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PolyPnL
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Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
qu
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.94
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quietfold12
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Created
July 24, 2026
Active
October 27, 2026
Balance
$98.16
Incoming
+$99.76
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$2.26
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 13
Oct 20
Oct 28
Nov 4
Nov 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$2.26
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +49.9%
Elections
+$0.26
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +79.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$6.80
60.0%
Taker Volume
$4.53
40.0%
Taker Ratio
40%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$2.26
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
49.9%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$11.33
Fee
$0.15
2 Wins in 2 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 100
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Lori Lococo win the 2026 Niagara Falls mayoral election?
+$0.26
+79.4%
$0.93
fee: $0.01
Yes
16d ago
Yes
Will Lori Lococo win the 2026 Niagara Falls mayoral election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+79.4%
Volume
$0.93
fee: $0.01
P
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
+$2.00
+47.6%
$10.40
fee: $0.13
Active
22d ago
P
Active
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Active 22d ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+47.6%
Volume
$10.40
fee: $0.13
Will QS finish in third place in the Quebec general election?
-$0.59
-12.4%
$9.13
fee: $0.16
No
1mo ago
No
Will QS finish in third place in the Quebec general election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-12.4%
Volume
$9.13
fee: $0.16
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$2.89
-58.6%
$6.97
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.89
ROI
-58.6%
Volume
$6.97
Will Nabil Benabdallah be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
+$1.48
+16.0%
$20.02
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
No
Will Nabil Benabdallah be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$1.48
ROI
+16.0%
Volume
$20.02
fee: $0.06
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
-$3.50
-82.1%
$5.10
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.50
ROI
-82.1%
Volume
$5.10
fee: $0.08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 30% or more?
+$1.43
+16.8%
$18.43
fee: $0.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 30% or more?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.43
ROI
+16.8%
Volume
$18.43
fee: $0.05
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
+$2.43
+63.6%
$10.07
fee: $0.14
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.43
ROI
+63.6%
Volume
$10.07
fee: $0.14
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
+$1.24
+15.0%
$17.82
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.24
ROI
+15.0%
Volume
$17.82
fee: $0.08
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
-$1.56
-32.6%
$8.11
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to
No
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.56
ROI
-32.6%
Volume
$8.11
fee: $0.12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
-$4.32
-46.2%
$14.40
No
2mo ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$4.32
ROI
-46.2%
Volume
$14.40
Will Abdessamad Archane be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
+$0.76
+8.6%
$18.40
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
No
Will Abdessamad Archane be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$18.40
fee: $0.04
moscow-air-traffic
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
+$0.28
+3.8%
$15.00
No
2mo ago
moscow-air-traffic
No
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$15.00
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
-$2.27
-26.6%
$14.94
fee: $0.16
No
2mo ago
ai-millennium-prize-solution
No
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.27
ROI
-26.6%
Volume
$14.94
fee: $0.16
Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
+$4.27
+88.8%
$14.06
fee: $0.17
No
2mo ago
No
Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.27
ROI
+88.8%
Volume
$14.06
fee: $0.17
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?
+$2.15
+44.4%
$11.96
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
No
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.15
ROI
+44.4%
Volume
$11.96
fee: $0.15
P
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
+$4.72
+57.1%
$21.24
fee: $0.28
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.72
ROI
+57.1%
Volume
$21.24
fee: $0.28
P
Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election?
-$7.88
-103.4%
$7.62
fee: $0.26
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$7.88
ROI
-103.4%
Volume
$7.62
fee: $0.26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?
+$0.84
+17.7%
$10.32
fee: $0.04
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.84
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$10.32
fee: $0.04
P
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?
+$1.75
+21.8%
$17.81
fee: $0.07
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.75
ROI
+21.8%
Volume
$17.81
fee: $0.07
P
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
+$0.60
+12.5%
$10.16
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$10.16
fee: $0.02
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
+$0.19
+3.0%
$13.22
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$13.22
fee: $0.02
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?
+$2.60
+63.4%
$10.94
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$2.60
ROI
+63.4%
Volume
$10.94
fee: $0.13
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?
-$0.10
-2.2%
$8.65
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$8.65
fee: $0.05
P
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
+$1.04
+22.9%
$10.14
fee: $0.12
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.04
ROI
+22.9%
Volume
$10.14
fee: $0.12
xagusd-hit-month
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August?
-$0.72
-7.5%
$18.84
fee: $0.25
Yes
2mo ago
xagusd-hit-month
Yes
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-7.5%
Volume
$18.84
fee: $0.25
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?
+$1.28
+77.9%
$4.64
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+77.9%
Volume
$4.64
fee: $0.06
ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 30?
-$1.04
-22.0%
$8.93
fee: $0.57
No
2mo ago
ethereum-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.04
ROI
-22.0%
Volume
$8.93
fee: $0.57
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
-$0.30
-6.4%
$9.10
Yes
2mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-6.4%
Volume
$9.10
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
+$2.48
+51.5%
$12.22
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
No
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.48
ROI
+51.5%
Volume
$12.22
fee: $0.12
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
-$0.20
-4.3%
$9.00
Yes
2mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-4.3%
Volume
$9.00
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
-$1.34
-42.4%
$5.10
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.34
ROI
-42.4%
Volume
$5.10
fee: $0.12
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
+$0.76
+16.6%
$9.96
fee: $0.12
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$9.96
fee: $0.12
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
-$2.90
-62.3%
$6.82
fee: $0.42
No
2mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.90
ROI
-62.3%
Volume
$6.82
fee: $0.42
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?
+$2.20
+45.5%
$11.86
No
2mo ago
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.20
ROI
+45.5%
Volume
$11.86
wti-daily-close-uo
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 26?
+$0.43
+9.7%
$9.30
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
wti-daily-close-uo
No
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 26?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+9.7%
Volume
$9.30
fee: $0.02
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
+$15.22
+319.7%
$25.07
fee: $0.33
No
2mo ago
No
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.22
ROI
+319.7%
Volume
$25.07
fee: $0.33
P
bonbast
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
+$2.84
+60.7%
$12.43
fee: $0.21
No
2mo ago
P
bonbast
No
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.84
ROI
+60.7%
Volume
$12.43
fee: $0.21
P
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
+$0.79
+16.4%
$10.53
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.79
ROI
+16.4%
Volume
$10.53
fee: $0.12
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $350M and $400M at market close on IPO day?
-$1.38
-98.6%
$1.42
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
P
ipo-closing-market-cap
No
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $350M and $400M at market close on IPO day?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.38
ROI
-98.6%
Volume
$1.42
fee: $0.00
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
+$6.34
+45.2%
$35.27
fee: $0.85
Yes
2mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
Yes
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.34
ROI
+45.2%
Volume
$35.27
fee: $0.85
chengdu-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 24?
-$0.54
-11.9%
$8.52
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
chengdu-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.54
ROI
-11.9%
Volume
$8.52
fee: $0.06
wellington-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 24?
-$1.14
-23.7%
$8.58
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
wellington-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.14
ROI
-23.7%
Volume
$8.58
fee: $0.12
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
+$2.68
+28.8%
$21.52
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.68
ROI
+28.8%
Volume
$21.52
fee: $0.20
Will Siva Pillay be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
+$0.96
+20.0%
$10.56
fee: $0.04
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Siva Pillay be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$10.56
fee: $0.04
P
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$3.40
+70.7%
$13.26
fee: $0.24
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.40
ROI
+70.7%
Volume
$13.26
fee: $0.24
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
-$0.45
-9.1%
$9.45
Yes
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$9.45
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
+$2.16
+45.9%
$11.74
fee: $0.14
No
2mo ago
No
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.16
ROI
+45.9%
Volume
$11.74
fee: $0.14
P
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
+$0.00
+0.1%
$9.13
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$9.13
fee: $0.11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
+$0.84
+17.5%
$10.44
No
2mo ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.84
ROI
+17.5%
Volume
$10.44
amazon-hit-price-weekly
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 17 2026?
-$2.57
-57.0%
$6.60
fee: $0.17
No
2mo ago
amazon-hit-price-weekly
No
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 17 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.57
ROI
-57.0%
Volume
$6.60
fee: $0.17
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
+$0.44
+9.9%
$9.42
fee: $0.10
No
2mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.44
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$9.42
fee: $0.10
ethereum-hit-price-weekly
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?
+$1.08
+53.0%
$5.28
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
ethereum-hit-price-weekly
Yes
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+53.0%
Volume
$5.28
fee: $0.12
atlanta-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 17?
+$0.43
+9.1%
$9.96
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
atlanta-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+9.1%
Volume
$9.96
fee: $0.05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
-$3.38
-70.3%
$6.24
No
2mo ago
No
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.38
ROI
-70.3%
Volume
$6.24
P
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?
-$0.50
-11.0%
$8.60
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.50
ROI
-11.0%
Volume
$8.60
Will UC win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
+$0.30
+6.5%
$9.49
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Will UC win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$9.49
fee: $0.02
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 15?
-$4.23
-89.9%
$5.42
fee: $0.25
No
2mo ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.23
ROI
-89.9%
Volume
$5.42
fee: $0.25
P
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
+$2.48
+51.7%
$12.48
fee: $0.40
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.48
ROI
+51.7%
Volume
$12.48
fee: $0.40
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?
+$2.44
+52.2%
$12.09
fee: $0.29
No
3mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.44
ROI
+52.2%
Volume
$12.09
fee: $0.29
P
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?
+$0.19
+4.2%
$9.49
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
median-home-price-austin
No
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$9.49
fee: $0.02
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
-$2.00
-40.3%
$7.92
No
3mo ago
No
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-40.3%
Volume
$7.92
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
+$0.77
+8.0%
$19.91
No
3mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.77
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$19.91
P
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
-$6.90
-72.1%
$12.66
fee: $0.42
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.90
ROI
-72.1%
Volume
$12.66
fee: $0.42
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?
-$1.58
-34.2%
$7.98
fee: $0.32
No
3mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.58
ROI
-34.2%
Volume
$7.98
fee: $0.32
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
-$1.06
-22.6%
$8.52
fee: $0.22
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-22.6%
Volume
$8.52
fee: $0.22
P
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
-$3.88
-78.4%
$6.24
fee: $0.23
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.88
ROI
-78.4%
Volume
$6.24
fee: $0.23
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
-$3.03
-63.9%
$6.75
fee: $0.28
Yes
3mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.03
ROI
-63.9%
Volume
$6.75
fee: $0.28
P
Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$0.48
+11.1%
$9.10
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$9.10
fee: $0.02
league-of-legends
Games Total: O/U 2.5
-$4.80
-104.0%
$4.62
fee: $0.18
Under
3mo ago
league-of-legends
Under
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.80
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$4.62
fee: $0.18
chicago-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 7?
+$2.37
+49.8%
$12.36
fee: $0.46
No
3mo ago
chicago-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.37
ROI
+49.8%
Volume
$12.36
fee: $0.46
shanghai-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?
-$3.52
-37.0%
$16.22
fee: $0.74
No
3mo ago
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.52
ROI
-37.0%
Volume
$16.22
fee: $0.74
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
+$3.60
+75.0%
$13.20
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.60
ROI
+75.0%
Volume
$13.20
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
-$4.83
-103.3%
$4.68
fee: $0.15
No
3mo ago
No
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$4.83
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$4.68
fee: $0.15
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?
+$0.28
+6.1%
$9.85
fee: $0.37
Yes
3mo ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$9.85
fee: $0.37
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$0.82
+17.0%
$10.81
fee: $0.33
No
3mo ago
No
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$10.81
fee: $0.33
jeddah-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 7?
+$0.43
+9.3%
$9.60
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
jeddah-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+9.3%
Volume
$9.60
fee: $0.05
Will ST! come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
+$0.86
+17.6%
$10.74
fee: $0.04
No
3mo ago
No
Will ST! come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.86
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$10.74
fee: $0.04
helsinki-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 7?
-$2.13
-104.4%
$2.04
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
helsinki-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.13
ROI
-104.4%
Volume
$2.04
fee: $0.09
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
-$5.60
-96.6%
$6.00
fee: $0.01
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.60
ROI
-96.6%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.01
P
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?
+$1.65
+1496.0%
$1.88
fee: $0.00
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.65
ROI
+1496.0%
Volume
$1.88
fee: $0.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
+$1.55
+18.4%
$18.48
fee: $0.13
No
3mo ago
No
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.55
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$18.48
fee: $0.13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
-$3.60
-75.0%
$6.00
No
3mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.60
ROI
-75.0%
Volume
$6.00
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$1.25
+26.8%
$10.67
fee: $0.12
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.25
ROI
+26.8%
Volume
$10.67
fee: $0.12
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
-$2.36
-54.9%
$6.33
fee: $0.09
No
3mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.36
ROI
-54.9%
Volume
$6.33
fee: $0.09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$0.18
+3.2%
$11.34
No
3mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$11.34
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
-$4.32
-89.4%
$5.52
fee: $0.18
No
3mo ago
No
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.32
ROI
-89.4%
Volume
$5.52
fee: $0.18
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
+$1.98
+42.8%
$11.34
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.98
ROI
+42.8%
Volume
$11.34
fee: $0.12
P
box-office-openings
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m?
-$2.60
-100.0%
$2.60
No
3mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.60
taipei-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 1?
+$0.61
+13.0%
$10.02
fee: $0.05
No
3mo ago
taipei-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 1?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.61
ROI
+13.0%
Volume
$10.02
fee: $0.05
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
+$1.39
+28.7%
$11.09
No
3mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.39
ROI
+28.7%
Volume
$11.09
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$1.49
+7.9%
$39.14
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.49
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$39.14
P
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
+$2.29
+47.3%
$12.32
fee: $0.35
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.29
ROI
+47.3%
Volume
$12.32
fee: $0.35
P
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
-$5.40
-42.9%
$19.80
fee: $0.30
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.40
ROI
-42.9%
Volume
$19.80
fee: $0.30
P
russia-enter-oleksiievo-druzhkivka
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
+$0.66
+12.5%
$11.22
Yes
3mo ago
P
russia-enter-oleksiievo-druzhkivka
Yes
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$11.22
P
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
-$0.17
-8.8%
$3.75
fee: $0.12
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.17
ROI
-8.8%
Volume
$3.75
fee: $0.12
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
+$0.42
+8.0%
$10.98
No
3mo ago
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+8.0%
Volume
$10.98
msft-neg-risk-weekly
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
+$0.58
+6.1%
$9.40
fee: $0.02
No
3mo ago
msft-neg-risk-weekly
No
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$9.40
fee: $0.02
amazon-hit-price-monthly
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in July?
-$0.13
-1.5%
$17.26
fee: $0.55
No
3mo ago
amazon-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in July?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-1.5%
Volume
$17.26
fee: $0.55
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
-$0.05
-1.1%
$8.95
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$8.95
100 Markets