TheArsenalTakeTheArsenalTak...

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Created January 30, 2025

Active June 25, 2026

Balance$0.00

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$21.45

May 11

May 25

Jun 8

Jun 23

Jul 7

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Politics+$7.28

WR: 50.0%(8/16)

ROI: +0.2%

Geopolitics+$6.02

WR: 40.0%(8/20)

ROI: +0.1%

Elections+$4.62

WR: 50.0%(2/4)

ROI: +0.5%

Economy+$2.05

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +0.9%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$4.39K

46.6%

Taker Volume$5.02K

53.4%

Taker Ratio

53%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$6.12

ROI

0.1%

Win Rate

42.9%

Volume

$9.40K

Fee

$0.00

9 Wins in 21 Markets

Recent Markets | total 39

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

-$0.20

-0.1%

Active

11d ago

Active

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Active 11d ago

PnL-$0.20

ROI-0.1%

Volume

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

—

Active

11d ago

Active

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Active 11d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

+$0.46

+0.3%

12d ago

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Settled 5d ago

PnL+$0.46

ROI+0.3%

Volume

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

—

Active

13d ago

Active

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Active 13d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

—

Active

13d ago

Active

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Active 13d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

—

Active

14d ago

Active

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active 14d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

-$1.63

-3.8%

Active

15d ago

Active

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Active 15d ago

PnL-$1.63

ROI-3.8%

Volume

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

+$4.52

+2.1%

Active

18d ago

Active

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active 18d ago

PnL+$4.52

ROI+2.1%

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

+$0.49

+0.3%

18d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$0.49

ROI+0.3%

Volume

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

—

Active

19d ago

Active

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active 19d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

—

Active

20d ago

Active

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Active 20d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

+$0.10

+0.0%

Active

22d ago

Active

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Active 22d ago

PnL+$0.10

ROI+0.0%

Volume

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

+$0.47

+3.4%

23d ago

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$0.47

ROI+3.4%

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

+$2.05

+0.9%

Active

23d ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Active 23d ago

PnL+$2.05

ROI+0.9%

Volume

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

-$0.65

-6.3%

24d ago

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL-$0.65

ROI-6.3%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

—

Yes

26d ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Settled 19d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

china-invade-taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

-$4.38

-0.3%

Active

26d ago

china-invade-taiwan

Active

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Active 26d ago

PnL-$4.38

ROI-0.3%

Volume

iran-nuke

Iran Nuke before 2027?

+$1.46

+0.4%

Active

26d ago

iran-nuke

Active

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Active 26d ago

PnL+$1.46

ROI+0.4%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

—

Yes

27d ago

Yes

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Settled 22d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

+$3.08

+2.3%

Yes

28d ago

Yes

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Settled 22d ago

PnL+$3.08

ROI+2.3%

Volume

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

+$0.35

+4.5%

28d ago

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$0.35

ROI+4.5%

Volume

ukraine-not-nato

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

+$1.75

+5.7%

1mo ago

ukraine-not-nato

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$1.75

ROI+5.7%

Volume

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

—

Active

1mo ago

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Active

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

+$0.87

+0.2%

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Settled 25d ago

PnL+$0.87

ROI+0.2%

Volume

Will Alberta join the US?

+$0.03

+0.0%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Alberta join the US?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.0%

Volume

putin-out-as-president

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

—

1mo ago

putin-out-as-president

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

+$0.24

+0.1%

Active

1mo ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.24

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

-$6.08

-1.5%

1mo ago

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL-$6.08

ROI-1.5%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

+$51.43

+67.6%

1mo ago

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$51.43

ROI+67.6%

Volume

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

+$0.90

+0.5%

1mo ago

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$0.90

ROI+0.5%

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

-$33.59

-9.3%

1mo ago

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$33.59

ROI-9.3%

Volume

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

-$2.32

-2.5%

1mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$2.32

ROI-2.5%

Volume

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

+$2.60

+1.4%

1mo ago

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$2.60

ROI+1.4%

Volume

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

+$0.68

+14.3%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.68

ROI+14.3%

Volume

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?

+$3.12

+0.3%

1mo ago

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$3.12

ROI+0.3%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

+$0.94

+0.1%

1mo ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$0.94

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

-$5.24

-0.5%

1mo ago

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

Settled 5d ago

PnL-$5.24

ROI-0.5%

Volume

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

—

1mo ago

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

39 Markets