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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
Em
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$15.43
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Save
Created
July 8, 2026
Active
August 24, 2026
Balance
$749.01
Incoming
+$3.50K
Rewards
+$1.55
Outgoing
-$1.10K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$26.90
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 14
Aug 21
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 13
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$9.65
WR: 57.1%
(4/7)
ROI: +1.8%
Economy
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Geopolitics
-$29.38
WR: 61.5%
(8/13)
ROI: -2.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$1.62K
65.5%
Taker Volume
$853.11
34.5%
Taker Ratio
35%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$26.90
ROI
-2.2%
Win Rate
64.3%
Volume
$2.47K
Fee
$0.18
9 Wins in 14 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 100
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
trump-approval-rating-floor
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
+$2.48
+13.2%
$53.99
fee: $0.18
Active
19d ago
trump-approval-rating-floor
Active
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Active 19d ago
PnL
+$2.48
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$53.99
fee: $0.18
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$21.44
+13.1%
$271.50
Yes
20d ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$21.44
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$271.50
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
+$10.73
+5.0%
$420.12
No
22d ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$10.73
ROI
+5.0%
Volume
$420.12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
-$66.01
-52.5%
$185.34
Active
23d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$66.01
ROI
-52.5%
Volume
$185.34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
-$11.83
-14.3%
$154.11
Active
23d ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Active 23d ago
PnL
-$11.83
ROI
-14.3%
Volume
$154.11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
+$0.09
+0.8%
$82.13
Active
24d ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$82.13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$8.86
+12.7%
$148.86
No
26d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$8.86
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$148.86
Iran leadership change by September 30?
+$1.58
+3.0%
$214.93
Active
27d ago
Active
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Active 27d ago
PnL
+$1.58
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$214.93
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
—
$101.98
Active
28d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 28d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$101.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
+$15.86
+13.1%
$200.46
No
29d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$15.86
ROI
+13.1%
Volume
$200.46
iran-npt-withdrawal
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
-$0.77
-1.1%
$139.15
Active
29d ago
iran-npt-withdrawal
Active
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$0.77
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$139.15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
+$1.76
+4.6%
$48.27
No
29d ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$1.76
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$48.27
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
+$7.28
+16.2%
$175.75
Active
29d ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
Active
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Active 29d ago
PnL
+$7.28
ROI
+16.2%
Volume
$175.75
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
-$18.37
-12.6%
$274.75
Active
29d ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 29d ago
PnL
-$18.37
ROI
-12.6%
Volume
$274.75
P
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$60.51
+41.0%
$242.04
fee: $0.47
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$60.51
ROI
+41.0%
Volume
$242.04
fee: $0.47
P
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$5.30
+5.9%
$96.62
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$5.30
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$96.62
geenland-deriv
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
+$0.11
+0.5%
$90.09
Active
1mo ago
geenland-deriv
Active
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$90.09
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
-$13.21
-22.3%
$104.59
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$13.21
ROI
-22.3%
Volume
$104.59
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$34.95
+14.0%
$438.71
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$34.95
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$438.71
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$30.86
+10.3%
$600.00
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$30.86
ROI
+10.3%
Volume
$600.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
+$1.03
+6.5%
$33.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$1.03
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$33.01
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$1.13
+4.8%
$23.65
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.13
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$23.65
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
+$1.34
+4.0%
$90.11
fee: $0.11
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$90.11
fee: $0.11
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
+$0.80
+15.4%
$11.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+15.4%
Volume
$11.20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
+$3.53
+5.3%
$67.05
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.53
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$67.05
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
+$6.09
+16.0%
$83.98
Active
1mo ago
Active
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.09
ROI
+16.0%
Volume
$83.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
+$5.43
+3.9%
$152.98
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.43
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$152.98
P
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$1.50
+15.2%
$21.30
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+15.2%
Volume
$21.30
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
+$14.77
+26.1%
$123.17
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$14.77
ROI
+26.1%
Volume
$123.17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
—
—
$24.52
fee: $0.16
Active
1mo ago
Active
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$24.52
fee: $0.16
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$2.14
+4.4%
$190.54
Active
1mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.14
ROI
+4.4%
Volume
$190.54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
-$1.16
-2.4%
$96.33
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.16
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$96.33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
-$0.83
-3.4%
$92.89
fee: $1.16
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.83
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$92.89
fee: $1.16
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$0.62
+0.9%
$140.53
fee: $0.04
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.62
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$140.53
fee: $0.04
P
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
+$0.23
+1.0%
$47.80
fee: $0.17
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$47.80
fee: $0.17
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
+$15.19
+13.2%
$245.36
Active
1mo ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.19
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$245.36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$4.66
-100.0%
$4.66
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$4.66
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.66
P
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
-$54.76
-100.0%
$54.76
No
1mo ago
P
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$54.76
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$54.76
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
+$6.25
+14.5%
$92.49
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$6.25
ROI
+14.5%
Volume
$92.49
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
+$3.53
+13.5%
$55.76
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.53
ROI
+13.5%
Volume
$55.76
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+$2.55
+4.0%
$281.63
Active
1mo ago
Active
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.55
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$281.63
Iran leadership change by August 31?
+$3.16
+8.9%
$64.60
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$3.16
ROI
+8.9%
Volume
$64.60
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
+$15.48
+54.7%
$35.86
No
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
No
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.48
ROI
+54.7%
Volume
$35.86
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
+$4.73
+4.4%
$130.06
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.73
ROI
+4.4%
Volume
$130.06
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
+$19.63
+20.8%
$179.68
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$19.63
ROI
+20.8%
Volume
$179.68
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
+$17.09
+8.5%
$231.47
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$17.09
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$231.47
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
—
—
$43.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$43.03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
+$15.64
+15.6%
$215.84
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$15.64
ROI
+15.6%
Volume
$215.84
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
+$5.70
+3.7%
$155.03
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.70
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$155.03
P
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?
-$0.43
-5.5%
$11.84
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.43
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$11.84
fee: $0.05
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$271.02
-100.0%
$271.02
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$271.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$271.02
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
-$418.39
-86.6%
$550.44
fee: $2.07
No
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$418.39
ROI
-86.6%
Volume
$550.44
fee: $2.07
P
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
+$11.33
+5.0%
$275.89
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$11.33
ROI
+5.0%
Volume
$275.89
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
—
—
$14.16
Active
1mo ago
Active
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.16
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
—
—
$11.95
Active
1mo ago
Active
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.95
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
+$3.43
+8.3%
$62.77
No
1mo ago
No
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$3.43
ROI
+8.3%
Volume
$62.77
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
-$51.12
-15.9%
$566.92
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$51.12
ROI
-15.9%
Volume
$566.92
P
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
+$0.27
+4.2%
$6.39
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$6.39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
—
—
$13.40
Active
1mo ago
Active
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.40
P
trump-insult-on
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?
+$1.08
+11.1%
$9.71
Yes
1mo ago
P
trump-insult-on
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$9.71
P
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
+$0.76
+1.1%
$140.31
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$140.31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
—
—
$104.71
Active
1mo ago
Active
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$104.71
P
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?
+$2.20
+13.3%
$33.27
fee: $0.10
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.20
ROI
+13.3%
Volume
$33.27
fee: $0.10
P
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
-$72.45
-73.9%
$123.56
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$72.45
ROI
-73.9%
Volume
$123.56
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$1.59
+4.2%
$38.15
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.59
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$38.15
P
Will Trump’s remarks not air?
+$0.74
+3.1%
$23.86
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump’s remarks not air?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.74
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$23.86
abraham-accords-new-country
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
—
—
$70.00
Active
1mo ago
abraham-accords-new-country
Active
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$70.00
P
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?
-$9.13
-100.0%
$9.13
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$9.13
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.13
Iran leadership change by July 31?
+$16.53
+4.5%
$616.07
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.53
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$616.07
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
+$26.94
+8.5%
$316.70
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$26.94
ROI
+8.5%
Volume
$316.70
P
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?
-$40.86
-100.0%
$40.86
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$40.86
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.86
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
+$1.62
+6.5%
$24.87
fee: $0.11
No
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$24.87
fee: $0.11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$9.48
+18.2%
$113.80
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.48
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$113.80
house-odds-deriv
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
—
—
$35.34
fee: $0.20
Active
1mo ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$35.34
fee: $0.20
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
+$13.65
+9.7%
$141.10
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$13.65
ROI
+9.7%
Volume
$141.10
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
+$0.21
+2.5%
$16.94
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$16.94
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
+$1.82
+11.1%
$16.34
No
1mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.82
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$16.34
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$6.22
+13.4%
$52.15
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.22
ROI
+13.4%
Volume
$52.15
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
+$4.26
+12.3%
$73.20
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.26
ROI
+12.3%
Volume
$73.20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$9.47
+6.5%
$145.77
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$9.47
ROI
+6.5%
Volume
$145.77
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
+$2.64
+6.4%
$41.33
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.64
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$41.33
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
+$34.02
+11.4%
$598.22
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$34.02
ROI
+11.4%
Volume
$598.22
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
+$11.78
+21.5%
$121.19
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$11.78
ROI
+21.5%
Volume
$121.19
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$8.24
+11.8%
$148.23
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.24
ROI
+11.8%
Volume
$148.23
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
+$9.59
+13.7%
$149.59
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.59
ROI
+13.7%
Volume
$149.59
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$0.59
+4.3%
$13.56
fee: $0.02
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.59
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$13.56
fee: $0.02
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$22.97
+5.4%
$587.69
fee: $2.47
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$22.97
ROI
+5.4%
Volume
$587.69
fee: $2.47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
—
—
$62.19
Active
1mo ago
Active
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$62.19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
+$1.08
+11.1%
$9.70
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$9.70
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$45.66
-61.0%
$103.99
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$45.66
ROI
-61.0%
Volume
$103.99
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
+$12.26
+4.4%
$277.08
fee: $0.28
No
1mo ago
No
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$12.26
ROI
+4.4%
Volume
$277.08
fee: $0.28
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
+$2.56
+8.7%
$29.38
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.56
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$29.38
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
+$5.34
+6.1%
$87.09
fee: $0.10
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.34
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$87.09
fee: $0.10
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
+$0.34
+3.1%
$10.92
No
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$10.92
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
+$5.06
+5.1%
$120.18
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.06
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$120.18
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?
+$1.63
+5.3%
$31.04
No
1mo ago
No
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.63
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$31.04
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$0.98
+12.8%
$16.33
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.98
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$16.33
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
+$1.20
+13.6%
$8.82
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$8.82
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
—
—
$48.22
Active
2mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$48.22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$100.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
100 Markets