P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$26.79
crystalballxyz
crystalballxy...
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
December 8, 2025
Active
August 22, 2026
Balance
$865.37
Incoming
+$1.03K
Rewards
+$45.08
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Sep 3
Sep 10
Sep 18
Sep 25
Oct 3
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 155
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2
-$8.00
-16.0%
$93.34
fee: $1.34
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.00
ROI
-16.0%
Volume
$93.34
fee: $1.34
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
-$1.58
-6.9%
$44.76
fee: $0.19
No
1mo ago
mythos-released
No
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.58
ROI
-6.9%
Volume
$44.76
fee: $0.19
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
+$12.09
+24.3%
$112.94
fee: $1.33
Yes
1mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.09
ROI
+24.3%
Volume
$112.94
fee: $1.33
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
-$49.75
-100.0%
$49.75
Yes
1mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$49.75
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$49.75
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
-$4.57
-18.4%
$45.52
fee: $0.50
Yes
1mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.57
ROI
-18.4%
Volume
$45.52
fee: $0.50
pag-earnings
Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?
-$12.83
-100.0%
$12.83
Yes
2mo ago
pag-earnings
Yes
Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.83
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$12.83
critical-cloudflare-incident
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
+$9.43
+25.6%
$121.54
Active
2mo ago
critical-cloudflare-incident
Active
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.43
ROI
+25.6%
Volume
$121.54
bbby-earnings
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
+$24.92
+143.9%
$17.32
No
2mo ago
bbby-earnings
No
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$24.92
ROI
+143.9%
Volume
$17.32
P
aapl-kpis
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?
+$25.49
+7.1%
$633.60
fee: $0.40
No
2mo ago
P
aapl-kpis
No
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$25.49
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$633.60
fee: $0.40
P
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
-$27.15
-100.0%
$27.15
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$27.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.15
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
-$3.26
-100.0%
$3.26
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.26
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.26
2-us-netflix-movie
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
-$33.23
-100.0%
$33.23
Yes
2mo ago
2-us-netflix-movie
Yes
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$33.23
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$33.23
yum-earnings
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
-$3.15
-100.0%
$3.15
Yes
2mo ago
yum-earnings
Yes
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.15
amsterdam-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?
+$8.39
+78.6%
$10.68
No
2mo ago
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.39
ROI
+78.6%
Volume
$10.68
P
box-office-openings
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
-$47.03
-100.0%
$47.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$47.03
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$47.03
chongqing-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?
+$31.78
+85.2%
$37.30
No
2mo ago
chongqing-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$31.78
ROI
+85.2%
Volume
$37.30
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
+$53.15
+31.3%
$319.09
No
2mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$53.15
ROI
+31.3%
Volume
$319.09
P
vrt-kpis
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?
-$43.95
-69.0%
$83.47
Yes
2mo ago
P
vrt-kpis
Yes
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$43.95
ROI
-69.0%
Volume
$83.47
mexico-gdp
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?
+$43.23
+64.3%
$125.34
No
2mo ago
mexico-gdp
No
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$43.23
ROI
+64.3%
Volume
$125.34
P
box-office-openings
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
-$26.93
-100.0%
$26.93
Yes
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$26.93
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$26.93
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
+$6.08
+65.6%
$9.28
No
2mo ago
reserve-bank-of-australia-decision
No
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.08
ROI
+65.6%
Volume
$9.28
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
-$9.66
-100.0%
$9.66
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.66
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.66
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?
+$39.62
+112.8%
$35.14
No
2mo ago
ankara-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$39.62
ROI
+112.8%
Volume
$35.14
warsaw-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 24?
+$7.64
+85.2%
$8.97
No
2mo ago
warsaw-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$7.64
ROI
+85.2%
Volume
$8.97
P
ma-kpis
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?
+$6.22
+66.7%
$9.34
No
2mo ago
P
ma-kpis
No
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.22
ROI
+66.7%
Volume
$9.34
paris-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?
-$67.10
-100.0%
$67.10
Yes
2mo ago
paris-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$67.10
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$67.10
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
-$15.04
-100.0%
$15.04
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.04
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.04
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
-$27.42
-100.0%
$27.42
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$27.42
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.42
P
trump-538-approval
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?
+$39.83
+49.9%
$102.31
No
2mo ago
P
trump-538-approval
No
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$39.83
ROI
+49.9%
Volume
$102.31
istanbul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?
+$6.63
+81.8%
$8.11
No
2mo ago
istanbul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.63
ROI
+81.8%
Volume
$8.11
chongqing-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?
-$27.15
-100.0%
$27.15
Yes
2mo ago
chongqing-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$27.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.15
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$61.72
-100.0%
$61.72
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$61.72
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$61.72
P
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
-$3.18
-100.0%
$3.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$3.18
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.18
P
lrcx-kpis
Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?
+$4.74
+85.2%
$5.57
No
2mo ago
P
lrcx-kpis
No
Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.74
ROI
+85.2%
Volume
$5.57
P
sbux-kpis
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?
-$11.83
-100.0%
$11.83
Yes
2mo ago
P
sbux-kpis
Yes
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$11.83
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$11.83
amsterdam-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?
+$21.04
+75.4%
$27.89
No
2mo ago
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 22?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$21.04
ROI
+75.4%
Volume
$27.89
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
-$3.00
-100.0%
$3.00
Yes
2mo ago
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Yes
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.00
P
cvs-kpis
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?
-$23.67
-100.0%
$23.67
Yes
2mo ago
P
cvs-kpis
Yes
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$23.67
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$23.67
gdp-quarterly
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
+$3.65
+58.7%
$6.21
No
2mo ago
gdp-quarterly
No
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.65
ROI
+58.7%
Volume
$6.21
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 21?
+$11.52
+69.5%
$16.58
No
2mo ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 21?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.52
ROI
+69.5%
Volume
$16.58
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
+$2.96
+92.3%
$3.21
No
2mo ago
No
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.96
ROI
+92.3%
Volume
$3.21
P
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
-$5.18
-100.0%
$5.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Yes
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.18
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.18
iran-targets-shipping-by
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?
+$1.01
+7.5%
$13.47
Yes
2mo ago
iran-targets-shipping-by
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.01
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$13.47
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 21?
+$13.50
+78.6%
$17.18
No
2mo ago
ankara-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 21?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.50
ROI
+78.6%
Volume
$17.18
1-free-app
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
+$4.39
+426.3%
$1.03
No
2mo ago
1-free-app
No
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.39
ROI
+426.3%
Volume
$1.03
busan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 20?
-$47.54
-100.0%
$47.54
Yes
2mo ago
busan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 20?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$47.54
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$47.54
P
box-office-openings
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
-$24.67
-100.0%
$24.67
Yes
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$24.67
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$24.67
P
box-office-openings
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
+$61.73
+101.2%
$61.00
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$61.73
ROI
+101.2%
Volume
$61.00
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 20?
+$85.79
+127.3%
$67.41
No
2mo ago
tel-aviv-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 20?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$85.79
ROI
+127.3%
Volume
$67.41
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?
+$13.33
+78.6%
$16.97
No
2mo ago
ankara-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.33
ROI
+78.6%
Volume
$16.97
busan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 19?
+$52.16
+75.4%
$69.14
No
2mo ago
busan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$52.16
ROI
+75.4%
Volume
$69.14
P
box-office-openings
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
+$6.93
+104.1%
$6.65
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.93
ROI
+104.1%
Volume
$6.65
P
box-office-openings
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?
-$45.37
-100.0%
$45.37
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$45.37
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$45.37
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?
-$2.95
-18.6%
$36.95
Yes
2mo ago
kuala-lumpur-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.95
ROI
-18.6%
Volume
$36.95
measles
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
-$5.80
-66.1%
$12.41
Yes
2mo ago
measles
Yes
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.80
ROI
-66.1%
Volume
$12.41
stt-earnings
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
-$87.18
-95.3%
$94.40
Yes
2mo ago
stt-earnings
Yes
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$87.18
ROI
-95.3%
Volume
$94.40
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?
+$3.03
+96.1%
$3.16
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.03
ROI
+96.1%
Volume
$3.16
P
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
+$47.12
+111.0%
$42.43
No
2mo ago
P
6pt5-earthquake-weekly
No
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$47.12
ROI
+111.0%
Volume
$42.43
P
tmo-kpis
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?
-$52.77
-100.0%
$52.77
Yes
2mo ago
P
tmo-kpis
Yes
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$52.77
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$52.77
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?
-$69.56
-100.0%
$69.56
Yes
2mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$69.56
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$69.56
amsterdam-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 15?
+$10.00
+52.6%
$25.45
No
2mo ago
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.00
ROI
+52.6%
Volume
$25.45
singapore-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?
-$26.46
-100.0%
$26.46
Yes
2mo ago
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$26.46
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$26.46
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?
-$27.37
-100.0%
$27.37
Yes
2mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$27.37
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$27.37
P
trump-538-approval
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?
-$7.29
-100.0%
$7.29
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-538-approval
Yes
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.29
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$7.29
P
box-office-openings
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
-$20.94
-100.0%
$20.94
Yes
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.94
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$20.94
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B?
+$3.61
+72.4%
$4.99
No
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
No
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.61
ROI
+72.4%
Volume
$4.99
P
rtx-kpis
Will RTX (RTX) Q2 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B?
+$8.35
+72.4%
$11.53
No
2mo ago
P
rtx-kpis
No
Will RTX (RTX) Q2 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.35
ROI
+72.4%
Volume
$11.53
moscow-air-traffic
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?
-$6.83
-100.0%
$6.83
Yes
2mo ago
moscow-air-traffic
Yes
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.83
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.83
wellington-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
-$20.76
-100.0%
$20.76
Yes
2mo ago
wellington-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.76
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$20.76
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
+$27.16
+53.8%
$50.45
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$27.16
ROI
+53.8%
Volume
$50.45
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
+$204.60
+164.9%
$130.68
Yes
2mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$204.60
ROI
+164.9%
Volume
$130.68
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 9?
+$59.15
+104.1%
$56.83
No
2mo ago
tel-aviv-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 9?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$59.15
ROI
+104.1%
Volume
$56.83
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?
-$125.99
-100.0%
$125.99
Yes
2mo ago
ankara-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$125.99
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$125.99
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?
-$2.25
-100.0%
$2.25
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.25
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.25
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?
+$10.39
+143.9%
$7.22
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.39
ROI
+143.9%
Volume
$7.22
milan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?
-$40.29
-100.0%
$40.29
Yes
2mo ago
milan-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$40.29
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.29
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
-$16.19
-32.1%
$72.27
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$16.19
ROI
-32.1%
Volume
$72.27
istanbul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 8?
+$97.59
+100.0%
$97.59
No
2mo ago
istanbul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$97.59
ROI
+100.0%
Volume
$97.59
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
-$42.51
-100.0%
$42.51
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$42.51
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$42.51
singapore-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?
-$73.67
-96.7%
$79.43
Yes
2mo ago
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$73.67
ROI
-96.7%
Volume
$79.43
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?
+$98.81
+100.0%
$98.81
No
2mo ago
No
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$98.81
ROI
+100.0%
Volume
$98.81
box-office-openings
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?
-$47.15
-100.0%
$47.15
No
2mo ago
box-office-openings
No
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$47.15
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$47.15
paris-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?
-$49.62
-94.7%
$55.33
Yes
2mo ago
paris-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$49.62
ROI
-94.7%
Volume
$55.33
mstr-sell-weeklies
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?
-$22.83
-71.0%
$42.66
No
2mo ago
mstr-sell-weeklies
No
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$22.83
ROI
-71.0%
Volume
$42.66
ankara-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?
-$36.18
-100.0%
$36.18
Yes
2mo ago
ankara-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$36.18
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$36.18
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?
-$10.12
-56.2%
$28.45
Yes
2mo ago
tel-aviv-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.12
ROI
-56.2%
Volume
$28.45
manila-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?
+$68.62
+81.8%
$83.87
No
2mo ago
manila-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$68.62
ROI
+81.8%
Volume
$83.87
P
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
-$46.69
-100.0%
$46.69
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$46.69
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$46.69
2-netflix-movie
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
+$0.97
+25.5%
$7.66
No
2mo ago
2-netflix-movie
No
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.97
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$7.66
cag-earnings
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
-$10.49
-100.0%
$10.49
Yes
2mo ago
cag-earnings
Yes
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$10.49
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.49
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
-$40.58
-100.0%
$40.58
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$40.58
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.58
box-office-openings
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?
-$29.27
-100.0%
$29.27
Yes
3mo ago
box-office-openings
Yes
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$29.27
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$29.27
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
+$29.38
+72.4%
$40.57
Yes
3mo ago
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$29.38
ROI
+72.4%
Volume
$40.57
2-us-netflix-show
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
-$63.95
-86.0%
$89.30
Yes
3mo ago
2-us-netflix-show
Yes
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$63.95
ROI
-86.0%
Volume
$89.30
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
-$57.03
-100.0%
$57.03
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$57.03
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$57.03
cape-town-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 5?
-$1.19
-30.2%
$6.62
No
3mo ago
cape-town-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 5?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.19
ROI
-30.2%
Volume
$6.62
jeddah-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?
+$22.65
+127.3%
$17.79
No
3mo ago
jeddah-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$22.65
ROI
+127.3%
Volume
$17.79
singapore-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?
+$22.36
+85.2%
$26.25
No
3mo ago
singapore-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$22.36
ROI
+85.2%
Volume
$26.25
P
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?
-$17.51
-100.0%
$17.51
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$17.51
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$17.51
P
Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?
-$0.67
-100.0%
$0.67
No
3mo ago
P
No
Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.67
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.67
155 Markets
•
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data