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PolyPnL
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PolyEdge Engine
98
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$2.27K
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
98Ddd05Cde45d...
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Created
March 30, 2026
Active
September 10, 2026
Balance
$247.07
Incoming
+$61.92K
Rewards
+$750.93
Outgoing
-$55.53K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$1.27K
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 13
Aug 21
Aug 28
Sep 5
Sep 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Finance
+$1.31K
WR: 100.0%
(4/4)
ROI: +18.7%
Economy
+$961.19
WR: 40.0%
(2/5)
ROI: +9.0%
Geopolitics
+$124.84
WR: 42.9%
(3/7)
ROI: +1.9%
Politics
+$117.82
WR: 50.0%
(2/4)
ROI: +1.8%
Tech
-$39.51
WR: 50.0%
(2/4)
ROI: -3.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$21.86K
38.2%
Taker Volume
$35.43K
61.8%
Taker Ratio
62%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$135.80
ROI
2.2%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$15.30K
Fee
$16.31
2 Wins in 4 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$135.80
ROI
2.2%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$15.30K
Fee
$16.31
2 Wins in 4 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$1.27K
ROI
6.3%
Win Rate
52.6%
Volume
$57.29K
Fee
$514.58
10 Wins in 19 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 180
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
+$104.39
+3.2%
$8.30K
Active
1d ago
Active
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Active 1d ago
PnL
+$104.39
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$8.30K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
-$45.15
-2.1%
$5.48K
Active
1d ago
Active
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Active 1d ago
PnL
-$45.15
ROI
-2.1%
Volume
$5.48K
P
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
+$82.32
+16.7%
$1.09K
fee: $8.75
Active
2d ago
P
Active
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
+$82.32
ROI
+16.7%
Volume
$1.09K
fee: $8.75
fed-rate-hike
Fed rate hike in 2026?
-$5.76
-2.7%
$433.88
fee: $7.57
Active
2d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Active 2d ago
PnL
-$5.76
ROI
-2.7%
Volume
$433.88
fee: $7.57
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
-$37.77
-19.1%
$361.51
fee: $3.26
Yes
8d ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$37.77
ROI
-19.1%
Volume
$361.51
fee: $3.26
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
+$39.81
+19.8%
$394.48
fee: $2.99
Yes
8d ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$39.81
ROI
+19.8%
Volume
$394.48
fee: $2.99
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
+$216.57
+60.4%
$3.11K
Active
8d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
+$216.57
ROI
+60.4%
Volume
$3.11K
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
+$384.88
+23.4%
$7.57K
fee: $76.88
Active
9d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Active 9d ago
PnL
+$384.88
ROI
+23.4%
Volume
$7.57K
fee: $76.88
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
-$161.81
-12.5%
$4.60K
fee: $94.93
Active
9d ago
fed-3-parlay
Active
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Active 9d ago
PnL
-$161.81
ROI
-12.5%
Volume
$4.60K
fee: $94.93
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
+$82.51
+29.3%
$1.10K
fee: $7.75
Active
10d ago
Active
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$82.51
ROI
+29.3%
Volume
$1.10K
fee: $7.75
yearly-ipos
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
+$61.42
+5.5%
$2.12K
fee: $19.49
Active
10d ago
yearly-ipos
Active
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$61.42
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$2.12K
fee: $19.49
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
-$58.67
-13.5%
$297.33
fee: $6.60
Yes
11d ago
Yes
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$58.67
ROI
-13.5%
Volume
$297.33
fee: $6.60
mythos-released
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
+$17.12
+6.7%
$922.03
fee: $2.85
Yes
11d ago
mythos-released
Yes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$17.12
ROI
+6.7%
Volume
$922.03
fee: $2.85
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
-$32.81
-0.9%
$8.72K
fee: $173.35
Active
14d ago
fed-3-parlay
Active
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$32.81
ROI
-0.9%
Volume
$8.72K
fee: $173.35
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
+$776.68
+19.7%
$9.67K
fee: $110.17
Active
14d ago
fed-rate-hike
Active
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Active 14d ago
PnL
+$776.68
ROI
+19.7%
Volume
$9.67K
fee: $110.17
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
-$157.99
-25.8%
$2.89K
Active
20d ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Active
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Active 20d ago
PnL
-$157.99
ROI
-25.8%
Volume
$2.89K
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
-$39.71
-64.5%
$83.35
Yes
22d ago
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Yes
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
-$39.71
ROI
-64.5%
Volume
$83.35
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?
+$46.73
+41.8%
$138.20
Yes
22d ago
houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia
Yes
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$46.73
ROI
+41.8%
Volume
$138.20
iran-target-saudi-arabia-by
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?
—
—
$3.08
Active
23d ago
iran-target-saudi-arabia-by
Active
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?
Active 23d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.08
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$196.46
-18.0%
$1.98K
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$196.46
ROI
-18.0%
Volume
$1.98K
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
+$393.68
+35.0%
$2.64K
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$393.68
ROI
+35.0%
Volume
$2.64K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
-$53.31
-24.2%
$386.73
Active
1mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$53.31
ROI
-24.2%
Volume
$386.73
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$136.93
+16.1%
$1.84K
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$136.93
ROI
+16.1%
Volume
$1.84K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$222.81
-64.6%
$467.39
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$222.81
ROI
-64.6%
Volume
$467.39
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$255.61
+17.6%
$1.75K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$255.61
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$1.75K
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
-$1.47
-105.3%
$1.40
fee: $0.07
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.47
ROI
-105.3%
Volume
$1.40
fee: $0.07
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
+$0.40
+66.7%
$1.60
Down
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+66.7%
Volume
$1.60
btc-up-or-down-5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
+$0.25
+50.0%
$1.25
Up
1mo ago
btc-up-or-down-5m
Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$1.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$4.85
+1.0%
$969.37
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.85
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$969.37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
+$21.89
+29.1%
$172.41
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$21.89
ROI
+29.1%
Volume
$172.41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
—
—
$93.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$93.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$1.72
+20.5%
$8.40
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
+$1.72
ROI
+20.5%
Volume
$8.40
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: August
-$1.70
-100.0%
$1.70
Nothing
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$1.70
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.70
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
-$26.00
-100.0%
$26.00
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$26.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$26.00
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
-$1.04K
-92.6%
$1.21K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.04K
ROI
-92.6%
Volume
$1.21K
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
+$1.02K
+32.1%
$7.40K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.02K
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$7.40K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
+$47.47
+20.3%
$487.50
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$47.47
ROI
+20.3%
Volume
$487.50
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
-$17.88
-22.0%
$144.60
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 25d ago
PnL
-$17.88
ROI
-22.0%
Volume
$144.60
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
+$128.27
+11.5%
$2.35K
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$128.27
ROI
+11.5%
Volume
$2.35K
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$8.81
+1.5%
$1.16K
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$8.81
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$1.16K
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$225.39
+5.9%
$7.87K
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$225.39
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$7.87K
micron-hit-price-weekly
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?
+$4.44
+292.3%
$1.52
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
micron-hit-price-weekly
No
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 27 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.44
ROI
+292.3%
Volume
$1.52
fee: $0.05
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
+$319.62
+19.5%
$1.64K
fee: $12.63
No
1mo ago
fed-rate-hike
No
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$319.62
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$1.64K
fee: $12.63
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
-$212.16
-103.2%
$205.65
fee: $6.50
No
1mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$212.16
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$205.65
fee: $6.50
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
+$27.00
+0.8%
$6.50K
No
1mo ago
P
No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$27.00
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$6.50K
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: July
-$724.59
-55.9%
$1.87K
Nothing
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$724.59
ROI
-55.9%
Volume
$1.87K
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
+$856.11
+17.0%
$7.09K
fee: $59.35
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$856.11
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$7.09K
fee: $59.35
P
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
-$380.60
-100.5%
$378.82
fee: $1.78
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$380.60
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$378.82
fee: $1.78
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$8.04
+2.0%
$802.24
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.04
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$802.24
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
+$85.31
+15.5%
$1.19K
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$85.31
ROI
+15.5%
Volume
$1.19K
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
+$393.65
+144.1%
$342.80
fee: $7.37
Yes
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$393.65
ROI
+144.1%
Volume
$342.80
fee: $7.37
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
-$427.83
-71.4%
$772.51
fee: $2.29
Yes
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$427.83
ROI
-71.4%
Volume
$772.51
fee: $2.29
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
-$1.33
-105.0%
$1.26
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-105.0%
Volume
$1.26
fee: $0.06
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
-$192.59
-90.1%
$236.22
fee: $1.08
No
1mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$192.59
ROI
-90.1%
Volume
$236.22
fee: $1.08
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
+$207.67
+252.5%
$90.96
fee: $1.42
No
1mo ago
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$207.67
ROI
+252.5%
Volume
$90.96
fee: $1.42
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
+$5.94
+50.0%
$29.70
fee: $0.35
Active
1mo ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$5.94
ROI
+50.0%
Volume
$29.70
fee: $0.35
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
+$61.10
+19.9%
$678.00
fee: $2.69
Active
1mo ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$61.10
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$678.00
fee: $2.69
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$89.35
-100.0%
$89.35
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$89.35
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$89.35
P
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$1.88
+58.7%
$3.20
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$1.88
ROI
+58.7%
Volume
$3.20
P
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$4.63
+63.9%
$7.25
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$4.63
ROI
+63.9%
Volume
$7.25
P
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$77.52
+63.9%
$121.27
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$77.52
ROI
+63.9%
Volume
$121.27
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
-$75.39
-10.3%
$1.38K
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$75.39
ROI
-10.3%
Volume
$1.38K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
+$300.13
+7.1%
$8.76K
No
1mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$300.13
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$8.76K
P
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?
-$182.26
-85.5%
$244.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$182.26
ROI
-85.5%
Volume
$244.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$214.37
+11.6%
$3.92K
No
1mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$214.37
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$3.92K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
+$163.76
+5.9%
$5.72K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$163.76
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$5.72K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
+$149.71
+13.7%
$2.34K
No
1mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$149.71
ROI
+13.7%
Volume
$2.34K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
+$713.68
+44.9%
$3.89K
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$713.68
ROI
+44.9%
Volume
$3.89K
P
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
-$765.22
-69.0%
$1.45K
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$765.22
ROI
-69.0%
Volume
$1.45K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
+$75.40
+60.8%
$323.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$75.40
ROI
+60.8%
Volume
$323.40
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
-$66.10
-100.0%
$66.10
No
2mo ago
No
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$66.10
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$66.10
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
-$20.92
-1.4%
$2.89K
fee: $8.16
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.92
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$2.89K
fee: $8.16
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
+$239.39
+54.8%
$1.12K
fee: $12.38
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$239.39
ROI
+54.8%
Volume
$1.12K
fee: $12.38
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
-$96.70
-3.8%
$4.29K
fee: $20.68
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$96.70
ROI
-3.8%
Volume
$4.29K
fee: $20.68
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
+$94.90
+84.4%
$320.35
fee: $0.48
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$94.90
ROI
+84.4%
Volume
$320.35
fee: $0.48
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
+$10.33
+41.9%
$60.08
fee: $0.47
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.33
ROI
+41.9%
Volume
$60.08
fee: $0.47
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
+$9.56
+2.9%
$579.89
fee: $1.49
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.56
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$579.89
fee: $1.49
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
-$559.58
-61.6%
$1.26K
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$559.58
ROI
-61.6%
Volume
$1.26K
soccer-fifwc
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
+$45.33
+7.6%
$977.10
fee: $10.59
Morocco
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Morocco
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$45.33
ROI
+7.6%
Volume
$977.10
fee: $10.59
P
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
+$59.91
+13.5%
$744.10
fee: $2.21
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$59.91
ROI
+13.5%
Volume
$744.10
fee: $2.21
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
+$196.21
+1090.1%
$232.21
Active
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$196.21
ROI
+1090.1%
Volume
$232.21
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
+$8.67
+92.6%
$27.57
fee: $0.17
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.67
ROI
+92.6%
Volume
$27.57
fee: $0.17
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.21
Active
2mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.21
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
-$1.20
-10.5%
$21.60
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-10.5%
Volume
$21.60
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
+$712.86
+20.6%
$7.64K
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$712.86
ROI
+20.6%
Volume
$7.64K
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
-$6.97
-8.2%
$144.51
fee: $0.54
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.97
ROI
-8.2%
Volume
$144.51
fee: $0.54
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
-$33.00
-100.0%
$33.00
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$33.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$33.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
+$31.83
+11.9%
$267.00
fee: $1.17
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$31.83
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$267.00
fee: $1.17
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
+$3.66
+57.3%
$6.39
fee: $0.09
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.66
ROI
+57.3%
Volume
$6.39
fee: $0.09
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?
-$2.14
-100.0%
$2.14
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 3?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.14
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.14
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
+$2.70
+17.0%
$15.84
fee: $0.10
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 8?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.70
ROI
+17.0%
Volume
$15.84
fee: $0.10
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
+$16.47
+5.3%
$311.77
fee: $0.64
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$16.47
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$311.77
fee: $0.64
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
-$20.05
-100.0%
$20.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.05
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$20.05
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
-$4.32
-100.0%
$4.32
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.32
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$4.32
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
+$2.09
+4.3%
$48.60
fee: $0.08
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.09
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$48.60
fee: $0.08
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$76.95
+53.4%
$364.95
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$76.95
ROI
+53.4%
Volume
$364.95
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
-$53.08
-25.2%
$367.77
Active
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
Active
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$53.08
ROI
-25.2%
Volume
$367.77
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
+$48.41
+9.3%
$1.09K
fee: $1.82
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$48.41
ROI
+9.3%
Volume
$1.09K
fee: $1.82
Starmer out by June 25, 2026?
-$48.42
-101.0%
$47.93
fee: $0.48
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 25, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$48.42
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$47.93
fee: $0.48
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
-$331.94
-19.7%
$3.03K
Yes
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$331.94
ROI
-19.7%
Volume
$3.03K
180 Markets
•
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