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hn
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$2.17
hn4bnjzt04ux
hn4bnjzt04ux
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
April 8, 2026
Active
September 21, 2026
Balance
$4.21
Incoming
+$27.26
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$46.69
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$14.16
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 23
Aug 30
Sep 7
Sep 14
Sep 22
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Elections
+$1.04
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +38.6%
Economy
+$0.62
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +16.3%
Politics
-$11.42
WR: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: -44.8%
Geopolitics
-$15.81
WR: 12.5%
(1/8)
ROI: -36.7%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$121.93
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-1.3%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$11.91
Fee
$0.12
0 Wins in 1 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-1.3%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$13.18
Fee
$0.14
0 Wins in 2 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-1.3%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$13.18
Fee
$0.14
0 Wins in 2 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$14.16
ROI
-28.6%
Win Rate
25.0%
Volume
$121.93
Fee
$1.48
3 Wins in 12 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 196
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
china-x-philippines-clash
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
-$0.01
-1.3%
$11.91
fee: $0.12
Active
15h ago
china-x-philippines-clash
Active
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Active 15h ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$11.91
fee: $0.12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$1.27
fee: $0.02
Active
2d ago
Active
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 2d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.27
fee: $0.02
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
—
—
$16.82
fee: $0.28
Active
7d ago
merz-out
Active
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$16.82
fee: $0.28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
-$2.17
-69.1%
$4.11
fee: $0.04
Active
8d ago
Active
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$2.17
ROI
-69.1%
Volume
$4.11
fee: $0.04
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
-$0.01
-0.1%
$12.19
fee: $0.12
Yes
10d ago
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$12.19
fee: $0.12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
+$0.82
+22.4%
$17.18
fee: $0.17
Active
10d ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+22.4%
Volume
$17.18
fee: $0.17
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$1.04
+38.6%
$2.99
fee: $0.03
Yes
11d ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 21h ago
PnL
+$1.04
ROI
+38.6%
Volume
$2.99
fee: $0.03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$1.30
fee: $0.01
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.30
fee: $0.01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
-$13.27
-101.0%
$13.14
fee: $0.13
Yes
18d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$13.27
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$13.14
fee: $0.13
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
-$0.64
-4.1%
$30.84
fee: $0.31
No
25d ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.64
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$30.84
fee: $0.31
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$0.62
+16.3%
$8.40
fee: $0.23
Yes
26d ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.62
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$8.40
fee: $0.23
P
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
-$0.53
-46.3%
$1.79
fee: $0.02
No
27d ago
P
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$0.53
ROI
-46.3%
Volume
$1.79
fee: $0.02
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$0.04
+3.9%
$2.37
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$2.37
fee: $0.02
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
+$1.85
+23.6%
$17.53
fee: $0.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.85
ROI
+23.6%
Volume
$17.53
fee: $0.18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$0.39
+4.6%
$19.26
fee: $0.19
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$19.26
fee: $0.19
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$6.07
fee: $0.06
Active
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.07
fee: $0.06
P
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
-$29.01
-96.7%
$31.29
fee: $0.31
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$29.01
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$31.29
fee: $0.31
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
—
—
$4.10
fee: $0.06
Active
1mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.10
fee: $0.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$13.94
fee: $0.14
Active
1mo ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.94
fee: $0.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$0.78
+32.7%
$5.59
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+32.7%
Volume
$5.59
fee: $0.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
—
—
$5.18
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.18
fee: $0.05
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$1.34
+104.8%
$3.93
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+104.8%
Volume
$3.93
fee: $0.04
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
+$5.42
+29.6%
$42.43
fee: $0.42
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$5.42
ROI
+29.6%
Volume
$42.43
fee: $0.42
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$20.28
+104.8%
$59.58
fee: $0.60
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$20.28
ROI
+104.8%
Volume
$59.58
fee: $0.60
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$2.98
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.98
fee: $0.03
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
+$3.81
+25.5%
$14.91
fee: $0.27
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.81
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$14.91
fee: $0.27
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
—
—
$6.81
fee: $0.07
Active
1mo ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.81
fee: $0.07
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
-$0.35
-19.4%
$4.63
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.35
ROI
-19.4%
Volume
$4.63
fee: $0.05
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$15.46
+57.3%
$70.16
fee: $0.70
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$15.46
ROI
+57.3%
Volume
$70.16
fee: $0.70
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$0.38
+22.7%
$3.80
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+22.7%
Volume
$3.80
fee: $0.04
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
+$4.37
+19.6%
$49.09
fee: $1.35
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.37
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$49.09
fee: $1.35
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
—
—
$2.73
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.73
fee: $0.03
P
iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?
+$1.15
+21.0%
$5.49
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
P
iran-successfully-targets-shipping-on
No
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$5.49
fee: $0.05
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$4.69
-39.1%
$19.51
fee: $0.20
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.69
ROI
-39.1%
Volume
$19.51
fee: $0.20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$0.10
-2.0%
$10.40
fee: $0.10
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$10.40
fee: $0.10
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
+$0.65
+40.8%
$1.60
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$1.60
fee: $0.04
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$2.37
+7.9%
$62.98
fee: $0.63
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$2.37
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$62.98
fee: $0.63
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
-$0.59
-48.2%
$1.87
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-48.2%
Volume
$1.87
fee: $0.02
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
-$0.31
-30.8%
$14.16
fee: $0.14
Active
1mo ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.31
ROI
-30.8%
Volume
$14.16
fee: $0.14
P
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
-$0.00
-2.3%
$22.22
fee: $0.34
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$22.22
fee: $0.34
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
—
—
$1.75
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Active
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.75
fee: $0.02
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
+$1.73
+64.6%
$7.13
fee: $0.07
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.73
ROI
+64.6%
Volume
$7.13
fee: $0.07
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$8.79
-29.3%
$51.72
fee: $0.52
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.79
ROI
-29.3%
Volume
$51.72
fee: $0.52
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$0.64
+41.8%
$3.13
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+41.8%
Volume
$3.13
fee: $0.03
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$0.83
+3.8%
$44.95
fee: $0.45
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.83
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$44.95
fee: $0.45
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
+$0.21
+18.5%
$2.54
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+18.5%
Volume
$2.54
fee: $0.03
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
+$0.48
+12.7%
$8.08
fee: $0.13
Active
1mo ago
Active
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$8.08
fee: $0.13
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
+$0.03
+2.9%
$2.11
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$2.11
fee: $0.02
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
-$4.05
-96.7%
$4.37
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.05
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$4.37
fee: $0.04
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$6.23
-103.9%
$5.99
fee: $0.24
Spain
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.23
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.24
P
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.08
+4.2%
$3.83
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$3.83
fee: $0.04
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
+$0.26
+19.4%
$1.42
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+19.4%
Volume
$1.42
fee: $0.01
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$0.50
+18.7%
$5.89
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+18.7%
Volume
$5.89
fee: $0.06
P
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
+$0.69
+21.0%
$3.29
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$3.29
fee: $0.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$4.62
+36.7%
$12.59
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.62
ROI
+36.7%
Volume
$12.59
fee: $0.13
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$1.03
+79.7%
$3.64
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.03
ROI
+79.7%
Volume
$3.64
fee: $0.04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
-$0.11
-6.7%
$3.26
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-6.7%
Volume
$3.26
fee: $0.03
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$5.97
+19.9%
$65.36
fee: $0.65
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.97
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$65.36
fee: $0.65
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
+$3.68
+19.0%
$19.39
fee: $0.19
No
2mo ago
No
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.68
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$19.39
fee: $0.19
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
+$2.07
+34.6%
$5.99
fee: $0.14
Spain
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.07
ROI
+34.6%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.14
soccer-fifwc
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
+$0.36
+14.9%
$2.40
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$2.40
fee: $0.03
soccer-fifwc
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
+$1.61
+27.0%
$5.99
fee: $0.10
France
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
France
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+27.0%
Volume
$5.99
fee: $0.10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
-$0.11
-3.8%
$5.55
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$5.55
fee: $0.06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
-$2.91
-76.9%
$4.71
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.91
ROI
-76.9%
Volume
$4.71
fee: $0.05
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$1.27
+14.8%
$8.60
fee: $0.09
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.27
ROI
+14.8%
Volume
$8.60
fee: $0.09
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?
+$0.78
+11.4%
$6.86
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$6.86
fee: $0.07
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
-$0.14
-6.1%
$16.14
fee: $0.16
Active
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$16.14
fee: $0.16
P
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$0.57
+19.5%
$2.98
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$2.98
fee: $0.03
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
+$3.52
+48.3%
$12.67
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.52
ROI
+48.3%
Volume
$12.67
fee: $0.13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
—
—
$3.61
fee: $0.12
Active
2mo ago
Active
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.61
fee: $0.12
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.91
+8.7%
$22.19
fee: $0.22
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$22.19
fee: $0.22
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
+$3.46
+34.0%
$10.17
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.46
ROI
+34.0%
Volume
$10.17
fee: $0.20
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
+$22.81
+185.4%
$12.30
fee: $0.43
Yes
2mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$22.81
ROI
+185.4%
Volume
$12.30
fee: $0.43
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
-$0.96
-12.1%
$15.16
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
No
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.96
ROI
-12.1%
Volume
$15.16
fee: $0.15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
—
—
$1.05
fee: $0.03
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.05
fee: $0.03
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
+$1.44
+20.9%
$7.19
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.44
ROI
+20.9%
Volume
$7.19
fee: $0.07
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$2.08
+43.7%
$11.68
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
No
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.08
ROI
+43.7%
Volume
$11.68
fee: $0.12
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
-$0.45
-5.9%
$14.88
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$14.88
fee: $0.15
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
+$0.07
+6.5%
$1.08
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
No
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$1.08
fee: $0.01
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
-$9.36
-61.5%
$21.28
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.36
ROI
-61.5%
Volume
$21.28
fee: $0.21
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$0.46
+11.4%
$4.01
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$4.01
fee: $0.04
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
-$1.79
-62.2%
$4.01
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.79
ROI
-62.2%
Volume
$4.01
fee: $0.04
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
+$3.35
+11.4%
$62.93
fee: $0.63
No
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
No
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.35
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$62.93
fee: $0.63
counter-strike
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
-$1.36
-103.0%
$1.32
fee: $0.04
Team Falcons
3mo ago
counter-strike
Team Falcons
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.36
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$1.32
fee: $0.04
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
+$1.84
+15.3%
$12.05
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.84
ROI
+15.3%
Volume
$12.05
fee: $0.12
P
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
+$0.87
+18.3%
$4.76
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.87
ROI
+18.3%
Volume
$4.76
fee: $0.05
unrestricted-shipping
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
-$8.90
-85.5%
$12.04
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
unrestricted-shipping
No
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.90
ROI
-85.5%
Volume
$12.04
fee: $0.12
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
-$8.59
-100.3%
$8.62
fee: $0.09
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.59
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$8.62
fee: $0.09
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
-$6.71
-28.4%
$54.45
fee: $0.54
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.71
ROI
-28.4%
Volume
$54.45
fee: $0.54
P
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
-$2.04
-100.6%
$2.04
fee: $0.02
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$2.04
fee: $0.02
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$3.29
+100.7%
$3.81
fee: $0.04
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.29
ROI
+100.7%
Volume
$3.81
fee: $0.04
P
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
-$11.12
-95.9%
$12.20
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$11.12
ROI
-95.9%
Volume
$12.20
fee: $0.12
P
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
+$4.19
+32.3%
$30.47
fee: $0.30
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.19
ROI
+32.3%
Volume
$30.47
fee: $0.30
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
+$1.03
+9.6%
$10.77
fee: $0.11
No
3mo ago
No
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.03
ROI
+9.6%
Volume
$10.77
fee: $0.11
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
+$1.63
+21.7%
$7.50
fee: $0.13
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.63
ROI
+21.7%
Volume
$7.50
fee: $0.13
pete-hegseth-out
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
—
—
$2.95
fee: $0.12
Active
3mo ago
pete-hegseth-out
Active
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.95
fee: $0.12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$1.18
+32.3%
$3.65
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.18
ROI
+32.3%
Volume
$3.65
fee: $0.04
trump-agree-iran
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
-$1.37
-5.1%
$53.26
fee: $0.53
Yes
3mo ago
trump-agree-iran
Yes
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.37
ROI
-5.1%
Volume
$53.26
fee: $0.53
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$13.18
+43.9%
$30.00
fee: $0.30
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$13.18
ROI
+43.9%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.30
196 Markets
•
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