P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
as
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$37.78
asfdt1
asfdt1
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
December 15, 2025
Active
September 8, 2026
Balance
$1.30
Incoming
+$100.00
Rewards
+$0.01
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$6.95
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 24
Sep 1
Sep 8
Sep 16
Sep 23
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Economy
+$0.76
WR: 44.4%
(4/9)
ROI: +1.2%
Tech
+$0.41
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +6.1%
Pop Culture
-$1.79
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: -56.8%
Geopolitics
-$2.03
WR: 42.9%
(9/21)
ROI: -1.3%
Elections
-$2.16
WR: 12.5%
(1/8)
ROI: -26.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$30.58
6.5%
Taker Volume
$443.08
93.5%
Taker Ratio
94%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$6.95
ROI
-3.1%
Win Rate
37.3%
Volume
$473.67
Fee
$2.23
19 Wins in 51 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 134
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
+$0.07
+7.6%
$3.07
Active
15d ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+7.6%
Volume
$3.07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$0.02
-1.9%
$4.27
fee: $0.08
Active
15d ago
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 15d ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$4.27
fee: $0.08
P
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.20
Active
16d ago
P
Active
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$0.15
+17.5%
$4.34
fee: $0.08
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+17.5%
Volume
$4.34
fee: $0.08
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$3.93
+13.9%
$60.50
Active
16d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$3.93
ROI
+13.9%
Volume
$60.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$0.58
+31.7%
$4.28
Active
16d ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$0.58
ROI
+31.7%
Volume
$4.28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$2.03
fee: $0.02
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.03
fee: $0.02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+$0.02
+1.2%
$6.07
fee: $0.02
Active
17d ago
Active
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$6.07
fee: $0.02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
—
—
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Active
17d ago
Active
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Active 17d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
-$4.46
-100.0%
$4.46
No
17d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$4.46
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
-$0.05
-1.4%
$7.45
Yes
18d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$7.45
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
+$0.21
+5.7%
$23.99
fee: $0.24
Active
18d ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$23.99
fee: $0.24
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
+$0.66
+30.0%
$5.07
Active
18d ago
Active
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+30.0%
Volume
$5.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
+$0.13
+10.1%
$2.70
Yes
18d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.13
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$2.70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
-$0.05
-10.0%
$1.38
Active
18d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Active 18d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-10.0%
Volume
$1.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
+$1.09
+111.9%
$3.04
Active
18d ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Active 18d ago
PnL
+$1.09
ROI
+111.9%
Volume
$3.04
house-odds-deriv
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
—
—
$2.02
fee: $0.01
Active
18d ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.02
fee: $0.01
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-$1.04
-4.1%
$49.80
Active
19d ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 19d ago
PnL
-$1.04
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$49.80
P
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
—
—
$0.11
Active
19d ago
P
fomc
Active
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.11
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
+$4.44
+57.5%
$9.76
fee: $0.23
Yes
19d ago
fed-3-parlay
Yes
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$4.44
ROI
+57.5%
Volume
$9.76
fee: $0.23
P
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
—
—
$1.55
fee: $0.02
Active
19d ago
P
fomc
Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Active 19d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.55
fee: $0.02
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
-$2.10
-102.7%
$2.05
fee: $0.06
Yes
19d ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$2.10
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$2.05
fee: $0.06
Will King Carl XVI Gustaf attend King Harald V's funeral?
+$0.03
+1.9%
$1.42
fee: $0.00
Yes
19d ago
Yes
Will King Carl XVI Gustaf attend King Harald V's funeral?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$1.42
fee: $0.00
trump-praise
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez in September?
-$0.06
-100.0%
$0.06
Yes
21d ago
trump-praise
Yes
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez in September?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$4.02
fee: $0.02
Active
21d ago
Active
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 21d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.02
fee: $0.02
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
+$0.41
+22.8%
$4.01
fee: $0.05
Yes
21d ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+22.8%
Volume
$4.01
fee: $0.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-$0.14
-3.8%
$11.27
Active
22d ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$11.27
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
-$1.85
-100.0%
$1.85
Yes
22d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$1.85
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.85
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
—
—
$1.02
Active
22d ago
Active
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Active 22d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
+$0.02
+0.9%
$4.04
fee: $0.02
Active
22d ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 22d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$4.04
fee: $0.02
P
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.2%
$5.04
fee: $0.00
No
23d ago
P
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$5.04
fee: $0.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$0.07
-1.7%
$8.27
Yes
23d ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-1.7%
Volume
$8.27
Will Spain accuse Morocco of facilitating the Ceuta migrant influx by August 31?
-$0.05
-100.0%
$0.05
No
23d ago
No
Will Spain accuse Morocco of facilitating the Ceuta migrant influx by August 31?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.05
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$5.55
-26.2%
$37.90
fee: $1.06
No
24d ago
fomc
No
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$5.55
ROI
-26.2%
Volume
$37.90
fee: $1.06
P
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
+$0.01
+0.3%
$1.99
No
24d ago
P
No
US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$1.99
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
-$0.30
-4.0%
$13.77
No
24d ago
No
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$13.77
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$1.85
+6.2%
$61.29
No
24d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$1.85
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$61.29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
+$0.40
+8.3%
$9.90
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+8.3%
Volume
$9.90
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
-$0.37
-6.0%
$12.00
fee: $0.08
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.37
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$12.00
fee: $0.08
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.65
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.65
P
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
-$2.22
-100.0%
$2.22
No
24d ago
P
No
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$2.22
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.22
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
+$1.43
+47.2%
$3.04
fee: $0.04
Yes
25d ago
Yes
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
+$1.43
ROI
+47.2%
Volume
$3.04
fee: $0.04
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
—
—
$0.97
Active
25d ago
Active
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.97
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
-$0.09
-6.2%
$2.80
fee: $0.04
Yes
26d ago
Yes
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-6.2%
Volume
$2.80
fee: $0.04
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$2.03
fee: $0.01
Active
26d ago
Active
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Active 26d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.03
fee: $0.01
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
—
—
$1.50
fee: $0.01
Active
26d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Active 26d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.50
fee: $0.01
P
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
—
—
$1.56
fee: $0.01
Active
26d ago
P
Active
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Active 26d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.56
fee: $0.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$1.50
+4.5%
$67.82
Active
26d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Active 26d ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$67.82
P
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?
-$1.77
-104.9%
$1.68
fee: $0.08
Yes
27d ago
P
Yes
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$1.77
ROI
-104.9%
Volume
$1.68
fee: $0.08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
-$1.55
-35.4%
$7.21
No
27d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$1.55
ROI
-35.4%
Volume
$7.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
-$2.15
-100.0%
$2.15
No
27d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.15
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
+$0.17
+12.1%
$3.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.17
ROI
+12.1%
Volume
$3.05
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
-$0.13
-11.1%
$4.27
fee: $0.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-11.1%
Volume
$4.27
fee: $0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
-$0.43
-28.9%
$2.56
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.43
ROI
-28.9%
Volume
$2.56
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
+$0.10
+0.9%
$12.01
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$12.01
fee: $0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
-$1.74
-9.3%
$35.88
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.74
ROI
-9.3%
Volume
$35.88
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
+$3.07
+78.4%
$10.89
fee: $0.17
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.07
ROI
+78.4%
Volume
$10.89
fee: $0.17
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$0.56
-6.9%
$15.50
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$15.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$3.71
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.71
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
+$0.02
+1.4%
$2.21
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$2.21
yearly-ipos
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
—
—
$3.24
fee: $0.04
Active
1mo ago
yearly-ipos
Active
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.24
fee: $0.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
+$10.06
+106.2%
$29.01
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$10.06
ROI
+106.2%
Volume
$29.01
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
+$0.29
+6.2%
$12.92
Active
1mo ago
Active
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$12.92
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$7.06
fee: $0.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.06
fee: $0.10
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$1.71
+13.4%
$25.82
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.71
ROI
+13.4%
Volume
$25.82
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
—
—
$2.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.02
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
+$9.65
+2925.4%
$5.69
Yes
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.65
ROI
+2925.4%
Volume
$5.69
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
+$0.04
+3.4%
$2.32
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$2.32
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
+$0.25
+19.0%
$1.29
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$1.29
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$0.34
-3.5%
$19.68
fee: $0.53
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$0.34
ROI
-3.5%
Volume
$19.68
fee: $0.53
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
-$0.67
-51.2%
$1.94
No
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$0.67
ROI
-51.2%
Volume
$1.94
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$0.07
+1.8%
$8.10
No
1mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$8.10
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
-$11.40
-44.5%
$40.98
fee: $0.60
Yes
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$11.40
ROI
-44.5%
Volume
$40.98
fee: $0.60
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
+$0.67
+14.9%
$4.48
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$4.48
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
-$1.61
-10.5%
$29.81
fee: $0.68
Yes
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.61
ROI
-10.5%
Volume
$29.81
fee: $0.68
Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election?
-$0.03
-100.0%
$0.03
No
1mo ago
No
Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.03
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
-$0.11
-1.8%
$12.00
Active
1mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$12.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
+$0.05
+4.3%
$2.15
Active
1mo ago
Active
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$2.15
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
+$1.14
+27.6%
$9.44
fee: $0.44
Active
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.14
ROI
+27.6%
Volume
$9.44
fee: $0.44
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
-$2.28
-71.8%
$4.08
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.28
ROI
-71.8%
Volume
$4.08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$0.28
+3.2%
$15.51
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$15.51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
+$0.63
+6.3%
$24.81
Active
1mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+6.3%
Volume
$24.81
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
—
—
$2.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.03
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$0.22
+30.2%
$4.06
fee: $0.07
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+30.2%
Volume
$4.06
fee: $0.07
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
-$1.33
-100.0%
$1.33
No
1mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.33
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$2.44
+6.9%
$52.65
fee: $0.61
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.44
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$52.65
fee: $0.61
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$2.70
+47.4%
$18.33
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.70
ROI
+47.4%
Volume
$18.33
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$0.35
+30.2%
$1.15
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+30.2%
Volume
$1.15
fee: $0.01
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
-$0.38
-9.4%
$7.76
fee: $0.07
No
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
No
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$7.76
fee: $0.07
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
-$0.13
-1.4%
$18.58
Active
1mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$18.58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
+$0.05
+0.8%
$12.51
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$12.51
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
+$0.06
+6.0%
$0.99
No
1mo ago
No
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$0.99
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
-$2.90
-50.2%
$8.66
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.90
ROI
-50.2%
Volume
$8.66
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$0.09
-1.6%
$11.28
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$11.28
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
+$7.89
+131.1%
$19.93
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.89
ROI
+131.1%
Volume
$19.93
dissent-at-fed-meeting
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
+$0.79
+48.4%
$1.79
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
dissent-at-fed-meeting
No
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.79
ROI
+48.4%
Volume
$1.79
fee: $0.03
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$0.29
+3.1%
$18.89
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.29
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$18.89
Will Kai Stephens get second place in the Clacton by-election?
-$0.02
-100.0%
$0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai Stephens get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.02
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
-$2.60
-36.6%
$11.90
fee: $0.32
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.60
ROI
-36.6%
Volume
$11.90
fee: $0.32
134 Markets
•
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data