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PolyPnL
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$633.01
AnonymousElephant69
AnonymousElep...
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Save
Created
October 19, 2024
Active
September 1, 2026
Balance
$4.53K
Incoming
+$13.16K
Rewards
+$174.90
Outgoing
-$2.65K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$1.33K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$2.60
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +35.1%
Tech
-$1.33K
WR: 10.0%
(1/10)
ROI: -100.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$168.65
12.6%
Taker Volume
$1.17K
87.4%
Taker Ratio
87%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$1.33K
ROI
-99.3%
Win Rate
18.2%
Volume
$1.34K
Fee
$20.72
2 Wins in 11 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 80
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
best-ai-model
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
-$201.68
-101.6%
$198.43
fee: $3.25
Yes
11d ago
best-ai-model
Yes
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$201.68
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$198.43
fee: $3.25
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
-$46.34
-102.4%
$45.24
fee: $1.10
No
11d ago
best-ai-model
No
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$46.34
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$45.24
fee: $1.10
chinese-ai-3
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$13.20
-101.6%
$13.00
fee: $0.21
No
16d ago
chinese-ai-3
No
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$13.20
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$13.00
fee: $0.21
third-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$14.44
+267.5%
$5.40
fee: $0.16
Yes
18d ago
third-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$14.44
ROI
+267.5%
Volume
$5.40
fee: $0.16
chinese-ai-2
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$153.52
-100.2%
$153.16
fee: $0.36
No
22d ago
chinese-ai-2
No
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$153.52
ROI
-100.2%
Volume
$153.16
fee: $0.36
P
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
-$23.84
-100.0%
$23.84
Yes
24d ago
P
best-ai-model
Yes
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$23.84
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$23.84
second-best-ai-company
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$743.08
-101.6%
$731.69
fee: $11.39
No
24d ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$743.08
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$731.69
fee: $11.39
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$97.99
-102.4%
$95.65
fee: $2.33
No
25d ago
3-ai-model-style-control-on
No
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$97.99
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$95.65
fee: $2.33
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
+$2.60
+35.1%
$7.40
Yes
25d ago
P
weekly-total-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Yes
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$2.60
ROI
+35.1%
Volume
$7.40
chinese-ai-3
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$30.36
-102.9%
$29.52
fee: $0.85
No
25d ago
chinese-ai-3
No
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$30.36
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$29.52
fee: $0.85
third-best-ai-company
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$38.43
-102.9%
$37.36
fee: $1.08
No
28d ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$38.43
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$37.36
fee: $1.08
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
+$156.17
+18.4%
$846.53
fee: $5.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$156.17
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$846.53
fee: $5.43
dota-2
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner
-$478.78
-51.8%
$1.40K
fee: $29.12
Level UP
1mo ago
dota-2
Level UP
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$478.78
ROI
-51.8%
Volume
$1.40K
fee: $29.12
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$296.82
+99.1%
$299.44
fee: $6.02
Yes
1mo ago
third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$296.82
ROI
+99.1%
Volume
$299.44
fee: $6.02
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$134.54
+51.8%
$259.63
fee: $3.61
Yes
1mo ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$134.54
ROI
+51.8%
Volume
$259.63
fee: $3.61
chinese-ai-2
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
+$159.34
+40.9%
$389.61
fee: $4.62
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-2
Yes
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$159.34
ROI
+40.9%
Volume
$389.61
fee: $4.62
third-best-math-ai
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$485.27
-101.8%
$476.83
fee: $8.43
No
1mo ago
third-best-math-ai
No
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$485.27
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$476.83
fee: $8.43
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$120.43
-42.1%
$459.45
fee: $8.04
Yes
1mo ago
second-best-math-ai
Yes
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$120.43
ROI
-42.1%
Volume
$459.45
fee: $8.04
third-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$87.32
+51.8%
$168.64
fee: $2.34
Yes
1mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$87.32
ROI
+51.8%
Volume
$168.64
fee: $2.34
second-best-math-ai
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$174.56
-102.3%
$170.72
fee: $3.84
No
1mo ago
second-best-math-ai
No
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$174.56
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$170.72
fee: $3.84
valorant
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
+$1.97K
+73.5%
$2.68K
fee: $57.73
NRG
1mo ago
valorant
NRG
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.97K
ROI
+73.5%
Volume
$2.68K
fee: $57.73
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$520.59
+154.0%
$338.11
fee: $8.25
Yes
1mo ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Yes
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$520.59
ROI
+154.0%
Volume
$338.11
fee: $8.25
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
-$535.92
-100.0%
$535.92
No
1mo ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$535.92
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$535.92
valorant
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
-$1.90K
-101.9%
$1.86K
fee: $35.34
Cloud9
1mo ago
valorant
Cloud9
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.90K
ROI
-101.9%
Volume
$1.86K
fee: $35.34
valorant
Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)
+$144.72
+49.8%
$290.51
fee: $4.94
FULL SENSE
1mo ago
valorant
FULL SENSE
Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$144.72
ROI
+49.8%
Volume
$290.51
fee: $4.94
valorant
Games Total: O/U 2.5
+$131.46
+110.1%
$119.38
fee: $3.16
Over
1mo ago
valorant
Over
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$131.46
ROI
+110.1%
Volume
$119.38
fee: $3.16
valorant
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
-$1.04K
-102.0%
$1.02K
fee: $20.65
TEC Esports
1mo ago
valorant
TEC Esports
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.04K
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$1.02K
fee: $20.65
valorant
Games Total: O/U 2.5
-$279.67
-102.7%
$272.32
fee: $7.35
Under
1mo ago
valorant
Under
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$279.67
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$272.32
fee: $7.35
valorant
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)
-$458.77
-102.6%
$447.14
fee: $11.63
Trace Esports
1mo ago
valorant
Trace Esports
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$458.77
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$447.14
fee: $11.63
valorant
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
+$1.08K
+56.9%
$1.89K
fee: $34.97
NRG
1mo ago
valorant
NRG
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08K
ROI
+56.9%
Volume
$1.89K
fee: $34.97
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$6.04K
-51.7%
$17.29K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.04K
ROI
-51.7%
Volume
$17.29K
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
—
—
$211.28
fee: $2.03
Active
1mo ago
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Active
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$211.28
fee: $2.03
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
+$23.80
+96.4%
$24.69
fee: $0.49
No
1mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
No
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$23.80
ROI
+96.4%
Volume
$24.69
fee: $0.49
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
+$151.59
+106.3%
$142.67
fee: $2.97
Yes
1mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$151.59
ROI
+106.3%
Volume
$142.67
fee: $2.97
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$52.55
-102.5%
$51.24
fee: $1.30
No
1mo ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
No
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$52.55
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$51.24
fee: $1.30
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$12.00
-103.1%
$11.64
fee: $0.36
No
1mo ago
3-ai-model-style-control-on
No
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$12.00
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$11.64
fee: $0.36
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
+$2.58K
+9900.0%
$26.10
Yes
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.58K
ROI
+9900.0%
Volume
$26.10
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
-$2.33K
-98.2%
$2.41K
fee: $1.74
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.33K
ROI
-98.2%
Volume
$2.41K
fee: $1.74
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$27.45
-5.7%
$678.04
fee: $1.19
Yes
1mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$27.45
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$678.04
fee: $1.19
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$486.14
+154.0%
$315.59
fee: $7.70
Yes
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Yes
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$486.14
ROI
+154.0%
Volume
$315.59
fee: $7.70
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
-$1.27K
-83.2%
$1.80K
fee: $24.44
Yes
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Yes
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.27K
ROI
-83.2%
Volume
$1.80K
fee: $24.44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 27, 2026?
+$0.88
+18.4%
$4.79
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 27, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$4.79
fee: $0.03
best-math-ai
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$41.65
-101.2%
$41.17
fee: $0.48
No
2mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$41.65
ROI
-101.2%
Volume
$41.17
fee: $0.48
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
+$405.51
+37.8%
$1.07K
fee: $12.03
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$405.51
ROI
+37.8%
Volume
$1.07K
fee: $12.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
—
—
$4.77
fee: $0.13
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.77
fee: $0.13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
—
—
$138.08
fee: $3.40
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$138.08
fee: $3.40
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
+$2.84K
+40.7%
$7.49K
fee: $84.03
No
2mo ago
No
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.84K
ROI
+40.7%
Volume
$7.49K
fee: $84.03
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
-$610.00
-92.4%
$710.00
No
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$610.00
ROI
-92.4%
Volume
$710.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$395.60
+10.1%
$8.20K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$395.60
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$8.20K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
+$88.65
+161.2%
$54.98
fee: $0.41
No
3mo ago
No
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$88.65
ROI
+161.2%
Volume
$54.98
fee: $0.41
mythos-released
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
+$111.69
+12.5%
$896.54
fee: $3.14
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$111.69
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$896.54
fee: $3.14
mythos-released
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
+$182.86
+13.2%
$1.38K
fee: $6.47
No
3mo ago
mythos-released
No
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$182.86
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$1.38K
fee: $6.47
mythos-released
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
+$14.67
+13.4%
$109.80
fee: $0.53
No
3mo ago
mythos-released
No
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$14.67
ROI
+13.4%
Volume
$109.80
fee: $0.53
mythos-released
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
+$261.17
+15.4%
$1.69K
fee: $9.33
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$261.17
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$1.69K
fee: $9.33
best-math-ai
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$73.10
+103.8%
$70.45
fee: $1.45
Yes
3mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$73.10
ROI
+103.8%
Volume
$70.45
fee: $1.45
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
+$630.80
+175.8%
$358.75
fee: $9.20
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$630.80
ROI
+175.8%
Volume
$358.75
fee: $9.20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
-$190.00
-40.4%
$749.98
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$190.00
ROI
-40.4%
Volume
$749.98
third-best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
+$51.05
+43.6%
$291.65
fee: $6.39
Yes
3mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$51.05
ROI
+43.6%
Volume
$291.65
fee: $6.39
third-best-ai-company
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$18.14
-4.0%
$913.91
fee: $20.13
No
3mo ago
third-best-ai-company
No
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$18.14
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$913.91
fee: $20.13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$10.00
+0.8%
$2.51K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.00
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$2.51K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
-$3.77K
-58.7%
$9.07K
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.77K
ROI
-58.7%
Volume
$9.07K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
-$1.18K
-13.5%
$16.18K
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.18K
ROI
-13.5%
Volume
$16.18K
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
-$4.39K
-44.1%
$15.52K
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.39K
ROI
-44.1%
Volume
$15.52K
chinese-ai-1
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$762.07
-76.1%
$1.27K
fee: $28.26
No
3mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$762.07
ROI
-76.1%
Volume
$1.27K
fee: $28.26
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$357.45
-82.6%
$517.25
fee: $9.20
No
3mo ago
best-math-ai
No
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$357.45
ROI
-82.6%
Volume
$517.25
fee: $9.20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
-$40.00
-12.9%
$580.00
No
3mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$40.00
ROI
-12.9%
Volume
$580.00
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
-$349.04
-75.2%
$584.72
fee: $5.51
No
3mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$349.04
ROI
-75.2%
Volume
$584.72
fee: $5.51
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
+$340.00
+25.8%
$1.98K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$340.00
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$1.98K
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
-$2.00K
-33.3%
$10.02K
No
4mo ago
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.00K
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$10.02K
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
+$396.82
+46.3%
$856.26
fee: $1.81
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$396.82
ROI
+46.3%
Volume
$856.26
fee: $1.81
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
-$1.82K
-27.2%
$11.51K
Yes
4mo ago
hormuz-transits-neg
Yes
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.82K
ROI
-27.2%
Volume
$11.51K
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
+$352.12
+39.1%
$900.84
fee: $10.34
No
4mo ago
No
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$352.12
ROI
+39.1%
Volume
$900.84
fee: $10.34
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
+$39.31
+11.8%
$722.79
fee: $18.32
No
4mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$39.31
ROI
+11.8%
Volume
$722.79
fee: $18.32
best-ai-company
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$0.92
-104.0%
$0.89
fee: $0.04
No
4mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.92
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$0.89
fee: $0.04
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
-$0.60
-100.0%
$0.60
No
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.60
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
+$122.12
+24.3%
$502.36
Yes
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$122.12
ROI
+24.3%
Volume
$502.36
Chirayu Rana sued?
+$579.87
+17.0%
$3.42K
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Chirayu Rana sued?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$579.87
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$3.42K
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
+$4.09K
+134.8%
$10.15K
No
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$4.09K
ROI
+134.8%
Volume
$10.15K
third-best-ai-company
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
-$42.90
-103.7%
$564.64
fee: $1.54
Yes
4mo ago
third-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$42.90
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$564.64
fee: $1.54
best-math-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
+$432.28
+6.1%
$7.04K
fee: $16.89
Yes
4mo ago
best-math-ai
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$432.28
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$7.04K
fee: $16.89
80 Markets