21d ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Active
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$225.00
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
—
—
$155.91
Active
21d ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$155.91
P
alphabet-s-market-cap
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026?
-$10.97
-100.0%
$10.97
Yes
21d ago
P
alphabet-s-market-cap
Yes
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$10.97
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.97
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
—
—
$3.71
Active
21d ago
Active
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.71
Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?
-$36.00
-100.0%
$36.00
No
21d ago
No
Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$36.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$36.00
london-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?
-$2.56
-100.0%
$2.56
No
21d ago
london-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 23?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$2.56
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.56
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
+$6.00
+3.6%
$294.00
Yes
21d ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$6.00
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$294.00
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
-$3.00
-1.2%
$303.00
Active
21d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 21d ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$303.00
P
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?
-$22.00
-48.9%
$198.92
No
21d ago
P
No
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$22.00
ROI
-48.9%
Volume
$198.92
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
-$25.20
-91.3%
$145.20
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$25.20
ROI
-91.3%
Volume
$145.20
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
-$2.40
-8.3%
$122.40
Active
22d ago
Active
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$122.40
P
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
-$0.95
-5.4%
$168.45
Active
22d ago
P
Active
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.95
ROI
-5.4%
Volume
$168.45
P
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
—
—
$138.00
Active
23d ago
P
Active
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$138.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$3.92
+0.2%
$3.78K
Active
23d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 23d ago
PnL
+$3.92
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$3.78K
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
+$1.25
+0.6%
$297.00
fee: $1.75
No
23d ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$1.25
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$297.00
fee: $1.75
P
japan-gdp
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?
—
—
$22.80
Active
23d ago
P
japan-gdp
Active
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?
Active 23d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$22.80
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
+$3.00
+1.2%
$297.00
No
23d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$3.00
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$297.00
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
-$0.25
-0.9%
$41.24
Active
23d ago
Active
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$41.24
livebench-overall-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
-$9.60
-7.8%
$249.59
Active
23d ago
livebench-overall-monthly
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$9.60
ROI
-7.8%
Volume
$249.59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$1.20
+0.3%
$598.80
Active
23d ago
Active
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Active 23d ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$598.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
-$0.00
-0.0%
$599.64
No
23d ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Volume
$599.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
-$4.21
-1.1%
$811.50
No
23d ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$4.21
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$811.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
-$1.00
-0.2%
$1.15K
Active
24d ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$1.15K
next-leader-out
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
+$1.29
+1.5%
$242.31
Active
24d ago
next-leader-out
Active
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$1.29
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$242.31
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?
-$5.40
-7.4%
$176.60
Active
25d ago
Active
Will Emmet Carroll win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?
Active 25d ago
PnL
-$5.40
ROI
-7.4%
Volume
$176.60
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
-$3.37
-6.7%
$213.17
Active
26d ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Active 26d ago
PnL
-$3.37
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$213.17
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
-$3.00
-8.3%
$302.99
Active
26d ago
Active
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Active 26d ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$302.99
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
-$2.38
-6.4%
$122.38
Active
27d ago
Active
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
Active 27d ago
PnL
-$2.38
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$122.38
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
-$2.75
-2.3%
$332.35
No
28d ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.75
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$332.35
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?
-$6.00
-5.0%
$306.00
No
28d ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$6.00
ROI
-5.0%
Volume
$306.00
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?
-$2.40
-3.9%
$122.40
No
28d ago
madrid-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$122.40
P
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?
-$0.06
-0.2%
$28.92
No
28d ago
P
h200-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$28.92
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$13.92
-37.2%
$127.63
No
29d ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$13.92
ROI
-37.2%
Volume
$127.63
inflation-uk-annual
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
—
—
$104.40
Active
29d ago
inflation-uk-annual
Active
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$104.40
P
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$64.80
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$64.80
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?
+$32.40
+37.0%
$87.60
No
29d ago
No
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$32.40
ROI
+37.0%
Volume
$87.60
P
Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$88.80
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$88.80
P
Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$1.20
-1.2%
$121.20
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$121.20
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
-$12.00
-4.4%
$451.00
Active
29d ago
Active
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$12.00
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$451.00
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$9.57
Active
29d ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.57
lucknow-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 15?
-$0.34
-3.2%
$20.34
No
29d ago
lucknow-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 15?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
-$0.34
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$20.34
P
wmt-kpis
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
+$2.00
+284.6%
$0.70
No
29d ago
P
wmt-kpis
No
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+284.6%
Volume
$0.70
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
-$3.00
-6.7%
$303.00
Active
29d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$303.00
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
—
—
$11.02
Active
29d ago
Active
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.02
paris-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?
-$0.28
-1.9%
$30.48
No
29d ago
paris-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$0.28
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$30.48
P
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?
-$1.55
-100.0%
$1.55
Yes
29d ago
P
Yes
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$1.55
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.55
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
-$2.40
-6.9%
$122.40
Active
29d ago
Active
Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$2.40
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$122.40
munich-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?
+$38.40
+47.1%
$81.60
Yes
29d ago
munich-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$38.40
ROI
+47.1%
Volume
$81.60
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$21.60
Active
29d ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Active
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.60
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
—
—
$42.00
Active
29d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.00
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
-$126.00
-100.0%
$126.00
No
29d ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$126.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$126.00
P
Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$4.80
-4.8%
$194.40
fee: $1.00
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$4.80
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$194.40
fee: $1.00
P
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$7.20
-8.0%
$172.80
fee: $1.28
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$7.20
ROI
-8.0%
Volume
$172.80
fee: $1.28
P
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$9.60
-9.8%
$187.20
fee: $1.15
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$9.60
ROI
-9.8%
Volume
$187.20
fee: $1.15
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
-$19.20
-37.2%
$83.98
fee: $0.95
Active
29d ago
Active
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$19.20
ROI
-37.2%
Volume
$83.98
fee: $0.95
P
Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-$6.00
-6.8%
$171.60
fee: $1.28
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$6.00
ROI
-6.8%
Volume
$171.60
fee: $1.28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
—
—
$246.00
Active
29d ago
Active
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$246.00
P
Will Bijan Robinson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$52.80
Active
29d ago
P
Active
Will Bijan Robinson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$52.80
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
—
—
$63.00
Active
29d ago
Active
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$63.00
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
—
—
$42.00
Active
29d ago
Active
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Active 29d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.00
P
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?
-$41.95
-100.0%
$41.95
Yes
29d ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$41.95
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$41.95
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
-$32.40
-77.1%
$51.60
Active
29d ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$32.40
ROI
-77.1%
Volume
$51.60
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
-$39.00
-43.3%
$141.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$39.00
ROI
-43.3%
Volume
$141.00
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
-$15.60
-17.1%
$166.79
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.60
ROI
-17.1%
Volume
$166.79
P
Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?
-$30.49
-80.8%
$40.52
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$30.49
ROI
-80.8%
Volume
$40.52
P
Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
+$74.25
+163.2%
$45.51
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$74.25
ROI
+163.2%
Volume
$45.51
2-paid-app
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
-$40.68
-100.0%
$40.68
Yes
1mo ago
2-paid-app
Yes
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$40.68
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.68
chinese-ai-2
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
+$1.18
+4.3%
$118.72
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-2
Yes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$1.18
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$118.72
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$42.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.00
P
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
+$76.78
+177.8%
$43.19
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$76.78
ROI
+177.8%
Volume
$43.19
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
-$28.80
-100.0%
$28.80
No
1mo ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
No
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$28.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$28.80
P
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?
-$13.20
-100.0%
$13.20
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$13.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$13.20
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
-$10.60
-15.8%
$171.35
Active
1mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.60
ROI
-15.8%
Volume
$171.35
P
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?
+$82.80
+222.6%
$37.20
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$82.80
ROI
+222.6%
Volume
$37.20
P
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
+$5.09
+17.0%
$294.61
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.09
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$294.61
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
+$72.00
+31.6%
$228.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$72.00
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$228.00
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$88.80
Active
1mo ago
third-best-math-ai
Active
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$88.80
P
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
-$20.40
-27.4%
$128.40
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.40
ROI
-27.4%
Volume
$128.40
P
bank-of-japan
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
—
—
$63.60
Active
1mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
Active
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$63.60
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
-$42.00
-35.9%
$192.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$42.00
ROI
-35.9%
Volume
$192.00
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$64.83
-8.1%
$1.70K
Active
1mo ago
fomc
Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$64.83
ROI
-8.1%
Volume
$1.70K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
-$26.78
-9.4%
$904.78
Active
1mo ago
Active
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$26.78
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$904.78
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$15.20
+1.1%
$2.72K
Active
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.20
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$2.72K
P
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?
-$1.20
-1.1%
$121.20
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Hollie Chadwick win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$121.20
peoples-bank-of-china
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?
—
—
$82.80
Active
1mo ago
peoples-bank-of-china
Active
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$82.80
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$36.10
+1.0%
$8.06K
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$36.10
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$8.06K
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
-$21.08
-7.6%
$619.82
Active
1mo ago
Active
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$21.08
ROI
-7.6%
Volume
$619.82
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$58.80
-87.5%
$75.59
No
1mo ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$58.80
ROI
-87.5%
Volume
$75.59
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
-$101.91
-25.5%
$709.73
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$101.91
ROI
-25.5%
Volume
$709.73
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
-$96.34
-74.3%
$167.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$96.34
ROI
-74.3%
Volume
$167.00
454 Markets
•
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