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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$31.45
TheBud
TheBud
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Created
September 29, 2025
Active
November 5, 2026
Balance
$571.93
Incoming
+$114.25
Rewards
+$3.11
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$63.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 13
Oct 20
Oct 28
Nov 4
Nov 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
-$1.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: -1.4%
Elections
-$62.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: -100.0%
Politics
-$63.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/5)
ROI: -46.7%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$290.78
57.5%
Taker Volume
$215.36
42.5%
Taker Ratio
43%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$1.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
-1.4%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$404.14
Fee
$0.97
0 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$63.00
Rebate:
+$0.27
ROI
-46.7%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$506.14
Fee
$0.97
0 Wins in 5 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 55
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
-$1.00
-1.4%
$145.00
Active
6d ago
P
Active
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$145.00
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
—
—
$200.14
Active
6d ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$200.14
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
—
—
$59.00
fee: $0.97
Active
6d ago
Active
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Active 6d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$59.00
fee: $0.97
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
—
—
$40.00
Active
15d ago
Active
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$40.00
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
-$62.00
-100.0%
$62.00
Bibi
20d ago
Bibi
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$62.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$62.00
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
+$40.77
+21.0%
$193.94
fee: $0.28
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$40.77
ROI
+21.0%
Volume
$193.94
fee: $0.28
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
+$3.95
+8.6%
$45.89
fee: $0.15
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$3.95
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$45.89
fee: $0.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$38.90
+63.7%
$61.10
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$38.90
ROI
+63.7%
Volume
$61.10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
-$49.60
-100.0%
$49.60
No
1mo ago
No
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$49.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$49.60
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
—
—
$14.21
Active
1mo ago
Active
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.21
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
-$23.20
-100.0%
$23.20
Yes
2mo ago
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$23.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$23.20
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
—
—
$47.40
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$47.40
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
-$24.94
-100.0%
$24.94
Yes
2mo ago
israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$24.94
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$24.94
P
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
+$3.46
+6.1%
$56.40
fee: $0.14
No
2mo ago
P
No
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.46
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$56.40
fee: $0.14
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
+$13.00
+37.1%
$131.00
Active
2mo ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.00
ROI
+37.1%
Volume
$131.00
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
+$12.30
+22.7%
$137.91
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.30
ROI
+22.7%
Volume
$137.91
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
+$52.20
+109.2%
$47.80
Yes
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$52.20
ROI
+109.2%
Volume
$47.80
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$67.30
-100.0%
$67.30
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$67.30
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$67.30
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$71.70
-100.0%
$71.70
Yes
3mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$71.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$71.70
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
—
—
$118.50
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$118.50
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
+$20.00
+25.0%
$80.00
No
3mo ago
No
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$20.00
ROI
+25.0%
Volume
$80.00
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
-$12.34
-102.8%
$12.00
fee: $0.34
No
3mo ago
No
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Settled 24d ago
PnL
-$12.34
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$12.00
fee: $0.34
Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?
+$0.90
+1.9%
$46.54
No
3mo ago
No
Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$46.54
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: July
+$24.00
+31.6%
$76.00
Nothing
4mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$24.00
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$76.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$31.00
+44.9%
$69.00
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$31.00
ROI
+44.9%
Volume
$69.00
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
+$14.00
+38.9%
$36.00
No
4mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$14.00
ROI
+38.9%
Volume
$36.00
israel-x-lebanon-relations
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
—
—
$96.59
Active
4mo ago
israel-x-lebanon-relations
Active
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$96.59
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$4.80
+13.6%
$35.20
No
4mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.80
ROI
+13.6%
Volume
$35.20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$90.84
Active
4mo ago
Active
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$90.84
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$30.00
-100.0%
$30.00
No
4mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$30.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$30.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$3.00
+3.1%
$97.00
No
4mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.00
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$97.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$5.20
-100.0%
$5.20
No
4mo ago
No
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.20
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
—
—
$67.50
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$67.50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
-$22.05
-55.7%
$58.20
fee: $1.05
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$22.05
ROI
-55.7%
Volume
$58.20
fee: $1.05
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
-$9.00
-100.0%
$9.00
No
4mo ago
No
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$9.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$9.00
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
+$13.98
+31.6%
$102.42
No
4mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
No
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$13.98
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$102.42
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$37.70
+40.8%
$92.30
No
4mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$37.70
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$92.30
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
+$5.20
+14.9%
$34.80
No
5mo ago
No
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$5.20
ROI
+14.9%
Volume
$34.80
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
+$41.19
+115.4%
$113.79
fee: $1.20
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$41.19
ROI
+115.4%
Volume
$113.79
fee: $1.20
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
+$26.90
+36.8%
$73.09
No
5mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$26.90
ROI
+36.8%
Volume
$73.09
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.77
+10.2%
$27.15
fee: $0.08
No
5mo ago
No
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.77
ROI
+10.2%
Volume
$27.15
fee: $0.08
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
+$11.00
+28.2%
$39.00
No
5mo ago
No
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$11.00
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$39.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
+$8.00
+19.0%
$42.00
No
5mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.00
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$42.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.16
+12.2%
$17.78
fee: $0.06
No
5mo ago
No
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.16
ROI
+12.2%
Volume
$17.78
fee: $0.06
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$1.23
+3.6%
$33.78
No
5mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$33.78
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: May
+$4.50
+17.6%
$25.50
Nothing
5mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$4.50
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$25.50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
+$2.80
+7.5%
$37.20
No
5mo ago
No
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$2.80
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$37.20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
+$3.50
+7.5%
$46.50
No
5mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.50
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$46.50
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
-$11.60
-100.0%
$11.60
Yes
6mo ago
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Settled 6mo ago
PnL
-$11.60
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$11.60
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$11.80
+15.1%
$78.20
No
6mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$11.80
ROI
+15.1%
Volume
$78.20
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
+$8.00
+19.0%
$42.00
No
6mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$8.00
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$42.00
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
+$4.48
+5.9%
$155.36
No
6mo ago
No
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
Settled 6mo ago
PnL
+$4.48
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$155.36
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
-$3.51
-100.0%
$3.51
No
6mo ago
No
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$3.51
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$3.51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$23.20
Active
6mo ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 6mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$23.20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$22.00
+28.2%
$78.00
No
6mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$22.00
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$78.00
55 Markets