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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$0.41
FreshNewBeginning
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Created
May 6, 2026
Active
September 23, 2026
Balance
$28.30
Incoming
+$72.00
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$62.88
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$1.01
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 31
Sep 8
Sep 15
Sep 23
Sep 30
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$0.01
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +4.2%
Elections
-$0.18
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: -90.0%
Geopolitics
-$0.84
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: -61.9%
Politics
-$1.02
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: -65.6%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$2.30
87.8%
Taker Volume
$0.32
12.2%
Taker Ratio
12%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.01
ROI
2.6%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$0.39
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 1 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-56.2%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$2.62
Fee
$0.01
2 Wins in 4 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 301
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
+$0.01
+2.6%
$0.39
Active
6d ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Active 6d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$0.39
Will José Narro Céspedes win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
-$0.18
-90.0%
$0.26
Active
22d ago
Active
Will José Narro Céspedes win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
Active 22d ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-90.0%
Volume
$0.26
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
+$0.01
+4.2%
$0.49
Active
27d ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
Active 27d ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$0.49
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
-$0.84
-72.5%
$1.48
fee: $0.01
Active
27d ago
Active
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?
Active 27d ago
PnL
-$0.84
ROI
-72.5%
Volume
$1.48
fee: $0.01
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
-$0.39
-70.0%
$0.72
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.39
ROI
-70.0%
Volume
$0.72
fee: $0.01
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
+$0.02
+2.8%
$1.44
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$1.44
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$0.71
-52.2%
$2.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.71
ROI
-52.2%
Volume
$2.00
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?
-$0.03
-4.2%
$1.43
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-4.2%
Volume
$1.43
fee: $0.00
chinese-ai-2
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
-$1.26
-91.3%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-2
No
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$1.26
ROI
-91.3%
Volume
$1.50
second-best-ai-company
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$0.30
+20.0%
$3.30
No
1mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+20.0%
Volume
$3.30
waymo-operate
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
-$1.33
-90.5%
$1.61
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
waymo-operate
Active
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-90.5%
Volume
$1.61
fee: $0.01
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
-$0.81
-60.3%
$1.90
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
P
bank-of-japan
No
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.81
ROI
-60.3%
Volume
$1.90
fee: $0.03
P
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?
-$0.10
-76.0%
$0.16
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-76.0%
Volume
$0.16
chinese-ai-1
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
-$0.89
-22.5%
$7.02
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.89
ROI
-22.5%
Volume
$7.02
fee: $0.02
Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?
-$1.18
-93.9%
$1.34
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$1.18
ROI
-93.9%
Volume
$1.34
fee: $0.00
second-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.14
-10.2%
$2.60
No
1mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-10.2%
Volume
$2.60
P
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
-$1.32
-94.3%
$1.48
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$1.32
ROI
-94.3%
Volume
$1.48
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
-$1.12
-88.9%
$1.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.12
ROI
-88.9%
Volume
$1.40
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
+$6.08
+70.0%
$23.44
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$6.08
ROI
+70.0%
Volume
$23.44
chinese-ai-1
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$1.00
-74.1%
$1.70
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
Active
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-74.1%
Volume
$1.70
fee: $0.01
us-recognizes-russian-ukraine-sovereignty
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
+$0.15
+12.5%
$2.62
Active
1mo ago
us-recognizes-russian-ukraine-sovereignty
Active
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$2.62
P
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
+$0.01
+3.3%
$0.38
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$0.38
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$0.84
-63.6%
$1.80
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.84
ROI
-63.6%
Volume
$1.80
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
+$0.05
+3.6%
$2.71
Active
1mo ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.6%
Volume
$2.71
Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
-$1.17
-97.5%
$1.32
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Lise-Lotte Bensköld Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.17
ROI
-97.5%
Volume
$1.32
fee: $0.00
warships
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
+$0.02
+4.5%
$0.72
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$0.72
peoples-bank-of-china
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?
-$1.31
-89.2%
$1.66
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
peoples-bank-of-china
Active
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.31
ROI
-89.2%
Volume
$1.66
fee: $0.01
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
-$0.12
-8.9%
$2.58
No
1mo ago
No
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-8.9%
Volume
$2.58
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
-$0.90
-60.0%
$2.10
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-60.0%
Volume
$2.10
fee: $0.03
new-coronavirus-pandemic
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
+$0.03
+2.5%
$2.58
Active
1mo ago
new-coronavirus-pandemic
Active
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$2.58
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
-$0.04
-2.9%
$2.68
No
1mo ago
No
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-2.9%
Volume
$2.68
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
+$3.10
+45.3%
$16.78
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$3.10
ROI
+45.3%
Volume
$16.78
fee: $0.00
chinese-ai-1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$0.14
+5.8%
$5.05
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+5.8%
Volume
$5.05
fee: $0.02
Iran leadership change by August 22?
-$1.09
-80.6%
$1.61
No
1mo ago
No
Iran leadership change by August 22?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.09
ROI
-80.6%
Volume
$1.61
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
+$1.42
+52.8%
$6.78
No
1mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+52.8%
Volume
$6.78
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?
-$0.39
-61.1%
$0.89
No
1mo ago
No
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.39
ROI
-61.1%
Volume
$0.89
warships
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
-$0.23
-69.7%
$0.43
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-69.7%
Volume
$0.43
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
+$1.11
+41.7%
$6.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 1?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.11
ROI
+41.7%
Volume
$6.43
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
+$0.88
+63.6%
$3.64
Active
1mo ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.88
ROI
+63.6%
Volume
$3.64
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
+$0.05
+3.8%
$2.65
No
1mo ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$2.65
warships
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
-$0.09
-10.1%
$1.65
No
1mo ago
warships
No
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-10.1%
Volume
$1.65
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?
-$1.26
-93.3%
$1.44
No
1mo ago
next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-on
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.26
ROI
-93.3%
Volume
$1.44
P
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?
+$0.04
+3.0%
$2.68
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$2.68
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?
+$1.21
+43.2%
$6.84
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.21
ROI
+43.2%
Volume
$6.84
fee: $0.00
second-best-ai-company
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$1.20
+85.7%
$4.00
No
1mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+85.7%
Volume
$4.00
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
No
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
-$1.14
-95.0%
$1.40
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Luís Eduardo Falcão win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.14
ROI
-95.0%
Volume
$1.40
fee: $0.00
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.43
-100.0%
$1.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.43
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.32
-100.0%
$1.32
No
1mo ago
No
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.32
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.32
Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$1.23
-90.0%
$1.51
No
1mo ago
No
Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$1.23
ROI
-90.0%
Volume
$1.51
P
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?
+$0.99
+82.2%
$3.41
No
1mo ago
P
box-office-total-gross
No
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?
Settled 28d ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+82.2%
Volume
$3.41
putin-x-zelenskyy-handshake
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
-$0.90
-69.2%
$1.70
No
1mo ago
putin-x-zelenskyy-handshake
No
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-69.2%
Volume
$1.70
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
-$1.01
-73.9%
$1.72
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-73.9%
Volume
$1.72
fee: $0.01
chinese-ai-1
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
+$0.66
+80.4%
$2.28
No
1mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$0.66
ROI
+80.4%
Volume
$2.28
P
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
P
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
-$1.12
-81.4%
$1.65
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$1.12
ROI
-81.4%
Volume
$1.65
fee: $0.01
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.36
-100.0%
$1.36
No
1mo ago
No
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.36
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.36
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.46
-100.0%
$1.46
No
1mo ago
No
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.46
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.46
P
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
+$1.01
+75.9%
$3.67
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.01
ROI
+75.9%
Volume
$3.67
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
No
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
+$1.20
+80.0%
$4.20
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$4.20
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
-$1.33
-100.0%
$1.33
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.33
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.33
second-best-ai-company
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
-$0.90
-67.5%
$1.78
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-67.5%
Volume
$1.78
fee: $0.02
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
+$1.14
+82.6%
$3.90
No
1mo ago
No
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.14
ROI
+82.6%
Volume
$3.90
Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
-$1.32
-87.8%
$1.69
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
No
Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
Settled 2d ago
PnL
-$1.32
ROI
-87.8%
Volume
$1.69
fee: $0.01
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?
-$1.31
-90.6%
$1.57
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.31
ROI
-90.6%
Volume
$1.57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.96
+80.0%
$3.48
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$3.48
P
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?
+$1.04
+74.8%
$3.82
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by fire?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.04
ROI
+74.8%
Volume
$3.82
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
+$0.81
+54.4%
$3.77
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.81
ROI
+54.4%
Volume
$3.77
Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?
-$1.40
-100.0%
$1.40
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai or Speed die to a Wither?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.40
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
-$0.23
-8.7%
$5.07
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.23
ROI
-8.7%
Volume
$5.07
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
-$1.38
-100.0%
$1.38
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.38
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.38
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
-$1.43
-100.0%
$1.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.43
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$1.35
-100.0%
$1.35
No
1mo ago
No
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.35
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
-$1.43
-100.0%
$1.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.43
P
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
-$1.13
-83.1%
$1.60
fee: $0.01
No
1mo ago
P
No
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.13
ROI
-83.1%
Volume
$1.60
fee: $0.01
Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
-$1.43
-100.0%
$1.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.43
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.43
which-countries-recognize-israel
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?
+$0.96
+80.0%
$3.48
Active
1mo ago
which-countries-recognize-israel
Active
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$3.48
best-ai-company
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+$1.10
+78.6%
$3.90
Active
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+78.6%
Volume
$3.90
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
+$2.19
+83.9%
$7.41
No
1mo ago
No
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.19
ROI
+83.9%
Volume
$7.41
next-leader-out
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
-$0.90
-90.0%
$1.18
Active
1mo ago
next-leader-out
Active
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-90.0%
Volume
$1.18
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
-$1.04
-89.7%
$1.28
fee: $0.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.04
ROI
-89.7%
Volume
$1.28
fee: $0.00
Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?
-$1.32
-100.0%
$1.32
Speed
1mo ago
Speed
Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.32
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.32
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?
-$1.38
-93.6%
$1.57
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.38
ROI
-93.6%
Volume
$1.57
fee: $0.00
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$0.21
-7.4%
$5.43
No
1mo ago
No
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-7.4%
Volume
$5.43
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$0.12
-9.1%
$2.52
No
1mo ago
No
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$2.52
P
north-korea-missile-test
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
No
1mo ago
P
north-korea-missile-test
No
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
+$1.20
+85.7%
$4.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+85.7%
Volume
$4.00
P
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
+$1.08
+80.0%
$3.81
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+80.0%
Volume
$3.81
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?
+$0.87
+64.7%
$3.58
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.87
ROI
+64.7%
Volume
$3.58
fee: $0.00
us-monthly-inflation
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?
+$0.83
+62.1%
$3.49
No
1mo ago
us-monthly-inflation
No
Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.83
ROI
+62.1%
Volume
$3.49
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
-$0.65
-46.1%
$2.16
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.65
ROI
-46.1%
Volume
$2.16
fee: $0.02
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?
+$0.96
+70.6%
$3.68
No
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+70.6%
Volume
$3.68
P
hormuz-transits-neg
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
+$1.08
+85.7%
$3.60
No
1mo ago
P
hormuz-transits-neg
No
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+85.7%
Volume
$3.60
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
-$2.00
-76.4%
$3.26
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
No
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-76.4%
Volume
$3.26
fee: $0.03
highest-grossing-movie
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
-$1.20
-90.9%
$1.44
fee: $0.01
Active
1mo ago
highest-grossing-movie
Active
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.20
ROI
-90.9%
Volume
$1.44
fee: $0.01
best-ai-company
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
-$0.80
-63.5%
$1.81
fee: $0.02
Active
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.80
ROI
-63.5%
Volume
$1.81
fee: $0.02
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?
-$1.06
-74.1%
$1.82
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.06
ROI
-74.1%
Volume
$1.82
fee: $0.02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
+$1.71
+126.7%
$3.66
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.71
ROI
+126.7%
Volume
$3.66
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?
-$0.92
-69.4%
$1.74
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
No
Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.92
ROI
-69.4%
Volume
$1.74
fee: $0.02
301 Markets
•
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