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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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Weighted Vol:
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Pablo34234
Pablo34234
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
May 5, 2026
Active
August 14, 2026
Balance
$101.25
Incoming
+$99.53
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 23
Aug 30
Sep 7
Sep 14
Sep 22
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 94
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
china-gdp
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
+$0.04
+15.4%
$0.56
Active
1mo ago
china-gdp
Active
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$0.56
trump-countries-visited
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
-$0.10
-20.0%
$0.90
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
trump-countries-visited
Active
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-20.0%
Volume
$0.90
fee: $0.01
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
+$0.10
+6.5%
$3.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$3.20
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
-$0.33
-55.0%
$0.87
Active
1mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Active
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.33
ROI
-55.0%
Volume
$0.87
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
-$0.44
-40.7%
$1.72
No
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.44
ROI
-40.7%
Volume
$1.72
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
+$0.33
+51.3%
$1.60
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+51.3%
Volume
$1.60
fee: $0.02
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
+$1.94
+23.3%
$18.64
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.94
ROI
+23.3%
Volume
$18.64
P
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$1.55
-83.8%
$2.15
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$1.55
ROI
-83.8%
Volume
$2.15
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
+$0.09
+51.4%
$0.44
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+51.4%
Volume
$0.44
fee: $0.00
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
-$0.06
-40.0%
$0.24
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-40.0%
Volume
$0.24
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
-$0.10
-14.3%
$1.30
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$1.30
russia-enter-group
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
+$0.68
+19.2%
$7.59
Active
1mo ago
russia-enter-group
Active
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.68
ROI
+19.2%
Volume
$7.59
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
-$0.05
-40.7%
$0.21
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Active
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-40.7%
Volume
$0.21
fee: $0.00
next-leader-out
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
+$0.03
+36.8%
$0.19
Active
1mo ago
next-leader-out
Active
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+36.8%
Volume
$0.19
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
+$0.75
+67.9%
$2.95
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+67.9%
Volume
$2.95
best-text-to-image-ai
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
+$0.03
+16.1%
$0.34
No
1mo ago
best-text-to-image-ai
No
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$0.34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
-$0.05
-22.0%
$0.37
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-22.0%
Volume
$0.37
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?
+$0.20
+7.5%
$5.50
No
1mo ago
P
trump-monthly-mentions
No
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$5.50
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
+$0.03
+16.7%
$0.33
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+16.7%
Volume
$0.33
peoples-bank-of-china
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
-$0.25
-13.9%
$3.35
Active
1mo ago
peoples-bank-of-china
Active
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-13.9%
Volume
$3.35
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
+$0.65
+20.0%
$7.16
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$7.16
3rd-largest-company
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
+$0.15
+5.7%
$5.45
No
1mo ago
3rd-largest-company
No
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$5.45
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
-$0.23
-52.3%
$0.65
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-52.3%
Volume
$0.65
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
+$0.75
+65.2%
$3.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+65.2%
Volume
$3.05
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
-$0.15
-90.6%
$0.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-90.6%
Volume
$0.18
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
+$0.02
+4.8%
$0.64
No
1mo ago
bank-of-israel-decision
No
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$0.64
us-forces-in-gaza
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
+$0.35
+140.0%
$0.85
Active
1mo ago
us-forces-in-gaza
Active
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+140.0%
Volume
$0.85
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
—
—
$4.80
Active
1mo ago
Active
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.80
trump-countries-visited
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
-$0.05
-2.9%
$3.45
Active
1mo ago
trump-countries-visited
Active
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$3.45
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026?
-$0.55
-64.7%
$1.15
No
1mo ago
P
houthis-target-shipping-on
No
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 19, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.55
ROI
-64.7%
Volume
$1.15
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
+$0.35
+43.8%
$1.95
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+43.8%
Volume
$1.95
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?
-$0.15
-7.0%
$4.15
Yes
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-7.0%
Volume
$4.15
P
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?
+$0.35
+24.1%
$3.25
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+24.1%
Volume
$3.25
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
+$0.45
+179.8%
$0.95
No
1mo ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+179.8%
Volume
$0.95
best-math-ai
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$1.20
Active
1mo ago
best-math-ai
Active
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.20
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
+$0.20
+14.8%
$2.90
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+14.8%
Volume
$2.90
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
+$0.30
+15.8%
$4.10
No
1mo ago
No
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+15.8%
Volume
$4.10
first-to-leave-trump-cabinet
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
-$0.01
-0.6%
$3.16
Active
1mo ago
first-to-leave-trump-cabinet
Active
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$3.16
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
-$0.13
-26.3%
$0.83
No
1mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-26.3%
Volume
$0.83
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$0.44
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.44
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
-$0.10
-6.9%
$2.80
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$2.80
P
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$0.50
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.50
P
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
+$0.15
+10.7%
$2.95
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+10.7%
Volume
$2.95
P
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?
-$0.05
-5.6%
$1.75
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-5.6%
Volume
$1.75
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
+$0.05
+3.6%
$2.85
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$2.85
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August?
+$0.11
+71.0%
$0.42
Yes
1mo ago
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+71.0%
Volume
$0.42
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?
+$0.08
+26.3%
$0.65
No
1mo ago
P
trump-monthly-mentions
No
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+26.3%
Volume
$0.65
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Will Trump say "Shit" in August?
-$1.90
-80.9%
$2.80
Yes
1mo ago
P
trump-monthly-mentions
Yes
Will Trump say "Shit" in August?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90
ROI
-80.9%
Volume
$2.80
P
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
+$0.30
+3.5%
$17.40
No
1mo ago
P
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+3.5%
Volume
$17.40
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$0.06
-39.3%
$0.23
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-39.3%
Volume
$0.23
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
+$0.10
+9.5%
$2.20
Active
1mo ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$2.20
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
+$0.20
+19.0%
$2.30
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$2.30
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
-$0.25
-16.1%
$2.85
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-16.1%
Volume
$2.85
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.90
-69.2%
$1.70
No
1mo ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-69.2%
Volume
$1.70
apple-hit-price-monthly
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in August?
-$0.15
-5.5%
$5.35
Yes
1mo ago
apple-hit-price-monthly
Yes
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in August?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$5.35
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
+$0.12
+35.9%
$0.76
Active
1mo ago
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Active
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+35.9%
Volume
$0.76
reusable-spacex-starship
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
-$0.45
-11.8%
$7.15
Active
1mo ago
reusable-spacex-starship
Active
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$7.15
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
+$0.30
+6.7%
$9.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$9.20
P
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?
-$0.05
-6.3%
$1.55
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$1.55
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
+$0.25
+11.4%
$4.65
No
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$4.65
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?
-$0.20
-7.7%
$5.00
No
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
No
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-7.7%
Volume
$5.00
P
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
+$0.25
+54.9%
$1.16
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+54.9%
Volume
$1.16
P
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
+$0.35
+29.2%
$2.75
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+29.2%
Volume
$2.75
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
+$0.15
+4.8%
$6.45
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$6.45
P
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$0.07
+59.1%
$0.29
No
1mo ago
P
No
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+59.1%
Volume
$0.29
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
-$0.80
-21.1%
$6.80
No
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-21.1%
Volume
$6.80
trump-monthly-meeting
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
+$0.30
+20.7%
$3.20
Active
1mo ago
trump-monthly-meeting
Active
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+20.7%
Volume
$3.20
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
-$0.40
-20.0%
$3.60
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-20.0%
Volume
$3.60
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
-$0.60
-12.5%
$9.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$9.00
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
+$0.40
+13.3%
$6.40
No
1mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
No
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+13.3%
Volume
$6.40
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
+$0.01
+15.4%
$0.14
Active
1mo ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Active
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$0.14
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
+$0.20
+11.4%
$3.70
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$3.70
monthly-spacex-launches
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
+$0.40
+5.5%
$15.00
Active
1mo ago
monthly-spacex-launches
Active
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$15.00
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
+$0.85
+13.3%
$13.65
Active
1mo ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.85
ROI
+13.3%
Volume
$13.65
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
-$0.40
-20.5%
$3.50
Active
1mo ago
Active
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-20.5%
Volume
$3.50
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
+$1.05
+11.9%
$17.25
Active
1mo ago
Active
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$17.25
P
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?
-$0.20
-18.2%
$2.00
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-18.2%
Volume
$2.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
+$0.10
+7.7%
$2.70
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$2.70
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
+$0.70
+70.0%
$2.70
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$0.70
ROI
+70.0%
Volume
$2.70
P
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
-$0.20
-13.3%
$2.80
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-13.3%
Volume
$2.80
fee: $0.03
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$0.01
+1.0%
$1.02
No
1mo ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$1.02
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?
+$0.55
+11.5%
$10.15
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.55
ROI
+11.5%
Volume
$10.15
P
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
-$1.60
-61.5%
$3.60
Yes
1mo ago
P
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.60
ROI
-61.5%
Volume
$3.60
P
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
-$0.25
-100.0%
$0.25
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.25
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
—
—
$0.20
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.20
P
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?
-$1.00
-33.3%
$5.00
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$5.00
monthly-spacex-launches
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
-$0.03
-9.8%
$0.49
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
monthly-spacex-launches
Active
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-9.8%
Volume
$0.49
fee: $0.01
bank-of-israel-decision
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
+$0.05
+1.3%
$7.85
Yes
1mo ago
bank-of-israel-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$7.85
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
+$0.07
+21.3%
$0.68
Active
1mo ago
Active
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+21.3%
Volume
$0.68
P
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
+$0.10
+33.9%
$0.66
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+33.9%
Volume
$0.66
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
-$0.00
-1.5%
$0.53
Active
1mo ago
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes
Active
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-1.5%
Volume
$0.53
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
-$0.40
-8.7%
$8.80
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-8.7%
Volume
$8.80
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
-$0.04
-0.3%
$23.72
No
3mo ago
No
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$23.72
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
-$0.00
-0.4%
$2.99
No
4mo ago
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.00
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$2.99
94 Markets