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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
hn
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$29.08
hn4bnjzt04ux
hn4bnjzt04ux
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Created
April 8, 2026
Active
November 4, 2026
Balance
$2.00
Incoming
+$27.26
Rewards
+$0.01
Outgoing
-$51.10
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.68
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 11
Oct 18
Oct 26
Nov 2
Nov 10
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Soccer
+$5.83
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +22.4%
Sports
+$5.83
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +22.4%
Geopolitics
+$5.78
WR: 66.7%
(4/6)
ROI: +12.6%
Finance
+$0.51
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +15.1%
Politics
+$0.40
WR: 60.0%
(6/10)
ROI: +0.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$243.81
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.06
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
7.2%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$4.94
Fee
$0.07
1 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.68
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.5%
Win Rate
70.6%
Volume
$243.81
Fee
$3.63
12 Wins in 17 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 214
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
+$0.06
+7.2%
$4.94
fee: $0.07
Active
5d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$4.94
fee: $0.07
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
-$4.44
-102.5%
$4.33
fee: $0.11
No
7d ago
No
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$4.44
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$4.33
fee: $0.11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
+$1.95
+54.0%
$9.41
fee: $0.25
Yes
7d ago
Yes
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$1.95
ROI
+54.0%
Volume
$9.41
fee: $0.25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
-$7.00
-102.2%
$6.85
fee: $0.15
Yes
7d ago
Yes
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$7.00
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$6.85
fee: $0.15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$1.77
-9.7%
$34.81
fee: $0.35
Active
12d ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 12d ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-9.7%
Volume
$34.81
fee: $0.35
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
—
—
$20.00
fee: $0.20
Active
13d ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 13d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$4.09
+20.5%
$44.93
fee: $0.86
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$4.09
ROI
+20.5%
Volume
$44.93
fee: $0.86
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$4.12
+21.0%
$19.67
fee: $0.20
No
15d ago
No
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$4.12
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$19.67
fee: $0.20
la-liga-2025
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
+$1.74
+28.5%
$14.24
fee: $0.33
Yes
15d ago
la-liga-2025
Yes
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+28.5%
Volume
$14.24
fee: $0.33
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
+$0.45
+17.5%
$7.27
fee: $0.21
Active
18d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+17.5%
Volume
$7.27
fee: $0.21
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
+$0.76
+14.8%
$11.10
fee: $0.11
Yes
21d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+14.8%
Volume
$11.10
fee: $0.11
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
+$1.63
+33.9%
$11.34
fee: $0.11
Yes
21d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$1.63
ROI
+33.9%
Volume
$11.34
fee: $0.11
P
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
+$0.03
+18.8%
$0.17
fee: $0.00
Yes
23d ago
P
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+18.8%
Volume
$0.17
fee: $0.00
fable-5-2-released-on
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?
+$0.69
+12.3%
$5.64
fee: $0.08
No
25d ago
fable-5-2-released-on
No
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+12.3%
Volume
$5.64
fee: $0.08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?
-$7.10
-102.2%
$6.95
fee: $0.15
No
25d ago
No
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$7.10
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$6.95
fee: $0.15
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
+$5.13
+29.6%
$40.16
fee: $0.40
No
25d ago
No
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$5.13
ROI
+29.6%
Volume
$40.16
fee: $0.40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
+$0.35
+17.4%
$1.99
fee: $0.03
No
26d ago
No
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+17.4%
Volume
$1.99
fee: $0.03
aircraft-carriers-centcom-negrisk
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.41
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
aircraft-carriers-centcom-negrisk
Active
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.41
fee: $0.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
-$0.96
-9.2%
$20.02
fee: $0.20
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$0.96
ROI
-9.2%
Volume
$20.02
fee: $0.20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
+$1.20
+20.1%
$19.89
fee: $0.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+20.1%
Volume
$19.89
fee: $0.20
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
+$1.30
+7.7%
$34.94
fee: $0.53
Active
1mo ago
merz-out
Active
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$34.94
fee: $0.53
china-x-philippines-clash
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
-$0.01
-0.6%
$12.53
fee: $0.13
Active
1mo ago
china-x-philippines-clash
Active
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$12.53
fee: $0.13
Trump renames AI by December 31?
-$2.41
-102.4%
$2.35
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Trump renames AI by December 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.41
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$2.35
fee: $0.06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.25
+24.3%
$2.42
fee: $0.07
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+24.3%
Volume
$2.42
fee: $0.07
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
+$0.28
+23.2%
$1.19
fee: $0.02
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+23.2%
Volume
$1.19
fee: $0.02
trump-countries-visited
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
—
—
$2.70
fee: $0.04
Active
1mo ago
trump-countries-visited
Active
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.70
fee: $0.04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$7.35
fee: $0.11
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.35
fee: $0.11
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
-$3.47
-57.2%
$8.72
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.47
ROI
-57.2%
Volume
$8.72
fee: $0.09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
-$2.21
-70.4%
$4.11
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.21
ROI
-70.4%
Volume
$4.11
fee: $0.04
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
-$0.01
-0.1%
$12.19
fee: $0.12
Yes
1mo ago
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$12.19
fee: $0.12
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$1.04
+38.6%
$2.99
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.04
ROI
+38.6%
Volume
$2.99
fee: $0.03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
-$13.27
-101.0%
$13.14
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$13.27
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$13.14
fee: $0.13
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
-$0.64
-4.1%
$30.84
fee: $0.31
No
2mo ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.64
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$30.84
fee: $0.31
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$0.62
+16.3%
$8.40
fee: $0.23
Yes
2mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.62
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$8.40
fee: $0.23
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
-$0.53
-46.3%
$1.79
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.53
ROI
-46.3%
Volume
$1.79
fee: $0.02
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$0.04
+3.9%
$2.37
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$2.37
fee: $0.02
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
+$1.67
+21.4%
$17.53
fee: $0.18
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.67
ROI
+21.4%
Volume
$17.53
fee: $0.18
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
-$29.01
-96.7%
$31.29
fee: $0.31
No
2mo ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$29.01
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$31.29
fee: $0.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$13.94
fee: $0.14
Active
2mo ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.94
fee: $0.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$0.78
+32.7%
$5.59
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+32.7%
Volume
$5.59
fee: $0.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
—
—
$5.18
fee: $0.05
Active
3mo ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.18
fee: $0.05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$1.34
+104.8%
$3.93
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+104.8%
Volume
$3.93
fee: $0.04
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
+$5.42
+29.6%
$42.43
fee: $0.42
No
3mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.42
ROI
+29.6%
Volume
$42.43
fee: $0.42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$20.28
+104.8%
$59.58
fee: $0.60
No
3mo ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$20.28
ROI
+104.8%
Volume
$59.58
fee: $0.60
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
+$1.07
+36.0%
$2.98
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.07
ROI
+36.0%
Volume
$2.98
fee: $0.03
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
+$3.81
+25.5%
$14.91
fee: $0.27
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.81
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$14.91
fee: $0.27
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
—
—
$6.81
fee: $0.07
Active
3mo ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.81
fee: $0.07
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
-$0.35
-19.4%
$4.63
fee: $0.05
Active
3mo ago
Active
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.35
ROI
-19.4%
Volume
$4.63
fee: $0.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$15.46
+57.3%
$70.16
fee: $0.70
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$15.46
ROI
+57.3%
Volume
$70.16
fee: $0.70
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$0.38
+22.7%
$3.80
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+22.7%
Volume
$3.80
fee: $0.04
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Active
3mo ago
Active
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
+$4.37
+19.6%
$49.09
fee: $1.35
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.37
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$49.09
fee: $1.35
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
—
—
$2.73
fee: $0.03
Active
3mo ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.73
fee: $0.03
P
iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?
+$1.15
+21.0%
$5.49
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
P
iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$5.49
fee: $0.05
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$4.69
-39.1%
$19.51
fee: $0.20
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.69
ROI
-39.1%
Volume
$19.51
fee: $0.20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$0.10
-2.0%
$10.40
fee: $0.10
No
3mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$10.40
fee: $0.10
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
+$0.65
+40.8%
$1.60
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$1.60
fee: $0.04
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$2.37
+7.9%
$62.98
fee: $0.63
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.37
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$62.98
fee: $0.63
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
-$0.59
-48.2%
$1.87
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-48.2%
Volume
$1.87
fee: $0.02
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
-$0.31
-30.8%
$14.16
fee: $0.14
Active
3mo ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.31
ROI
-30.8%
Volume
$14.16
fee: $0.14
P
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
-$0.00
-2.3%
$22.22
fee: $0.34
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$22.22
fee: $0.34
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
—
—
$1.75
fee: $0.02
Active
3mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Active
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.75
fee: $0.02
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
+$1.73
+64.6%
$7.13
fee: $0.07
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.73
ROI
+64.6%
Volume
$7.13
fee: $0.07
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$8.79
-29.3%
$51.72
fee: $0.52
No
3mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.79
ROI
-29.3%
Volume
$51.72
fee: $0.52
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$0.64
+41.8%
$3.13
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+41.8%
Volume
$3.13
fee: $0.03
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$0.83
+3.8%
$44.95
fee: $0.45
No
3mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.83
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$44.95
fee: $0.45
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
+$0.21
+18.5%
$2.54
fee: $0.03
Active
3mo ago
Active
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+18.5%
Volume
$2.54
fee: $0.03
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
+$0.48
+12.7%
$8.08
fee: $0.13
Active
3mo ago
Active
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$8.08
fee: $0.13
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
+$0.03
+2.9%
$2.11
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$2.11
fee: $0.02
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
-$4.05
-96.7%
$4.37
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.05
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$4.37
fee: $0.04
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$6.23
-103.9%
$5.99
fee: $0.24
Spain
3mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.23
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.24
P
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.08
+4.2%
$3.83
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$3.83
fee: $0.04
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
+$0.26
+19.4%
$1.42
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+19.4%
Volume
$1.42
fee: $0.01
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$0.50
+18.7%
$5.89
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+18.7%
Volume
$5.89
fee: $0.06
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
+$0.69
+21.0%
$3.29
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$3.29
fee: $0.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$4.62
+36.7%
$12.59
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.62
ROI
+36.7%
Volume
$12.59
fee: $0.13
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$1.03
+79.7%
$3.64
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.03
ROI
+79.7%
Volume
$3.64
fee: $0.04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
-$0.11
-6.7%
$3.26
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$3.26
fee: $0.03
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$5.97
+19.9%
$65.36
fee: $0.65
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.97
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$65.36
fee: $0.65
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
+$3.68
+19.0%
$19.39
fee: $0.19
No
4mo ago
No
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.68
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$19.39
fee: $0.19
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
+$2.07
+34.6%
$5.99
fee: $0.14
Spain
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.07
ROI
+34.6%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.14
soccer-fifwc
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
+$0.36
+14.9%
$2.40
fee: $0.03
Yes
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$2.40
fee: $0.03
soccer-fifwc
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
+$1.61
+27.0%
$5.99
fee: $0.10
France
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
France
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+27.0%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
-$0.11
-3.8%
$5.55
fee: $0.06
No
4mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$5.55
fee: $0.06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
-$2.91
-76.9%
$4.71
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.91
ROI
-76.9%
Volume
$4.71
fee: $0.05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$1.27
+14.8%
$8.60
fee: $0.09
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.27
ROI
+14.8%
Volume
$8.60
fee: $0.09
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?
+$0.78
+11.4%
$6.86
fee: $0.07
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$6.86
fee: $0.07
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
-$0.14
-6.1%
$16.14
fee: $0.16
Active
4mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$16.14
fee: $0.16
P
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$0.57
+19.5%
$2.98
fee: $0.03
No
4mo ago
P
No
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$2.98
fee: $0.03
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
+$3.52
+48.3%
$12.67
fee: $0.13
No
4mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.52
ROI
+48.3%
Volume
$12.67
fee: $0.13
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.91
+8.7%
$22.19
fee: $0.22
No
4mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$22.19
fee: $0.22
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
+$3.46
+34.0%
$10.17
fee: $0.20
No
4mo ago
No
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.46
ROI
+34.0%
Volume
$10.17
fee: $0.20
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
+$22.81
+185.4%
$12.30
fee: $0.43
Yes
4mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$22.81
ROI
+185.4%
Volume
$12.30
fee: $0.43
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
-$0.96
-12.1%
$15.16
fee: $0.15
No
4mo ago
No
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.96
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$15.16
fee: $0.15
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
+$1.44
+20.9%
$7.19
fee: $0.07
No
4mo ago
No
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.44
ROI
+20.9%
Volume
$7.19
fee: $0.07
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$2.08
+43.7%
$11.68
fee: $0.12
No
4mo ago
No
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.08
ROI
+43.7%
Volume
$11.68
fee: $0.12
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
-$0.45
-5.9%
$14.88
fee: $0.15
No
4mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$14.88
fee: $0.15
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
+$0.07
+6.5%
$1.08
fee: $0.01
No
4mo ago
No
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$1.08
fee: $0.01
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
-$9.36
-61.5%
$21.28
fee: $0.21
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$9.36
ROI
-61.5%
Volume
$21.28
fee: $0.21
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$0.46
+11.4%
$4.01
fee: $0.04
No
4mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$4.01
fee: $0.04
214 Markets
•
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