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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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powered by
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$2.01
TheDude98
TheDude98
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
November 10, 2024
Active
September 10, 2026
Balance
$5.00
Incoming
+$86.96
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.11
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 21
Aug 28
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 20
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$0.11
WR: 14.3%
(1/7)
ROI: +1.1%
Elections
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: +0.0%
Politics
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/6)
ROI: +0.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$120.01
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.11
ROI
1.1%
Win Rate
11.1%
Volume
$120.01
Fee
$0.06
1 Wins in 9 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 96
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
—
—
$40.00
Active
9d ago
Active
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$40.00
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
+$0.11
+1.1%
$20.11
Active
15d ago
Active
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
Active 15d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$20.11
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Active
18d ago
Active
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Active 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Active
18d ago
Active
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Active 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?
—
—
$10.00
Active
18d ago
Active
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?
Active 18d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
—
—
$5.00
Active
20d ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Active
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
Active 20d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$5.00
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
—
—
$10.00
Active
20d ago
Active
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
Active 20d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
where-us-iran-meeting
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
Active
25d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$31.90
Active
25d ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Active
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Active 25d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$31.90
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: August
+$0.16
+3.2%
$4.85
Nothing
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Settled 9d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$4.85
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$26.10
-100.0%
$26.10
Yes
1mo ago
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$26.10
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$26.10
warships
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
+$0.02
+2.0%
$0.99
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$0.99
warships
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
+$0.95
+1.9%
$49.05
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.95
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$49.05
spy-hit-month
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
-$5.14
-84.2%
$7.10
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
spy-hit-month
No
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$5.14
ROI
-84.2%
Volume
$7.10
fee: $0.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
-$30.79
-62.2%
$68.75
fee: $0.54
No
1mo ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$30.79
ROI
-62.2%
Volume
$68.75
fee: $0.54
P
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
+$2.12
+10.6%
$20.00
No
1mo ago
P
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.12
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$20.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
-$8.08
-65.2%
$17.05
fee: $0.33
No
1mo ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$8.08
ROI
-65.2%
Volume
$17.05
fee: $0.33
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$0.94
+4.7%
$20.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.94
ROI
+4.7%
Volume
$20.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.00
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
-$13.75
-100.0%
$13.75
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$13.75
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$13.75
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
-$10.00
-100.0%
$10.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.00
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
+$0.05
+1.6%
$6.04
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$6.04
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
+$2.19
+5.5%
$40.00
No
1mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.19
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$40.00
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
+$3.99
+26.6%
$15.00
No
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.99
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$15.00
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
-$27.60
-91.4%
$33.27
fee: $0.46
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$27.60
ROI
-91.4%
Volume
$33.27
fee: $0.46
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?
+$0.30
+5.1%
$6.00
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.01
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
+$1.56
+11.3%
$13.80
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.56
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$13.80
fee: $0.01
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
-$8.08
-63.1%
$17.52
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$8.08
ROI
-63.1%
Volume
$17.52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
-$20.78
-92.0%
$24.42
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.78
ROI
-92.0%
Volume
$24.42
P
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
+$0.27
+0.9%
$60.26
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$60.26
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
-$0.26
-26.4%
$1.73
No
1mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.26
ROI
-26.4%
Volume
$1.73
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
-$0.49
-9.9%
$9.50
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.49
ROI
-9.9%
Volume
$9.50
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
+$6.72
+55.6%
$12.10
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.72
ROI
+55.6%
Volume
$12.10
houthi-military-action-against-israel
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?
+$0.08
+1.2%
$13.51
No
1mo ago
houthi-military-action-against-israel
No
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.08
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$13.51
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
+$0.39
+1.8%
$44.39
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.39
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$44.39
P
warships
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$1.66
+4.0%
$85.65
No
1mo ago
P
warships
No
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.66
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$85.65
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
+$28.78
+110.1%
$26.15
fee: $0.22
Yes
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$28.78
ROI
+110.1%
Volume
$26.15
fee: $0.22
P
warships
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.56
+5.1%
$22.56
No
1mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.56
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$22.56
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing Ever Happens: July
-$2.03
-7.3%
$53.96
Nothing
1mo ago
nothing-ever-happens
Nothing
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.03
ROI
-7.3%
Volume
$53.96
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
+$21.28
+55.0%
$38.69
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
Yes
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$21.28
ROI
+55.0%
Volume
$38.69
fee: $0.02
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
+$0.81
+5.5%
$14.68
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.81
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$14.68
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.03
-103.1%
$1.00
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$9.24
+21.5%
$95.80
fee: $0.68
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.24
ROI
+21.5%
Volume
$95.80
fee: $0.68
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.20
+9.9%
$2.00
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$2.00
P
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
+$0.80
+8.7%
$9.20
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$9.20
P
warships
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$2.23
+5.5%
$40.82
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.23
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$40.82
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
+$1.57
+19.6%
$8.00
Yes
2mo ago
P
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Yes
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.57
ROI
+19.6%
Volume
$8.00
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$0.21
+4.2%
$5.00
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$5.00
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
+$3.27
+5.6%
$96.36
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.27
ROI
+5.6%
Volume
$96.36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$0.57
-3.7%
$31.27
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-3.7%
Volume
$31.27
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
+$1.37
+5.3%
$26.00
No
2mo ago
No
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.37
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$26.00
P
warships
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
+$0.36
+2.4%
$30.35
No
2mo ago
P
warships
No
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$30.35
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.99
+8.3%
$12.00
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+8.3%
Volume
$12.00
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
-$4.99
-52.4%
$14.07
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.99
ROI
-52.4%
Volume
$14.07
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?
+$0.99
+9.9%
$10.00
No
2mo ago
No
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+9.9%
Volume
$10.00
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
+$2.27
+7.6%
$30.00
No
2mo ago
No
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.27
ROI
+7.6%
Volume
$30.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
+$3.40
+6.1%
$115.39
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.40
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$115.39
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
-$0.04
-3.9%
$2.02
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
No
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$2.02
fee: $0.06
soccer-fifwc
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
-$2.11
-70.3%
$4.00
fee: $0.11
Spain
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Spain
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.11
ROI
-70.3%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.11
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
+$0.34
+2.1%
$15.66
No
2mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$15.66
soccer-fifwc
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
+$1.10
+27.5%
$4.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+27.5%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.02
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
+$0.35
+2.3%
$30.38
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
No
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+2.3%
Volume
$30.38
fee: $0.03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
+$0.97
+2.9%
$66.96
No
2mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.97
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$66.96
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
+$4.64
+58.0%
$20.63
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.64
ROI
+58.0%
Volume
$20.63
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
+$1.52
+7.9%
$40.16
No
2mo ago
No
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.52
ROI
+7.9%
Volume
$40.16
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
+$1.02
+7.3%
$29.02
No
2mo ago
foreign-intervention-in-gaza
No
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$29.02
enrichment-of-uranium
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
+$1.67
+20.4%
$18.07
No
2mo ago
enrichment-of-uranium
No
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.67
ROI
+20.4%
Volume
$18.07
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
+$0.05
+9.5%
$1.06
No
2mo ago
No
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$1.06
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
+$1.99
+7.3%
$56.41
No
2mo ago
No
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.99
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$56.41
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
+$2.28
+2.9%
$77.72
No
2mo ago
No
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.28
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$77.72
soccer-fifwc
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
-$1.01
-101.5%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
3mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
+$16.31
+35.3%
$109.08
fee: $0.40
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$16.31
ROI
+35.3%
Volume
$109.08
fee: $0.40
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
+$0.59
+4.5%
$26.58
No
3mo ago
No
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.59
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$26.58
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$1.52
+10.1%
$31.52
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.52
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$31.52
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
+$0.35
+17.6%
$2.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$2.00
Iran leadership change by December 31?
-$0.84
-31.5%
$5.83
Active
3mo ago
Active
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.84
ROI
-31.5%
Volume
$5.83
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-$4.04
-50.5%
$11.96
Active
3mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.04
ROI
-50.5%
Volume
$11.96
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
-$0.99
-98.7%
$1.01
No
3mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-98.7%
Volume
$1.01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
-$0.99
-98.8%
$1.01
No
3mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.99
ROI
-98.8%
Volume
$1.01
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$3.00
+17.6%
$17.00
No
3mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.00
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$17.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
+$1.62
+3.9%
$83.61
No
3mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.62
ROI
+3.9%
Volume
$83.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
+$2.52
+28.0%
$20.52
No
3mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.52
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$20.52
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
-$0.69
-69.2%
$1.33
fee: $0.02
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.69
ROI
-69.2%
Volume
$1.33
fee: $0.02
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
+$10.62
+176.9%
$8.21
fee: $0.32
No
4mo ago
No
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$10.62
ROI
+176.9%
Volume
$8.21
fee: $0.32
warships
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
+$3.19
+29.0%
$25.18
No
4mo ago
warships
No
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.19
ROI
+29.0%
Volume
$25.18
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
+$0.52
+5.2%
$20.52
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+5.2%
Volume
$20.52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$0.30
+2.0%
$30.30
No
4mo ago
No
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$30.30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
+$3.51
+117.0%
$9.51
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$3.51
ROI
+117.0%
Volume
$9.51
china-invade-taiwan
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
—
—
$0.79
Active
4mo ago
china-invade-taiwan
Active
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.79
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
+$0.50
+4.1%
$36.76
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$36.76
strait-of-trump
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
+$0.22
+1.2%
$36.22
No
4mo ago
strait-of-trump
No
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$36.22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
No
4mo ago
No
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.00
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
—
—
$10.00
Active
4mo ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$10.00
critical-cloudflare-incident
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
-$1.01
-100.8%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Yes
4mo ago
critical-cloudflare-incident
Yes
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-100.8%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
96 Markets