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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$4.33K
spacexstar
spacexstar
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Share
Created
July 16, 2026
Active
November 6, 2026
Balance
$21.80K
Incoming
+$25.00K
Rewards
+$151.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$2.17K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$12.23
WR: 52.9%
(9/17)
ROI: +5.0%
Crypto
-$0.14
WR: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -0.3%
Pop Culture
-$25.50
WR: 38.8%
(19/49)
ROI: -2.3%
Tweets
-$58.24
WR: 36.4%
(16/44)
ROI: -5.8%
Finance
-$61.10
WR: 58.3%
(7/12)
ROI: -27.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$28.39K
21.7%
Taker Volume
$102.61K
78.3%
Taker Ratio
78%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$95.43
Rebate:
+$2.67
ROI
-6.3%
Win Rate
57.1%
Volume
$2.96K
Fee
$21.00
24 Wins in 42 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$2.17K
Rebate:
+$99.25
ROI
-3.2%
Win Rate
44.1%
Volume
$131.00K
Fee
$514.13
265 Wins in 601 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 1220
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?
+$0.18
+6.3%
$5.93
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$5.93
P
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?
-$1.36
-98.6%
$1.45
fee: $0.05
No
5d ago
P
No
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$1.36
ROI
-98.6%
Volume
$1.45
fee: $0.05
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
-$0.19
-11.1%
$3.23
Active
5d ago
Active
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-11.1%
Volume
$3.23
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?
-$1.03
-53.0%
$2.87
fee: $0.11
Active
5d ago
Active
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-53.0%
Volume
$2.87
fee: $0.11
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-$0.63
-12.6%
$9.29
fee: $0.02
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-12.6%
Volume
$9.29
fee: $0.02
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
-$1.99
-11.8%
$31.85
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.99
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$31.85
P
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
-$8.98
-33.3%
$44.90
fee: $1.12
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$8.98
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$44.90
fee: $1.12
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
+$0.26
+12.5%
$4.42
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$4.42
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
-$1.19
-11.6%
$20.60
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.19
ROI
-11.6%
Volume
$20.60
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
-$0.88
-5.3%
$32.12
fee: $0.55
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$0.88
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$32.12
fee: $0.55
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
-$2.93
-46.5%
$9.67
fee: $0.17
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.93
ROI
-46.5%
Volume
$9.67
fee: $0.17
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-$2.11
-50.0%
$6.33
fee: $0.25
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-50.0%
Volume
$6.33
fee: $0.25
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-$1.08
-50.0%
$3.23
fee: $0.13
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.08
ROI
-50.0%
Volume
$3.23
fee: $0.13
eu-emergency-diesel-stocks
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?
-$5.40
-78.3%
$8.40
fee: $0.25
Active
5d ago
eu-emergency-diesel-stocks
Active
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$5.40
ROI
-78.3%
Volume
$8.40
fee: $0.25
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
+$2.47
+19.1%
$28.31
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$2.47
ROI
+19.1%
Volume
$28.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
-$3.02
-4.2%
$140.89
Active
5d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$3.02
ROI
-4.2%
Volume
$140.89
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
+$0.10
+2.2%
$9.30
fee: $0.03
Active
5d ago
Active
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$9.30
fee: $0.03
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
+$0.10
+2.2%
$9.40
fee: $0.02
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$9.40
fee: $0.02
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
+$0.06
+0.6%
$18.22
fee: $0.06
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$18.22
fee: $0.06
Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
+$0.68
+7.7%
$18.21
fee: $0.07
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.68
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$18.21
fee: $0.07
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
+$5.48
+4.6%
$242.79
fee: $0.30
Active
5d ago
Active
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$5.48
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$242.79
fee: $0.30
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
+$0.57
+3.3%
$35.15
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$35.15
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
+$3.20
+6.2%
$105.98
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$3.20
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$105.98
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
-$1.38
-7.9%
$33.41
fee: $0.12
Active
5d ago
Active
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$1.38
ROI
-7.9%
Volume
$33.41
fee: $0.12
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
-$2.46
-2.8%
$174.18
fee: $0.58
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$2.46
ROI
-2.8%
Volume
$174.18
fee: $0.58
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
+$3.29
+20.8%
$34.89
fee: $0.21
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$3.29
ROI
+20.8%
Volume
$34.89
fee: $0.21
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
-$37.59
-51.1%
$109.47
fee: $2.87
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$37.59
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$109.47
fee: $2.87
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
+$0.58
+3.2%
$36.58
fee: $0.12
Active
5d ago
Active
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$36.58
fee: $0.12
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
-$174.85
-70.9%
$318.33
fee: $8.61
Active
5d ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
-$174.85
ROI
-70.9%
Volume
$318.33
fee: $8.61
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?
+$2.19
+1.9%
$228.57
fee: $0.10
Active
5d ago
Active
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$2.19
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$228.57
fee: $0.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
+$0.19
+0.5%
$75.41
Active
5d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$75.41
P
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
+$5.32
+25.2%
$47.48
fee: $0.32
Active
5d ago
P
Active
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Active 5d ago
PnL
+$5.32
ROI
+25.2%
Volume
$47.48
fee: $0.32
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
+$69.40
+170.4%
$150.88
fee: $1.63
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$69.40
ROI
+170.4%
Volume
$150.88
fee: $1.63
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
+$0.50
+8.0%
$13.10
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$13.10
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
+$3.01
+4.1%
$148.70
fee: $0.98
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$3.01
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$148.70
fee: $0.98
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$1.08
+50.0%
$5.38
fee: $0.09
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$5.38
fee: $0.09
us-recession-by
US recession by end of 2026?
+$0.26
+0.3%
$156.50
fee: $0.07
Active
6d ago
us-recession-by
Active
US recession by end of 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$156.50
fee: $0.07
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
+$39.63
+30.5%
$299.34
fee: $1.22
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$39.63
ROI
+30.5%
Volume
$299.34
fee: $1.22
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
+$8.44
+6.7%
$261.77
fee: $0.38
Active
6d ago
Active
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$8.44
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$261.77
fee: $0.38
trump-corporate-tax-cut
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
+$0.40
+4.3%
$18.90
fee: $0.03
Active
6d ago
trump-corporate-tax-cut
Active
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$18.90
fee: $0.03
P
bank-of-england-decision
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
+$7.78
+43.9%
$43.50
fee: $0.27
No
6d ago
P
bank-of-england-decision
No
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$7.78
ROI
+43.9%
Volume
$43.50
fee: $0.27
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
-$3.54
-51.1%
$10.32
fee: $0.26
Active
6d ago
Active
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
-$3.54
ROI
-51.1%
Volume
$10.32
fee: $0.26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$393.44
-35.1%
$1.85K
fee: $22.18
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 6d ago
PnL
-$393.44
ROI
-35.1%
Volume
$1.85K
fee: $22.18
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
—
—
$18.88
Active
7d ago
Active
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 7d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.88
P
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
-$0.30
-1.8%
$34.28
No
7d ago
P
No
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$34.28
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?
-$5.76
-40.0%
$23.04
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$5.76
ROI
-40.0%
Volume
$23.04
trump-administration-resignations
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-$14.70
-17.1%
$157.50
fee: $0.62
Active
7d ago
trump-administration-resignations
Active
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$14.70
ROI
-17.1%
Volume
$157.50
fee: $0.62
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
-$0.88
-21.0%
$7.52
Active
7d ago
Active
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$0.88
ROI
-21.0%
Volume
$7.52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
+$0.42
+8.2%
$10.62
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$10.62
P
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
-$6.63
-22.5%
$52.23
fee: $1.13
Active
7d ago
P
Active
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$6.63
ROI
-22.5%
Volume
$52.23
fee: $1.13
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
+$0.74
+0.6%
$264.49
Active
7d ago
Active
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.74
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$264.49
strait-of-trump
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
+$2.90
+1.0%
$558.38
Active
7d ago
strait-of-trump
Active
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$2.90
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$558.38
Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?
-$1.45
-28.8%
$8.82
fee: $0.19
No
7d ago
No
Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$1.45
ROI
-28.8%
Volume
$8.82
fee: $0.19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
-$8.73
-1.6%
$1.11K
fee: $6.18
Yes
7d ago
Yes
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$8.73
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$1.11K
fee: $6.18
who-attend-us-iran-peace-talks
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
-$108.40
-14.9%
$1.35K
Active
7d ago
who-attend-us-iran-peace-talks
Active
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$108.40
ROI
-14.9%
Volume
$1.35K
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
+$12.08
+52.6%
$58.06
Active
7d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$12.08
ROI
+52.6%
Volume
$58.06
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
+$0.27
+1.5%
$37.89
fee: $0.62
No
7d ago
No
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$37.89
fee: $0.62
susie-wiles-out
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
+$3.40
+48.3%
$17.63
fee: $0.13
Yes
7d ago
susie-wiles-out
Yes
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
+$3.40
ROI
+48.3%
Volume
$17.63
fee: $0.13
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?
-$5.00
-35.0%
$23.97
fee: $0.41
Yes
7d ago
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-35.0%
Volume
$23.97
fee: $0.41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
-$4.11
-16.7%
$44.97
fee: $0.89
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$4.11
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$44.97
fee: $0.89
P
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
-$1.07
-8.9%
$23.11
No
7d ago
P
No
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$1.07
ROI
-8.9%
Volume
$23.11
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?
-$2.94
-3.3%
$173.86
fee: $0.35
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$2.94
ROI
-3.3%
Volume
$173.86
fee: $0.35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
-$11.68
-15.2%
$144.27
fee: $2.61
No
7d ago
No
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Settled 6d ago
PnL
-$11.68
ROI
-15.2%
Volume
$144.27
fee: $2.61
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
+$0.38
+3.3%
$23.42
fee: $0.03
Active
7d ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$23.42
fee: $0.03
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
-$1.00
-69.0%
$1.90
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-69.0%
Volume
$1.90
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
+$0.86
+4.1%
$42.61
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.86
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$42.61
P
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?
+$3.50
+7.9%
$92.24
Active
7d ago
P
Active
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$3.50
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$92.24
russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
-$1.40
-75.7%
$2.30
Active
7d ago
russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi
Active
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-75.7%
Volume
$2.30
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
-$82.62
-71.2%
$149.45
fee: $1.00
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$82.62
ROI
-71.2%
Volume
$149.45
fee: $1.00
P
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
-$3.86
-13.3%
$55.65
fee: $1.29
Yes
7d ago
P
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$3.86
ROI
-13.3%
Volume
$55.65
fee: $1.29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?
+$2.85
+5.5%
$106.59
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$2.85
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$106.59
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
+$19.50
+5.2%
$767.74
Active
7d ago
Active
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$19.50
ROI
+5.2%
Volume
$767.74
P
Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?
+$2.50
+2.1%
$242.49
Yes
7d ago
P
Yes
Will the Republican Party win the IN-04 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$2.50
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$242.49
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
-$0.58
-16.3%
$5.22
fee: $0.09
Active
7d ago
Active
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$0.58
ROI
-16.3%
Volume
$5.22
fee: $0.09
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
-$4.97
-14.8%
$62.24
fee: $0.13
Yes
7d ago
Yes
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$4.97
ROI
-14.8%
Volume
$62.24
fee: $0.13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
+$0.68
+5.6%
$25.16
Active
7d ago
Active
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.68
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$25.16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
+$0.29
+4.1%
$14.35
Active
7d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$14.35
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?
-$2.97
-55.9%
$7.84
fee: $0.17
Yes
7d ago
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$2.97
ROI
-55.9%
Volume
$7.84
fee: $0.17
Iran leadership change by November 30?
+$3.76
+10.3%
$76.56
Active
7d ago
Active
Iran leadership change by November 30?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$3.76
ROI
+10.3%
Volume
$76.56
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
+$14.21
+37.1%
$90.79
fee: $0.75
Active
7d ago
Active
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$14.21
ROI
+37.1%
Volume
$90.79
fee: $0.75
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
-$232.30
-14.4%
$3.00K
fee: $10.61
Active
7d ago
Active
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 7d ago
PnL
-$232.30
ROI
-14.4%
Volume
$3.00K
fee: $10.61
aircraft-carriers-centcom-negrisk
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
+$0.30
+7.5%
$8.30
Active
7d ago
aircraft-carriers-centcom-negrisk
Active
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
Active 7d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$8.30
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
-$0.56
-14.7%
$7.07
Active
8d ago
Active
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-14.7%
Volume
$7.07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$38.01
Active
8d ago
Active
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$38.01
P
bonbast
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
+$3.75
+95.5%
$11.59
Active
8d ago
P
bonbast
Active
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$3.75
ROI
+95.5%
Volume
$11.59
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?
+$1.12
+29.2%
$8.80
Active
8d ago
Active
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$1.12
ROI
+29.2%
Volume
$8.80
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
-$9.36
-4.8%
$378.93
fee: $0.68
Active
8d ago
Active
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$9.36
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$378.93
fee: $0.68
Blue wave in 2026?
-$17.25
-34.3%
$85.42
fee: $2.23
Yes
8d ago
Yes
Blue wave in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$17.25
ROI
-34.3%
Volume
$85.42
fee: $2.23
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
+$14.87
+150.5%
$34.93
fee: $0.30
No
8d ago
No
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$14.87
ROI
+150.5%
Volume
$34.93
fee: $0.30
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
-$5.51
-58.8%
$13.52
fee: $0.31
Yes
8d ago
Yes
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$5.51
ROI
-58.8%
Volume
$13.52
fee: $0.31
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
-$1.20
-20.6%
$10.44
fee: $0.11
Active
8d ago
Active
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-20.6%
Volume
$10.44
fee: $0.11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 15%-18%?
+$1.67
+13.8%
$25.75
fee: $0.07
Active
8d ago
Active
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 15%-18%?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$1.67
ROI
+13.8%
Volume
$25.75
fee: $0.07
bank-of-canada-decision
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
+$0.80
+4.5%
$36.32
fee: $0.43
Active
8d ago
bank-of-canada-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$36.32
fee: $0.43
P
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
+$0.24
+3.7%
$13.20
Yes
8d ago
P
Yes
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$13.20
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
+$2.40
+44.5%
$13.30
fee: $0.10
No
8d ago
No
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$2.40
ROI
+44.5%
Volume
$13.30
fee: $0.10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
-$16.22
-67.6%
$31.80
Active
8d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$16.22
ROI
-67.6%
Volume
$31.80
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?
-$2.11
-18.5%
$20.70
No
8d ago
No
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-18.5%
Volume
$20.70
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
-$3.34
-30.7%
$18.42
fee: $0.29
Active
8d ago
Active
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$3.34
ROI
-30.7%
Volume
$18.42
fee: $0.29
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?
-$1.53
-16.7%
$17.08
fee: $0.31
No
8d ago
No
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.53
ROI
-16.7%
Volume
$17.08
fee: $0.31
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
-$8.80
-55.6%
$22.88
Active
8d ago
Active
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
-$8.80
ROI
-55.6%
Volume
$22.88
1,220 Markets
•
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