P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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PolyEdge Engine
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$30.28
Pythianity
Pythianity
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
October 1, 2025
Active
September 29, 2026
Balance
$92.19
Incoming
+$23.99
Rewards
+$0.73
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$16.19
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 30
Sep 7
Sep 14
Sep 22
Sep 29
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Economy
+$15.24
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +16.8%
Politics
+$10.30
WR: 60.0%
(3/5)
ROI: +2.8%
Crypto
+$5.89
WR: 52.4%
(11/21)
ROI: +9.8%
15m
+$3.74
WR: 100.0%
(6/6)
ROI: +13.8%
5m
+$2.15
WR: 33.3%
(5/15)
ROI: +6.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$954.35
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$20.95
ROI
6.7%
Win Rate
56.5%
Volume
$716.73
Fee
$1.66
13 Wins in 23 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$20.95
ROI
6.7%
Win Rate
56.5%
Volume
$716.73
Fee
$1.66
13 Wins in 23 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$20.95
ROI
6.7%
Win Rate
56.5%
Volume
$716.73
Fee
$1.66
13 Wins in 23 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$16.19
ROI
3.8%
Win Rate
53.9%
Volume
$954.35
Fee
$2.35
14 Wins in 26 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 87
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
sol-up-or-down-15m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
+$0.52
+11.6%
$4.50
fee: $0.03
Down
5m ago
sol-up-or-down-15m
Down
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Settled 3m ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.03
eth-up-or-down-15m
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
+$0.47
+10.4%
$4.50
fee: $0.03
Up
20m ago
eth-up-or-down-15m
Up
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Settled 18m ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.03
xrp-up-or-down-15m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
+$0.47
+10.4%
$4.50
fee: $0.03
Up
20m ago
xrp-up-or-down-15m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Settled 18m ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.03
eth-up-or-down-15m
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
+$0.75
+16.6%
$4.50
fee: $0.05
Up
35m ago
eth-up-or-down-15m
Up
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Settled 33m ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.05
btc-up-or-down-15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
+$0.47
+10.4%
$4.50
fee: $0.03
Down
50m ago
btc-up-or-down-15m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Settled 48m ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.03
sol-up-or-down-15m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
+$1.06
+23.6%
$4.50
fee: $0.06
Up
1h ago
sol-up-or-down-15m
Up
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$1.06
ROI
+23.6%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.06
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
-$1.57
-105.0%
$1.50
fee: $0.07
Up
1h ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Up
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Settled 1h ago
PnL
-$1.57
ROI
-105.0%
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.07
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
-$2.89
-103.4%
$2.80
fee: $0.09
Down
2h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Down
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Settled 2h ago
PnL
-$2.89
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$2.80
fee: $0.09
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
-$1.57
-105.0%
$1.50
fee: $0.07
Up
3h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Settled 2h ago
PnL
-$1.57
ROI
-105.0%
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.07
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
-$2.79
-103.3%
$2.70
fee: $0.09
Up
3h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Settled 3h ago
PnL
-$2.79
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$2.70
fee: $0.09
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
-$2.13
-104.1%
$2.05
fee: $0.08
Down
3h ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Down
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Settled 3h ago
PnL
-$2.13
ROI
-104.1%
Volume
$2.05
fee: $0.08
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
-$0.59
-105.3%
$0.56
fee: $0.03
Up
3h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Settled 3h ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-105.3%
Volume
$0.56
fee: $0.03
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
-$1.47
-105.3%
$1.40
fee: $0.07
Up
3h ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Up
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Settled 3h ago
PnL
-$1.47
ROI
-105.3%
Volume
$1.40
fee: $0.07
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
+$1.59
+44.8%
$3.55
fee: $0.08
Up
4h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Settled 4h ago
PnL
+$1.59
ROI
+44.8%
Volume
$3.55
fee: $0.08
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$2.90
+123.4%
$2.35
fee: $0.09
Up
5h ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Up
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Settled 4h ago
PnL
+$2.90
ROI
+123.4%
Volume
$2.35
fee: $0.09
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
-$1.83
-104.8%
$1.75
fee: $0.08
Up
5h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Settled 5h ago
PnL
-$1.83
ROI
-104.8%
Volume
$1.75
fee: $0.08
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
-$1.37
-105.7%
$1.30
fee: $0.07
Up
5h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Settled 5h ago
PnL
-$1.37
ROI
-105.7%
Volume
$1.30
fee: $0.07
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
+$3.85
+265.3%
$1.45
fee: $0.07
Down
5h ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Down
XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Settled 5h ago
PnL
+$3.85
ROI
+265.3%
Volume
$1.45
fee: $0.07
eth-up-or-down-5m
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$0.71
+16.6%
$4.25
fee: $0.04
Down
6h ago
eth-up-or-down-5m
Down
Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$0.71
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$4.25
fee: $0.04
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
-$4.93
-103.4%
$4.77
fee: $0.16
Up
18h ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Up
Solana Up or Down - September 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Settled 18h ago
PnL
-$4.93
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$4.77
fee: $0.16
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$9.79
+6.6%
$438.15
Active
18h ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 18h ago
PnL
+$9.79
ROI
+6.6%
Volume
$438.15
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
+$5.28
+4.9%
$218.57
fee: $0.23
Active
18h ago
merz-out
Active
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
Active 18h ago
PnL
+$5.28
ROI
+4.9%
Volume
$218.57
fee: $0.23
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
+$14.28
+1322.1%
$1.08
fee: $0.07
Down
19h ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Settled 19h ago
PnL
+$14.28
ROI
+1322.1%
Volume
$1.08
fee: $0.07
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$15.24
+16.8%
$197.62
fee: $0.69
Yes
12d ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$15.24
ROI
+16.8%
Volume
$197.62
fee: $0.69
P
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
—
—
$20.00
Active
14d ago
P
Active
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Active 14d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$20.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
-$20.00
-100.0%
$20.00
Yes
27d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$20.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$20.00
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?
+$1.15
+2.3%
$49.50
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
gta-vi-extended-look-views
No
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.15
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$49.50
fee: $0.06
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?
-$10.25
-102.5%
$10.00
fee: $0.25
No
1mo ago
gta-vi-extended-look-views
No
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.25
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
—
—
$99.99
fee: $0.48
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$99.99
fee: $0.48
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
+$28.97
+72.4%
$40.00
fee: $0.85
No
1mo ago
No
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$28.97
ROI
+72.4%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.85
P
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
-$27.00
-100.0%
$27.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$27.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.00
P
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
-$28.81
-78.5%
$44.59
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$28.81
ROI
-78.5%
Volume
$44.59
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$54.60
fee: $2.40
Active
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$54.60
fee: $2.40
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$7.01
+14.0%
$107.01
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
+$7.01
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$107.01
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$40.72
+135.7%
$100.71
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$40.72
ROI
+135.7%
Volume
$100.71
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$20.40
+88.7%
$23.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$20.40
ROI
+88.7%
Volume
$23.00
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
+$3.07
+3.2%
$195.17
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.07
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$195.17
fee: $0.10
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
+$5.09
+17.0%
$30.00
fee: $0.18
No
2mo ago
No
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.09
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.18
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
-$15.10
-100.6%
$15.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.10
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.10
soccer-fifwc
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
-$8.31
-103.9%
$8.00
fee: $0.31
No
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.31
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.31
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.52
+6.1%
$25.00
fee: $0.08
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.52
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.08
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.79
+7.2%
$25.00
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.79
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.09
soccer-fifwc
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
+$2.57
+32.1%
$8.00
fee: $0.10
Argentina
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Argentina
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.57
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$8.00
fee: $0.10
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
+$2.87
+34.3%
$8.37
fee: $0.11
Spain
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.87
ROI
+34.3%
Volume
$8.37
fee: $0.11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$10.41
-104.1%
$10.00
fee: $0.41
No
2mo ago
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.41
ROI
-104.1%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.41
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.22
+6.1%
$20.00
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.22
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.06
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$2.12
+10.6%
$20.00
fee: $0.10
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.12
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.10
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$2.36
+11.8%
$20.00
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.36
ROI
+11.8%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.11
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$7.74
-100.6%
$7.69
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.74
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$7.69
fee: $0.05
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.78
+4.0%
$44.00
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.78
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$44.00
fee: $0.05
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$2.66
+88.7%
$3.00
No
2mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$2.66
ROI
+88.7%
Volume
$3.00
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
-$20.07
-100.3%
$20.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.07
ROI
-100.3%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.07
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$6.17
+6.2%
$206.17
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.17
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$206.17
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.61
+8.5%
$19.00
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$19.00
fee: $0.05
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.37
+4.2%
$33.00
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.37
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$33.00
fee: $0.04
P
soccer-fifwc
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
+$1.62
+10.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
soccer-fifwc
No
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+10.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.04
P
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
-$5.72
-99.9%
$5.74
fee: $0.00
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.72
ROI
-99.9%
Volume
$5.74
fee: $0.00
soccer-fifwc
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
+$8.05
+80.5%
$10.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.05
ROI
+80.5%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.13
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
+$3.54
+70.7%
$5.00
fee: $0.08
Yes
3mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Yes
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.54
ROI
+70.7%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.08
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$10.00
-100.0%
$10.00
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
—
—
$30.00
fee: $0.67
Active
3mo ago
Active
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.67
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$5.32
+26.6%
$20.00
Yes
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.32
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$20.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$4.76
+19.0%
$25.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.76
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$25.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$2.66
+26.6%
$10.00
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.66
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$10.00
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
+$2.97
+19.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.10
Yes
3mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.97
ROI
+19.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.10
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$8.00
+26.6%
$42.50
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.00
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$42.50
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
+$4.62
+46.2%
$10.00
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.62
ROI
+46.2%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$10.00
Active
3mo ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$123.96
+98.2%
$376.36
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$123.96
ROI
+98.2%
Volume
$376.36
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$17.33
+93.2%
$54.53
No
3mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$17.33
ROI
+93.2%
Volume
$54.53
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.51
-7.6%
$38.86
fee: $0.37
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.51
ROI
-7.6%
Volume
$38.86
fee: $0.37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
—
—
$21.51
fee: $0.44
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.51
fee: $0.44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
+$6.89
+27.5%
$56.88
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.89
ROI
+27.5%
Volume
$56.88
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
+$2.50
+12.5%
$70.27
Active
3mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.50
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$70.27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
-$17.00
-100.0%
$17.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$17.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$17.00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
—
—
$42.21
fee: $0.38
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$42.21
fee: $0.38
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
-$42.04
-100.0%
$42.04
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$42.04
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$42.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
+$2.80
+16.3%
$17.20
No
3mo ago
No
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.80
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$17.20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$5.76
+24.1%
$46.43
No
4mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.76
ROI
+24.1%
Volume
$46.43
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
-$1.94
-5.0%
$76.06
No
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.94
ROI
-5.0%
Volume
$76.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
+$3.46
+7.5%
$46.00
No
4mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.46
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$46.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
+$0.72
+2.8%
$0.72
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.72
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$0.72
house-odds-deriv
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
—
—
$24.10
fee: $0.19
Active
4mo ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.10
fee: $0.19
Trump kiss by May 31?
-$30.16
-67.2%
$60.63
fee: $1.06
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Trump kiss by May 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$30.16
ROI
-67.2%
Volume
$60.63
fee: $1.06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
-$0.24
-100.0%
$23.86
No
5mo ago
No
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$0.24
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$23.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
-$0.38
-100.0%
$34.50
No
5mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$34.50
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
-$0.18
-100.0%
$9.69
No
5mo ago
No
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.69
87 Markets