P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
0x
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.02
0xD385f648c97B02d5252E7A616e8958c5b81bDD8A-1779811022356
0xD385f648c97...
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Save
Created
May 26, 2026
Active
September 25, 2026
Balance
$46.16
Incoming
+$507.87
Rewards
+$5.48
Outgoing
-$2.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$16.10
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 27
Sep 3
Sep 11
Sep 18
Sep 26
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Politics
+$3.95
WR: 100.0%
(2/2)
ROI: +12.6%
Pop Culture
+$3.82
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +20.3%
Geopolitics
+$2.20
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +15.3%
Elections
+$1.75
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +10.3%
Economy
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: +0.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$65.67
16.0%
Taker Volume
$343.93
84.0%
Taker Ratio
84%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$2.20
ROI
15.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$308.18
Fee
$1.35
1 Wins in 3 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$2.20
ROI
15.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$308.18
Fee
$1.35
1 Wins in 3 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$2.20
ROI
15.3%
Win Rate
33.3%
Volume
$308.18
Fee
$1.35
1 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$16.10
ROI
-21.8%
Win Rate
42.9%
Volume
$409.60
Fee
$1.87
3 Wins in 7 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 144
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
—
—
$14.86
fee: $0.07
Active
17h ago
P
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
Active 17h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.86
fee: $0.07
P
10-year-treasur
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
—
—
$262.32
fee: $1.28
Active
17h ago
P
10-year-treasur
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
Active 17h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$262.32
fee: $1.28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
+$2.20
+15.3%
$31.00
Active
17h ago
Active
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Active 17h ago
PnL
+$2.20
ROI
+15.3%
Volume
$31.00
P
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
+$3.82
+20.3%
$41.88
fee: $0.39
No
21d ago
P
No
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$3.82
ROI
+20.3%
Volume
$41.88
fee: $0.39
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$23.86
-100.0%
$23.86
Yes
23d ago
Yes
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$23.86
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$23.86
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
—
—
$0.03
fee: $0.00
Active
25d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.03
fee: $0.00
P
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
+$1.75
+10.4%
$35.65
fee: $0.13
Yes
27d ago
P
Yes
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$1.75
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$35.65
fee: $0.13
tornado-risk-daily
Will Denver, CO face tornado risk on August 24?
+$1.20
+6.4%
$18.80
No
1mo ago
tornado-risk-daily
No
Will Denver, CO face tornado risk on August 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$18.80
rain-daily
Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 24?
+$1.94
+16.6%
$11.74
fee: $0.09
No
1mo ago
rain-daily
No
Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.94
ROI
+16.6%
Volume
$11.74
fee: $0.09
rain-daily
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?
-$61.70
-102.7%
$60.05
fee: $1.64
Yes
1mo ago
rain-daily
Yes
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$61.70
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$60.05
fee: $1.64
rain-daily
Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23?
-$11.06
-103.5%
$10.69
fee: $0.37
Yes
1mo ago
rain-daily
Yes
Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$11.06
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$10.69
fee: $0.37
tornado-risk-daily
Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 23?
-$0.46
-28.5%
$2.80
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
tornado-risk-daily
No
Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.46
ROI
-28.5%
Volume
$2.80
fee: $0.06
tornado-risk-daily
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on August 23?
+$0.75
+5.3%
$14.25
No
1mo ago
tornado-risk-daily
No
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on August 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$14.25
rain-daily
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 22?
+$9.55
+93.6%
$10.20
fee: $0.25
No
1mo ago
rain-daily
No
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 22?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.55
ROI
+93.6%
Volume
$10.20
fee: $0.25
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
+$0.30
+9.4%
$6.70
fee: $0.18
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$6.70
fee: $0.18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
+$4.54
+86.3%
$15.06
fee: $0.35
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.54
ROI
+86.3%
Volume
$15.06
fee: $0.35
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
+$2.45
+28.0%
$19.95
fee: $0.39
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.45
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$19.95
fee: $0.39
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
+$0.08
+2.7%
$6.08
fee: $0.36
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$6.08
fee: $0.36
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
+$8.33
+75.1%
$29.13
fee: $0.39
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.33
ROI
+75.1%
Volume
$29.13
fee: $0.39
P
core-pce-mom
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?
-$1.08
-10.5%
$19.72
fee: $0.26
No
1mo ago
P
core-pce-mom
No
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.08
ROI
-10.5%
Volume
$19.72
fee: $0.26
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
+$9.65
+46.1%
$51.55
fee: $0.71
Active
1mo ago
Active
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.65
ROI
+46.1%
Volume
$51.55
fee: $0.71
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
+$1.35
+55.1%
$28.30
fee: $0.50
Active
1mo ago
Active
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.35
ROI
+55.1%
Volume
$28.30
fee: $0.50
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
+$2.41
+7.2%
$70.04
fee: $0.55
Yes
2mo ago
fed-3-parlay
Yes
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$2.41
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$70.04
fee: $0.55
bank-of-brazil-decision
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
+$9.48
+63.2%
$40.00
fee: $0.53
No
2mo ago
bank-of-brazil-decision
No
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$9.48
ROI
+63.2%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.53
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$16.68
+63.1%
$69.56
No
2mo ago
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
No
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.68
ROI
+63.1%
Volume
$69.56
P
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$20.00
+294.1%
$33.60
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
+$20.00
ROI
+294.1%
Volume
$33.60
P
warships
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$6.15
+17.7%
$75.85
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.15
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$75.85
P
core-cpi-mom
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
+$3.91
+12.8%
$65.50
fee: $0.59
Yes
2mo ago
P
core-cpi-mom
Yes
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.91
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$65.50
fee: $0.59
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
+$0.95
+11.3%
$17.80
fee: $0.05
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.95
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$17.80
fee: $0.05
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
-$8.53
-101.6%
$8.39
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.53
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$8.39
fee: $0.13
P
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
—
—
$7.98
fee: $0.23
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.98
fee: $0.23
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
-$13.63
-102.9%
$13.24
fee: $0.39
Yes
2mo ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$13.63
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$13.24
fee: $0.39
highest-grossing-movie
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
—
—
$4.80
fee: $0.12
Active
2mo ago
highest-grossing-movie
Active
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.80
fee: $0.12
ng-hit-month
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?
+$1.00
+2.0%
$104.00
fee: $1.00
Yes
2mo ago
ng-hit-month
Yes
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$104.00
fee: $1.00
P
trump-declassifies-ufo
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?
+$4.72
+55.5%
$22.00
fee: $0.28
Yes
2mo ago
P
trump-declassifies-ufo
Yes
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.72
ROI
+55.5%
Volume
$22.00
fee: $0.28
anthropic-vs-openai
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
+$1.65
+4.2%
$79.65
fee: $0.65
Active
2mo ago
anthropic-vs-openai
Active
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.65
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$79.65
fee: $0.65
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$22.86
No
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$22.86
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
+$0.31
+1.6%
$39.50
fee: $1.19
No
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
No
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$39.50
fee: $1.19
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
-$17.89
-102.5%
$17.46
fee: $0.43
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$17.89
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$17.46
fee: $0.43
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
-$1.91
-106.4%
$1.80
fee: $0.11
No
2mo ago
No
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.91
ROI
-106.4%
Volume
$1.80
fee: $0.11
P
b200-rental-price
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
-$27.94
-101.2%
$27.60
fee: $0.34
Yes
2mo ago
P
b200-rental-price
Yes
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$27.94
ROI
-101.2%
Volume
$27.60
fee: $0.34
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
+$0.05
+0.1%
$71.95
fee: $0.58
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$71.95
fee: $0.58
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
+$0.50
+1.2%
$83.50
fee: $0.55
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$83.50
fee: $0.55
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
-$7.38
-102.6%
$7.20
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$7.38
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$7.20
fee: $0.18
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
+$29.40
+147.0%
$20.00
fee: $0.60
Yes
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$29.40
ROI
+147.0%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.60
P
core-cpi-mom
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?
+$2.57
+31.3%
$19.14
fee: $0.12
No
2mo ago
P
core-cpi-mom
No
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.57
ROI
+31.3%
Volume
$19.14
fee: $0.12
P
glean-valuation
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?
—
—
$13.50
fee: $0.33
Active
2mo ago
P
glean-valuation
Active
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$13.50
fee: $0.33
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
—
—
$124.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$124.00
P
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
+$2.36
+7.7%
$64.50
fee: $1.14
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$2.36
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$64.50
fee: $1.14
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$18.54
-100.0%
$18.54
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$18.54
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$18.54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
—
—
$66.85
Active
2mo ago
Active
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$66.85
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
-$3.44
-102.1%
$3.37
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.44
ROI
-102.1%
Volume
$3.37
fee: $0.07
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
-$12.88
-103.0%
$12.50
fee: $0.38
Yes
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.88
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$12.50
fee: $0.38
gdp-quarterly
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
-$2.49
-103.8%
$2.40
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
gdp-quarterly
No
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.49
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$2.40
fee: $0.09
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?
-$5.02
-104.6%
$4.80
fee: $0.22
No
2mo ago
No
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.02
ROI
-104.6%
Volume
$4.80
fee: $0.22
P
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
+$13.09
+40.7%
$78.15
fee: $0.76
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.09
ROI
+40.7%
Volume
$78.15
fee: $0.76
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
+$1.62
+3.8%
$86.38
No
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$86.38
P
box-office-openings
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
-$6.16
-32.9%
$54.88
fee: $0.95
No
2mo ago
P
box-office-openings
No
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.16
ROI
-32.9%
Volume
$54.88
fee: $0.95
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
-$0.16
-2.6%
$12.00
fee: $0.30
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.16
ROI
-2.6%
Volume
$12.00
fee: $0.30
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
-$0.07
-3.1%
$4.41
fee: $0.21
Active
2mo ago
Active
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$4.41
fee: $0.21
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
+$1.82
+7.1%
$53.02
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.82
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$53.02
china-gdp
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
+$11.50
+34.4%
$78.95
fee: $0.55
Yes
2mo ago
china-gdp
Yes
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.50
ROI
+34.4%
Volume
$78.95
fee: $0.55
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
+$1.17
+3.0%
$80.50
fee: $0.33
No
2mo ago
No
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$1.17
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$80.50
fee: $0.33
core-cpi
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
+$0.28
+5.7%
$10.23
fee: $0.27
No
2mo ago
core-cpi
No
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+5.7%
Volume
$10.23
fee: $0.27
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?
-$1.60
-31.4%
$8.60
fee: $0.51
Active
2mo ago
Active
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.60
ROI
-31.4%
Volume
$8.60
fee: $0.51
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?
-$2.00
-64.5%
$4.20
fee: $0.22
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-64.5%
Volume
$4.20
fee: $0.22
Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?
+$11.51
+83.2%
$39.47
fee: $0.30
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.51
ROI
+83.2%
Volume
$39.47
fee: $0.30
waymo-launch
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
+$4.00
+29.9%
$30.80
fee: $0.18
Active
2mo ago
waymo-launch
Active
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.00
ROI
+29.9%
Volume
$30.80
fee: $0.18
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
-$3.00
-12.5%
$45.00
fee: $0.99
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$45.00
fee: $0.99
P
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?
-$3.57
-22.2%
$28.57
fee: $0.81
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$3.57
ROI
-22.2%
Volume
$28.57
fee: $0.81
measles
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
-$4.95
-31.9%
$26.05
Active
2mo ago
measles
Active
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.95
ROI
-31.9%
Volume
$26.05
P
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
-$1.11
-11.5%
$14.50
fee: $0.45
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.11
ROI
-11.5%
Volume
$14.50
fee: $0.45
P
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
-$0.30
-21.4%
$2.50
fee: $0.09
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.30
ROI
-21.4%
Volume
$2.50
fee: $0.09
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
+$8.24
+25.8%
$73.00
fee: $0.76
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$8.24
ROI
+25.8%
Volume
$73.00
fee: $0.76
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
+$11.42
+142.8%
$27.42
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$11.42
ROI
+142.8%
Volume
$27.42
measles
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
-$17.00
-100.0%
$17.00
Yes
2mo ago
measles
Yes
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$17.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$17.00
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
+$0.31
+10.6%
$6.20
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
No
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$6.20
fee: $0.09
south-korea-gdp
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
-$0.70
-5.5%
$22.36
fee: $0.54
No
2mo ago
south-korea-gdp
No
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.70
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$22.36
fee: $0.54
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
-$2.50
-12.5%
$37.50
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.50
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$37.50
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
+$1.80
+19.4%
$20.40
fee: $0.94
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.80
ROI
+19.4%
Volume
$20.40
fee: $0.94
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.94
-18.5%
$58.12
fee: $0.74
Yes
2mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
Yes
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$2.94
ROI
-18.5%
Volume
$58.12
fee: $0.74
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$10.42
+94.2%
$32.89
fee: $0.35
No
2mo ago
No
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.42
ROI
+94.2%
Volume
$32.89
fee: $0.35
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
-$2.79
-28.0%
$17.19
fee: $0.38
Active
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.79
ROI
-28.0%
Volume
$17.19
fee: $0.38
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
-$4.60
-34.5%
$22.08
fee: $0.66
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.60
ROI
-34.5%
Volume
$22.08
fee: $0.66
P
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?
-$1.20
-24.9%
$8.74
fee: $0.28
No
2mo ago
P
anthropic-valuation
No
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-24.9%
Volume
$8.74
fee: $0.28
P
glean-valuation
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
-$1.02
-23.1%
$7.82
fee: $0.28
Active
2mo ago
P
glean-valuation
Active
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-23.1%
Volume
$7.82
fee: $0.28
P
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
-$1.02
-12.8%
$15.50
fee: $0.52
No
2mo ago
P
openai-valuation
No
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.02
ROI
-12.8%
Volume
$15.50
fee: $0.52
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
+$3.08
+308.4%
$5.08
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.08
ROI
+308.4%
Volume
$5.08
P
neurolink-valuation
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $52.5B by July 31?
+$0.85
+13.2%
$14.21
fee: $0.44
No
2mo ago
P
neurolink-valuation
No
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $52.5B by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.85
ROI
+13.2%
Volume
$14.21
fee: $0.44
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
+$3.65
+19.3%
$41.45
No
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$3.65
ROI
+19.3%
Volume
$41.45
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?
+$4.18
+34.9%
$28.12
fee: $0.48
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.18
ROI
+34.9%
Volume
$28.12
fee: $0.48
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?
—
—
$5.60
fee: $0.19
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.60
fee: $0.19
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
—
—
$45.50
fee: $0.16
Active
2mo ago
Active
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$45.50
fee: $0.16
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$88.00
fee: $0.42
Active
2mo ago
Active
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$88.00
fee: $0.42
P
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?
+$12.42
+50.0%
$62.10
fee: $0.74
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.42
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$62.10
fee: $0.74
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
+$1.34
+107.0%
$3.90
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision
No
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.34
ROI
+107.0%
Volume
$3.90
fee: $0.06
euro-gdp
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?
+$3.75
+25.3%
$33.60
fee: $0.25
No
2mo ago
euro-gdp
No
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.75
ROI
+25.3%
Volume
$33.60
fee: $0.25
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
+$2.49
+6.2%
$82.42
fee: $0.58
Active
2mo ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.49
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$82.42
fee: $0.58
P
north-korea-missile-test
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
+$4.40
+55.0%
$20.40
Yes
2mo ago
P
north-korea-missile-test
Yes
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.40
ROI
+55.0%
Volume
$20.40
P
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
+$9.14
+32.7%
$66.00
fee: $0.86
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.14
ROI
+32.7%
Volume
$66.00
fee: $0.86
144 Markets
•
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