ernestosparalestoernestosparal...

View on Polymarket

Created June 18, 2026

Active July 7, 2026

Balance$1.55

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL-$55.50

Jun 18

Jun 23

Jun 28

Jul 2

Jul 7

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Pop Culture+$1.82

WR: 75.0%(6/8)

ROI: +4.3%

Elections+$0.88

WR: 21.1%(4/19)

ROI: +1.4%

Crypto+$0.55

WR: 50.0%(9/18)

ROI: +0.7%

Finance-$1.47

WR: 50.0%(8/16)

ROI: -2.9%

Politics-$2.60

WR: 32.2%(19/59)

ROI: -1.3%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$16.40

1.2%

Taker Volume$1.36K

98.8%

Taker Ratio

99%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$2.30

ROI

21.0%

Win Rate

40.0%

Volume

$40.53

Fee

$0.18

2 Wins in 5 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

-$0.06

ROI

-0.1%

Win Rate

32.0%

Volume

$212.86

Fee

$1.59

8 Wins in 25 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

-$4.07

ROI

-2.1%

Win Rate

36.4%

Volume

$512.01

Fee

$4.02

20 Wins in 55 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

-$55.50

ROI

-8.3%

Win Rate

42.8%

Volume

$1.38K

Fee

$11.35

59 Wins in 138 Markets

Recent Markets | total 138

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

largest-company

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

—

fee: $0.04

Active

1h ago

largest-company

Active

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Active 1h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.04

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

—

fee: $0.10

Active

1h ago

Active

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Active 1h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.10

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

+$2.18

+40.0%

Active

1h ago

Active

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Active 1h ago

PnL+$2.18

ROI+40.0%

Volume

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

—

Active

5h ago

netanyahu-out

Active

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Active 5h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

+$0.12

+2.2%

fee: $0.04

Active

5h ago

Active

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Active 5h ago

PnL+$0.12

ROI+2.2%

Volumefee: $0.04

trump-administration-resignations

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

—

fee: $0.04

Active

1d ago

trump-administration-resignations

Active

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.04

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

-$1.94

-36.4%

fee: $0.32

Active

1d ago

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Active

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$1.94

ROI-36.4%

Volumefee: $0.32

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?

—

fee: $0.12

Active

1d ago

Active

Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.12

Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?

+$1.21

+15.6%

fee: $0.14

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?

Active 1d ago

PnL+$1.21

ROI+15.6%

Volumefee: $0.14

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

—

fee: $0.08

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.08

soccer-fifwc

Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

+$4.99

+100.5%

fee: $0.08

Under

1d ago

soccer-fifwc

Under

Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Settled 1d ago

PnL+$4.99

ROI+100.5%

Volumefee: $0.08

openai-debut

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

—

fee: $0.07

Active

1d ago

openai-debut

Active

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.07

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

—

fee: $0.08

Active

1d ago

Active

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.08

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

-$6.36

-46.2%

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$6.36

ROI-46.2%

Volume

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

-$0.18

-4.9%

fee: $0.06

Active

1d ago

Active

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Active 1d ago

PnL-$0.18

ROI-4.9%

Volumefee: $0.06

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

-$0.17

-6.6%

fee: $0.08

Active

2d ago

Active

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL-$0.17

ROI-6.6%

Volumefee: $0.08

Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?

—

fee: $0.07

Active

2d ago

Active

Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?

Active 2d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.07

russia-enter-group

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

+$0.16

+4.4%

Active

2d ago

russia-enter-group

Active

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.16

ROI+4.4%

Volume

fed-rate-hike

Fed rate hike in 2026?

-$0.58

-16.1%

fee: $0.16

Active

2d ago

fed-rate-hike

Active

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL-$0.58

ROI-16.1%

Volumefee: $0.16

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

+$0.19

+5.3%

fee: $0.07

Active

2d ago

Active

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.19

ROI+5.3%

Volumefee: $0.07

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

+$0.26

+5.4%

Active

2d ago

Active

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.26

ROI+5.4%

Volume

palestine-recognition

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

+$0.04

+1.2%

fee: $0.04

Active

2d ago

palestine-recognition

Active

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Active 2d ago

PnL+$0.04

ROI+1.2%

Volumefee: $0.04

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

-$4.48

-35.3%

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Active 3d ago

PnL-$4.48

ROI-35.3%

Volume

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

—

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

trump-monthly-meeting

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

-$0.27

-4.8%

fee: $0.08

Active

3d ago

trump-monthly-meeting

Active

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Active 3d ago

PnL-$0.27

ROI-4.8%

Volumefee: $0.08

gambling-loss-deduction-cap

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

-$1.08

-20.2%

fee: $0.09

Active

3d ago

gambling-loss-deduction-cap

Active

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Active 3d ago

PnL-$1.08

ROI-20.2%

Volumefee: $0.09

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

+$0.41

+7.6%

Active

3d ago

Active

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.41

ROI+7.6%

Volume

AI bubble burst in 2026?

—

fee: $0.03

Active

3d ago

Active

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.03

soccer-fifwc

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

+$0.63

+10.3%

fee: $0.06

Over

3d ago

soccer-fifwc

Over

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Settled 3d ago

PnL+$0.63

ROI+10.3%

Volumefee: $0.06

box-office-openings

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

-$2.82

-53.6%

Yes

3d ago

box-office-openings

Yes

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Settled 15h ago

PnL-$2.82

ROI-53.6%

Volume

trump-countries-visited

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

—

fee: $0.09

Active

3d ago

trump-countries-visited

Active

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.09

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

—

Active

3d ago

Active

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

box-office-openings

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

+$2.05

+37.0%

3d ago

box-office-openings

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Settled 15h ago

PnL+$2.05

ROI+37.0%

Volume

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

+$0.17

+4.8%

fee: $0.04

Active

3d ago

Active

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.17

ROI+4.8%

Volumefee: $0.04

israel-x-lebanon-relations

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

+$0.23

+6.3%

Active

3d ago

israel-x-lebanon-relations

Active

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Active 3d ago

PnL+$0.23

ROI+6.3%

Volume

russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

—

Active

3d ago

russia-capture-kupiansk-vuzlovyi

Active

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Active 3d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

us-annual-inflation

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

-$1.38

-12.9%

fee: $0.34

Active

3d ago

us-annual-inflation

Active

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Active 3d ago

PnL-$1.38

ROI-12.9%

Volumefee: $0.34

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-$0.66

-18.4%

fee: $0.06

Active

4d ago

Active

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Active 4d ago

PnL-$0.66

ROI-18.4%

Volumefee: $0.06

anthropic-valuation

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

+$0.08

+2.2%

fee: $0.03

Active

4d ago

anthropic-valuation

Active

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Active 4d ago

PnL+$0.08

ROI+2.2%

Volumefee: $0.03

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

—

fee: $0.06

Active

4d ago

Active

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Active 4d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.06

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

+$0.14

+3.8%

fee: $0.06

Active

5d ago

Active

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Active 5d ago

PnL+$0.14

ROI+3.8%

Volumefee: $0.06

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

+$0.10

+2.8%

fee: $0.14

Active

5d ago

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Active

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Active 5d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+2.8%

Volumefee: $0.14

yoon-out

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

—

fee: $0.03

Active

5d ago

yoon-out

Active

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Active 5d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.03

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

—

fee: $0.08

Active

5d ago

Active

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Active 5d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.08

btc-multi-strikes-weekly

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

+$5.20

+99.6%

fee: $0.62

Yes

5d ago

btc-multi-strikes-weekly

Yes

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

Settled 4d ago

PnL+$5.20

ROI+99.6%

Volumefee: $0.62

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

-$0.02

-0.2%

Active

5d ago

Active

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Active 5d ago

PnL-$0.02

ROI-0.2%

Volume

trump-trade-deal-countries

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

—

fee: $0.05

Active

5d ago

trump-trade-deal-countries

Active

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Active 5d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.05

138 Markets

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