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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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tr
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$171.90
trader-d4a83850
trader-d4a838...
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Save
Created
May 22, 2026
Active
August 25, 2026
Balance
$0.01
Incoming
+$6.00K
Rewards
+$11.52
Outgoing
-$4.84K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 31
Sep 7
Sep 15
Sep 22
Sep 30
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 117
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
house-odds-deriv
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
+$7.00
+7.4%
$196.11
fee: $1.25
Active
1mo ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.00
ROI
+7.4%
Volume
$196.11
fee: $1.25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
+$11.51
+37.1%
$73.51
fee: $0.21
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$11.51
ROI
+37.1%
Volume
$73.51
fee: $0.21
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
+$16.86
+4.1%
$830.88
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.86
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$830.88
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$61.46
+40.7%
$363.61
No
1mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$61.46
ROI
+40.7%
Volume
$363.61
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
+$3.66
+4.3%
$174.03
fee: $1.73
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.66
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$174.03
fee: $1.73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
-$6.64
-13.5%
$91.69
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.64
ROI
-13.5%
Volume
$91.69
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$100.00
fee: $0.49
Active
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Active
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
fee: $0.49
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
+$5.93
+9.3%
$134.95
fee: $1.59
No
1mo ago
No
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.93
ROI
+9.3%
Volume
$134.95
fee: $1.59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$0.94
-3.1%
$58.93
fee: $0.87
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.94
ROI
-3.1%
Volume
$58.93
fee: $0.87
putin-out-as-president
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+$0.87
+0.8%
$231.62
Active
1mo ago
putin-out-as-president
Active
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.87
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$231.62
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
+$0.28
+4.0%
$14.43
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$14.43
fee: $0.03
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
+$0.89
+2.8%
$63.76
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.89
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$63.76
fee: $0.01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
+$2.03
+6.2%
$67.73
fee: $0.12
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.03
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$67.73
fee: $0.12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
-$0.57
-1.1%
$99.41
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-1.1%
Volume
$99.41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$2.57
+16.1%
$34.47
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$2.57
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$34.47
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
+$36.11
+4.0%
$1.84K
Active
1mo ago
Active
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$36.11
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$1.84K
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$6.29
+8.4%
$156.56
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$6.29
ROI
+8.4%
Volume
$156.56
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
+$3.80
+2.7%
$288.55
fee: $2.43
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.80
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$288.55
fee: $2.43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
+$3.76
+3.8%
$203.80
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$3.76
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$203.80
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.96
+1.8%
$109.97
fee: $0.14
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$109.97
fee: $0.14
house-odds-deriv
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
+$1.50
+3.6%
$51.50
fee: $0.50
Active
1mo ago
house-odds-deriv
Active
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.50
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$51.50
fee: $0.50
israel-x-saudi-arabia-relations
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
+$12.10
+0.8%
$2.97K
Active
1mo ago
israel-x-saudi-arabia-relations
Active
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$12.10
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$2.97K
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$4.46
+89.2%
$5.00
fee: $0.17
Down
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Down
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.46
ROI
+89.2%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.17
xrp-up-or-down-15m
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
+$1.44
+2.9%
$50.00
fee: $0.10
Up
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-15m
Up
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.44
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $0.10
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
-$7.65
-15.3%
$92.67
fee: $0.31
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$7.65
ROI
-15.3%
Volume
$92.67
fee: $0.31
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
-$50.93
-101.9%
$50.00
fee: $0.93
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$50.93
ROI
-101.9%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $0.93
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
-$5.35
-106.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.35
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$5.35
ROI
-106.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.35
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
-$52.91
-105.8%
$50.00
fee: $2.91
Up
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$52.91
ROI
-105.8%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $2.91
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
+$68.57
+137.1%
$50.00
fee: $2.05
Up
1mo ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Up
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$68.57
ROI
+137.1%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $2.05
sol-up-or-down-5m
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
-$52.60
-105.2%
$50.00
fee: $2.60
Down
1mo ago
sol-up-or-down-5m
Down
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$52.60
ROI
-105.2%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $2.60
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
+$27.38
+54.8%
$50.00
fee: $1.28
Up
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$27.38
ROI
+54.8%
Volume
$50.00
fee: $1.28
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
-$25.91
-103.6%
$25.00
fee: $0.91
Up
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$25.91
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.91
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
-$25.56
-102.2%
$25.00
fee: $0.56
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$25.56
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$25.00
fee: $0.56
sol-up-or-down-15m
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
-$40.89
-102.2%
$40.00
fee: $0.89
Down
1mo ago
sol-up-or-down-15m
Down
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$40.89
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.89
xrp-up-or-down-15m
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
-$41.01
-102.5%
$40.00
fee: $1.01
Down
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-15m
Down
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$41.01
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $1.01
xrp-up-or-down-5m
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
+$0.54
+53.7%
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Up
1mo ago
xrp-up-or-down-5m
Up
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+53.7%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
+$1.28
+1.7%
$151.12
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$151.12
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
+$0.65
+1.0%
$66.11
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$66.11
fee: $0.02
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
+$1.28
+2.2%
$119.55
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+2.2%
Volume
$119.55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
+$2.49
+5.3%
$47.32
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.49
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$47.32
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$5.46
+21.4%
$53.08
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.46
ROI
+21.4%
Volume
$53.08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
+$3.90
+17.6%
$22.13
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.90
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$22.13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
+$1.73
+3.1%
$55.98
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.73
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$55.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
+$5.82
+5.8%
$100.02
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.82
ROI
+5.8%
Volume
$100.02
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
-$21.84
-48.0%
$70.08
fee: $0.85
No
1mo ago
No
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$21.84
ROI
-48.0%
Volume
$70.08
fee: $0.85
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$27.50
-30.1%
$155.37
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$27.50
ROI
-30.1%
Volume
$155.37
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
+$1.88
+4.4%
$42.86
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.88
ROI
+4.4%
Volume
$42.86
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-$14.22
-8.2%
$332.30
Active
2mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$14.22
ROI
-8.2%
Volume
$332.30
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$27.05
+19.3%
$206.60
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$27.05
ROI
+19.3%
Volume
$206.60
fee: $0.00
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$2.20
+0.2%
$2.15K
fee: $12.73
Yes
2mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.20
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$2.15K
fee: $12.73
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
+$5.07
+11.1%
$45.64
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.07
ROI
+11.1%
Volume
$45.64
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
+$2.63
+5.3%
$50.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.63
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$50.05
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
+$3.70
+68.1%
$14.76
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.70
ROI
+68.1%
Volume
$14.76
fee: $0.18
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
+$0.59
+1.4%
$49.25
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.59
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$49.25
soccer-fifwc
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
-$2.78
-44.9%
$9.89
fee: $0.31
No
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.78
ROI
-44.9%
Volume
$9.89
fee: $0.31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
+$0.05
+2.4%
$4.54
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$4.54
ufc
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
-$8.21
-19.8%
$77.11
fee: $2.57
Max Holloway
2mo ago
ufc
Max Holloway
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$8.21
ROI
-19.8%
Volume
$77.11
fee: $2.57
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
-$240.90
-18.5%
$2.41K
fee: $50.46
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$240.90
ROI
-18.5%
Volume
$2.41K
fee: $50.46
soccer-fifwc
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
-$1.00K
-100.5%
$1,000.00
fee: $4.80
No
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.00K
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$1,000.00
fee: $4.80
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$15.47
+7.7%
$200.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$15.47
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$200.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$30.78
-14.4%
$273.70
fee: $3.25
No
2mo ago
No
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$30.78
ROI
-14.4%
Volume
$273.70
fee: $3.25
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?
+$5.91
+3.0%
$200.00
Yes
2mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.91
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$200.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.64
+0.6%
$200.97
fee: $0.34
No
2mo ago
No
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$200.97
fee: $0.34
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$4.34
-2.6%
$328.75
fee: $0.82
No
2mo ago
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.34
ROI
-2.6%
Volume
$328.75
fee: $0.82
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
+$51.72
+10.3%
$1.05K
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$51.72
ROI
+10.3%
Volume
$1.05K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$100.35
+20.1%
$500.00
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$100.35
ROI
+20.1%
Volume
$500.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$3.44
-3.4%
$197.06
fee: $0.50
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.44
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$197.06
fee: $0.50
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
+$11.80
+18.3%
$64.37
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$11.80
ROI
+18.3%
Volume
$64.37
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
+$3.23
+6.0%
$53.63
fee: $0.05
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.23
ROI
+6.0%
Volume
$53.63
fee: $0.05
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
+$21.13
+42.2%
$50.01
No
3mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$21.13
ROI
+42.2%
Volume
$50.01
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$1.05
+2.5%
$42.14
fee: $0.03
No
3mo ago
No
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$42.14
fee: $0.03
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$1.57
+7.6%
$42.95
No
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.57
ROI
+7.6%
Volume
$42.95
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$14.45
+2.9%
$500.00
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$14.45
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$500.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$61.80
+12.4%
$500.00
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$61.80
ROI
+12.4%
Volume
$500.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
+$1.93
+26.6%
$7.24
No
3mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.93
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$7.24
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$3.17
+3.1%
$205.03
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.17
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$205.03
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
+$0.81
+3.6%
$22.44
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.81
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$22.44
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
+$2.26
+15.2%
$32.03
fee: $0.01
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.26
ROI
+15.2%
Volume
$32.03
fee: $0.01
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$6.45
+3.7%
$174.93
fee: $0.19
No
3mo ago
No
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.45
ROI
+3.7%
Volume
$174.93
fee: $0.19
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
+$2.03
+4.1%
$49.98
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.03
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$49.98
china-x-philippines-clash
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
+$2.75
+5.4%
$104.88
Yes
3mo ago
china-x-philippines-clash
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.75
ROI
+5.4%
Volume
$104.88
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
-$8.38
-63.4%
$18.37
fee: $0.30
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.38
ROI
-63.4%
Volume
$18.37
fee: $0.30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$0.35
+1.1%
$63.52
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$63.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
-$57.86
-38.6%
$242.31
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$57.86
ROI
-38.6%
Volume
$242.31
trump-out
Trump out as President before 2027?
—
—
$55.42
Active
3mo ago
trump-out
Active
Trump out as President before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$55.42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
-$1.10
-3.7%
$58.04
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$1.10
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$58.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
—
—
$11.33
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$11.33
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
+$0.88
+1.1%
$158.03
Active
3mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$158.03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
+$9.00
+22.0%
$41.00
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$9.00
ROI
+22.0%
Volume
$41.00
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$0.41
+2.5%
$33.34
fee: $0.04
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$33.34
fee: $0.04
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
+$8.13
+9.9%
$171.98
fee: $0.20
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.13
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$171.98
fee: $0.20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
+$5.60
+59.6%
$24.37
No
3mo ago
No
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.60
ROI
+59.6%
Volume
$24.37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
-$26.30
-38.6%
$110.11
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$26.30
ROI
-38.6%
Volume
$110.11
zelenskyy-out
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
+$1.21
+1.2%
$200.88
Active
3mo ago
zelenskyy-out
Active
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.21
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$200.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
-$43.66
-97.2%
$46.15
No
3mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$43.66
ROI
-97.2%
Volume
$46.15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
+$1.23
+14.9%
$8.21
No
3mo ago
No
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$8.21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
-$8.85
-7.1%
$199.52
fee: $0.58
No
4mo ago
No
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$8.85
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$199.52
fee: $0.58
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
-$3.59
-80.6%
$5.34
fee: $0.03
Yes
4mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$3.59
ROI
-80.6%
Volume
$5.34
fee: $0.03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
—
—
$2.46
fee: $0.04
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.46
fee: $0.04
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
+$14.62
+12.4%
$118.32
Yes
4mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$14.62
ROI
+12.4%
Volume
$118.32
117 Markets
•
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