P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Stats
NEW
Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
Ph
Bronze (1)
Weighted Vol:
$3.86K
PhilIvey9
PhilIvey9
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Created
February 1, 2026
Active
November 2, 2026
Balance
$6.49K
Incoming
+$9.75K
Rewards
+$31.26
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$524.32
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 12
Oct 20
Oct 27
Nov 4
Nov 11
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Elections
+$327.78
WR: 36.4%
(4/11)
ROI: +4.0%
Politics
+$320.74
WR: 45.0%
(9/20)
ROI: +3.0%
Sports
+$117.64
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +18.3%
Soccer
+$117.64
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +18.3%
Finance
+$1.19
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +18.2%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$1.37K
5.9%
Taker Volume
$21.84K
94.1%
Taker Ratio
94%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.14
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$524.32
Rebate:
+$3.12
ROI
-3.5%
Win Rate
37.9%
Volume
$23.21K
Fee
$127.12
11 Wins in 29 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 90
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
—
—
$328.70
fee: $8.94
Active
9d ago
Active
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$328.70
fee: $8.94
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
+$346.43
+40.5%
$854.34
fee: $2.52
Yes
10d ago
Yes
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$346.43
ROI
+40.5%
Volume
$854.34
fee: $2.52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
+$362.50
+40.8%
$887.50
No
11d ago
No
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$362.50
ROI
+40.8%
Volume
$887.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
+$235.07
+6.4%
$3.68K
No
11d ago
No
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
+$235.07
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$3.68K
P
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
-$25.63
-6.3%
$794.53
fee: $20.14
Active
13d ago
P
Active
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Active 13d ago
PnL
-$25.63
ROI
-6.3%
Volume
$794.53
fee: $20.14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
-$1.49
-0.2%
$1.45K
No
13d ago
No
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Settled 7d ago
PnL
-$1.49
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$1.45K
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$64.57
Active
13d ago
fomc
Active
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Active 13d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$64.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
-$10.49
-100.0%
$10.49
No
13d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$10.49
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
-$67.04
-62.8%
$151.48
fee: $4.89
Yes
13d ago
Yes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$67.04
ROI
-62.8%
Volume
$151.48
fee: $4.89
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$417.48
-24.0%
$3.07K
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$417.48
ROI
-24.0%
Volume
$3.07K
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?
+$1.26
+19.0%
$6.61
Yes
14d ago
Yes
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$1.26
ROI
+19.0%
Volume
$6.61
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
-$11.74
-28.8%
$71.98
fee: $2.13
No
14d ago
No
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$11.74
ROI
-28.8%
Volume
$71.98
fee: $2.13
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
+$1.19
+18.2%
$34.66
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
+$1.19
ROI
+18.2%
Volume
$34.66
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?
—
—
$7.51
Active
16d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?
Active 16d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
-$564.71
-97.8%
$589.53
No
18d ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$564.71
ROI
-97.8%
Volume
$589.53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$703.62
Active
20d ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Active 20d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$703.62
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
+$147.89
+31.6%
$468.33
Yes
21d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$147.89
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$468.33
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
+$14.05
+22.6%
$62.04
Yes
21d ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$14.05
ROI
+22.6%
Volume
$62.04
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
+$7.00
+7.5%
$93.00
No
21d ago
No
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$7.00
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$93.00
ucl-2025
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?
+$143.27
+61.1%
$234.45
fee: $4.53
No
22d ago
ucl-2025
No
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?
Settled 22d ago
PnL
+$143.27
ROI
+61.1%
Volume
$234.45
fee: $4.53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
—
—
$207.65
fee: $1.62
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Active 22d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$207.65
fee: $1.62
P
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
-$104.15
-91.1%
$129.20
fee: $4.63
Yes
22d ago
P
Yes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$104.15
ROI
-91.1%
Volume
$129.20
fee: $4.63
P
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
-$384.10
-13.7%
$5.44K
fee: $76.92
Yes
22d ago
P
fomc
Yes
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$384.10
ROI
-13.7%
Volume
$5.44K
fee: $76.92
Paris curfew by October 19?
+$17.06
+33.5%
$50.91
Yes
23d ago
Yes
Paris curfew by October 19?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$17.06
ROI
+33.5%
Volume
$50.91
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
-$137.98
-32.0%
$725.35
Yes
23d ago
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$137.98
ROI
-32.0%
Volume
$725.35
P
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
-$21.32
-103.9%
$20.51
fee: $0.80
No
23d ago
P
No
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$21.32
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$20.51
fee: $0.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$21.29
+1.4%
$3.00K
No
26d ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$21.29
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$3.00K
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
-$60.13
-100.0%
$60.13
No
27d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$60.13
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$60.13
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
-$15.08
-100.0%
$15.08
No
28d ago
No
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$15.08
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$15.08
P
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
-$126.21
-103.8%
$121.57
fee: $4.64
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$126.21
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$121.57
fee: $4.64
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
-$169.80
-42.4%
$631.28
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$169.80
ROI
-42.4%
Volume
$631.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
+$125.70
+49.7%
$631.48
Active
1mo ago
Active
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$125.70
ROI
+49.7%
Volume
$631.48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
-$2.89
-0.4%
$1.52K
Active
1mo ago
Active
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.89
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$1.52K
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
-$58.26
-100.0%
$58.26
Yes
1mo ago
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$58.26
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$58.26
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
-$6.73
-100.0%
$6.73
Yes
1mo ago
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$6.73
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$6.73
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
-$43.45
-100.0%
$43.45
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$43.45
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$43.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
+$34.71
+6.9%
$1.04K
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$34.71
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$1.04K
P
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-$652.87
-39.3%
$2.74K
fee: $77.66
No
1mo ago
P
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$652.87
ROI
-39.3%
Volume
$2.74K
fee: $77.66
Trump renames AI by September 30?
-$20.04
-102.4%
$19.57
fee: $0.47
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.04
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$19.57
fee: $0.47
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
-$2.96
-49.6%
$8.95
No
1mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.96
ROI
-49.6%
Volume
$8.95
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
-$82.32
-100.0%
$82.32
No
1mo ago
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Settled 3d ago
PnL
-$82.32
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$82.32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
—
—
$47.05
Active
1mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$47.05
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
-$216.54
-100.0%
$216.54
Yes
1mo ago
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$216.54
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$216.54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
+$188.73
+9.7%
$3.63K
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$188.73
ROI
+9.7%
Volume
$3.63K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$367.08
+13.0%
$3.62K
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$367.08
ROI
+13.0%
Volume
$3.62K
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
+$3.33
+56.5%
$15.10
Yes
1mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.33
ROI
+56.5%
Volume
$15.10
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
-$274.29
-100.5%
$272.96
fee: $1.33
No
1mo ago
No
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$274.29
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$272.96
fee: $1.33
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$661.19
-5.5%
$20.48K
fee: $396.58
Yes
1mo ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$661.19
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$20.48K
fee: $396.58
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$131.37
-5.3%
$4.98K
fee: $118.19
No
2mo ago
fomc
No
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$131.37
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$4.98K
fee: $118.19
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
—
—
$93.53
fee: $3.08
Active
2mo ago
Active
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$93.53
fee: $3.08
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$60.87
-105.0%
$57.99
fee: $2.88
No
2mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$60.87
ROI
-105.0%
Volume
$57.99
fee: $2.88
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
+$275.11
+158.6%
$228.56
No
2mo ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
No
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$275.11
ROI
+158.6%
Volume
$228.56
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
+$865.87
+550.9%
$170.89
No
2mo ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
No
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$865.87
ROI
+550.9%
Volume
$170.89
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
-$36.31
-101.4%
$35.82
fee: $0.48
No
2mo ago
No
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$36.31
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$35.82
fee: $0.48
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
-$695.57
-100.0%
$695.57
No
2mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$695.57
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$695.57
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
+$30.00
+300.0%
$10.00
No
2mo ago
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
No
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$30.00
ROI
+300.0%
Volume
$10.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
-$157.44
-100.0%
$157.44
No
2mo ago
No
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$157.44
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$157.44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
+$79.71
+55.0%
$268.40
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$79.71
ROI
+55.0%
Volume
$268.40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
+$340.91
+28.8%
$1.94K
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$340.91
ROI
+28.8%
Volume
$1.94K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$353.87
+33.3%
$1.59K
No
3mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$353.87
ROI
+33.3%
Volume
$1.59K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
+$3.45
+28.2%
$12.24
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.45
ROI
+28.2%
Volume
$12.24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$130.10
fee: $1.01
Active
3mo ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$130.10
fee: $1.01
china-x-philippines-clash
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
-$34.67
-29.4%
$201.08
Yes
3mo ago
china-x-philippines-clash
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$34.67
ROI
-29.4%
Volume
$201.08
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$204.43
+47.2%
$1.07K
Active
3mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$204.43
ROI
+47.2%
Volume
$1.07K
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
+$2.00
+29.9%
$6.70
No
4mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.00
ROI
+29.9%
Volume
$6.70
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
+$64.72
+14.6%
$949.95
No
4mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$64.72
ROI
+14.6%
Volume
$949.95
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
+$2.98
+35.4%
$19.85
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.98
ROI
+35.4%
Volume
$19.85
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
-$444.42
-95.8%
$483.61
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$444.42
ROI
-95.8%
Volume
$483.61
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
-$12.87
-5.5%
$463.87
fee: $4.81
Yes
4mo ago
who-trump-insult
Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$12.87
ROI
-5.5%
Volume
$463.87
fee: $4.81
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
+$10.62
+29.9%
$35.55
No
4mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$10.62
ROI
+29.9%
Volume
$35.55
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
-$10.88
-100.0%
$10.88
No
4mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
No
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$10.88
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$10.88
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
-$171.00
-100.0%
$171.00
No
4mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$171.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$171.00
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
-$36.55
-10.8%
$642.84
No
4mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$36.55
ROI
-10.8%
Volume
$642.84
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
-$86.89
-100.0%
$86.89
No
4mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
No
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$86.89
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$86.89
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
-$2.79K
-97.6%
$2.93K
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$2.79K
ROI
-97.6%
Volume
$2.93K
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
-$5.40
-100.0%
$5.40
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$5.40
soccer-fifwc
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
-$85.85
-102.0%
$84.16
fee: $1.69
Yes
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
Yes
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$85.85
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$84.16
fee: $1.69
soccer-fifwc
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
+$127.76
+166.9%
$283.21
fee: $2.40
No
4mo ago
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$127.76
ROI
+166.9%
Volume
$283.21
fee: $2.40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$1.22K
+448.9%
$1.77K
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.22K
ROI
+448.9%
Volume
$1.77K
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
+$0.26
+4.0%
$6.70
No
5mo ago
No
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+4.0%
Volume
$6.70
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
-$317.74
-100.0%
$317.74
No
5mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$317.74
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$317.74
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
+$1.95K
+33.2%
$8.71K
fee: $27.14
No
5mo ago
No
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$1.95K
ROI
+33.2%
Volume
$8.71K
fee: $27.14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
+$205.31
+32.7%
$1.47K
fee: $12.93
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$205.31
ROI
+32.7%
Volume
$1.47K
fee: $12.93
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
-$417.22
-100.0%
$417.22
No
5mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$417.22
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$417.22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
+$21.84
+16.4%
$291.88
fee: $3.50
No
6mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$21.84
ROI
+16.4%
Volume
$291.88
fee: $3.50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
+$274.94
+29.1%
$2.18K
fee: $12.96
No
6mo ago
No
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$274.94
ROI
+29.1%
Volume
$2.18K
fee: $12.96
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
+$0.41
+1.0%
$41.78
fee: $0.02
Yes
6mo ago
Yes
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Settled 6mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$41.78
fee: $0.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
-$456.09
-57.8%
$1.12K
No
6mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$456.09
ROI
-57.8%
Volume
$1.12K
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
-$0.90
-100.0%
$0.90
No
6mo ago
No
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Settled 6mo ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$0.90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$45.64
+18.6%
$535.34
No
6mo ago
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
+$45.64
ROI
+18.6%
Volume
$535.34
90 Markets