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PolyPnL
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Created
N/A
Active
November 12, 2026
Balance
$2.64K
Incoming
+$8.49K
Rewards
+$312.60
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$186.69
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 13
Oct 21
Oct 28
Nov 5
Nov 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$24.14
WR: 37.5%
(3/8)
ROI: +11.1%
Tweets
+$0.84
WR: 66.7%
(2/3)
ROI: +2.2%
Soccer
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
Weather
-$1.98
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: -1.6%
Esports
-$4.62
WR: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -12.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$13.24K
100.0%
Taker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Ratio
0%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$129.61
Rebate:
+$312.60
ROI
-3.7%
Win Rate
31.4%
Volume
$9.79K
Fee
$0.00
33 Wins in 105 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$186.69
Rebate:
+$312.60
ROI
-4.3%
Win Rate
22.5%
Volume
$13.24K
Fee
$0.00
39 Wins in 173 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$186.69
Rebate:
+$312.60
ROI
-4.3%
Win Rate
22.5%
Volume
$13.24K
Fee
$0.00
39 Wins in 173 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$186.69
Rebate:
+$312.60
ROI
-4.3%
Win Rate
22.5%
Volume
$13.24K
Fee
$0.00
39 Wins in 173 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 173
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?
+$16.53
+24.4%
$152.01
Active
4m ago
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Active
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?
Active 4m ago
PnL
+$16.53
ROI
+24.4%
Volume
$152.01
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
+$0.05
+35.2%
$6.23
Active
8m ago
trump-truth-social
Active
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
Active 8m ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+35.2%
Volume
$6.23
second-best-math-ai
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
—
—
$6.60
Active
21m ago
second-best-math-ai
Active
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Active 21m ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.60
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
—
—
$18.00
Active
22m ago
Active
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 22m ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$18.00
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
-$0.21
-0.7%
$117.46
Active
33m ago
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Active
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Active 33m ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-0.7%
Volume
$117.46
P
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?
—
—
$72.00
Active
49m ago
P
Active
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?
Active 49m ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$72.00
chinese-ai-1
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
-$0.45
-6.1%
$67.45
Active
50m ago
chinese-ai-1
Active
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Active 50m ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-6.1%
Volume
$67.45
P
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
—
—
$21.16
Active
56m ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
Active 56m ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$21.16
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
—
—
$80.00
Active
1h ago
Active
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
Active 1h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$80.00
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
-$8.80
-8.3%
$213.57
Active
1h ago
Active
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
Active 1h ago
PnL
-$8.80
ROI
-8.3%
Volume
$213.57
first-to-leave-trump-cabinet
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?
+$0.28
+2.6%
$79.30
Active
1h ago
first-to-leave-trump-cabinet
Active
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?
Active 1h ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$79.30
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
-$1.60
-1.6%
$202.00
Active
1h ago
Active
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
Active 1h ago
PnL
-$1.60
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$202.00
P
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?
+$0.05
+5.8%
$26.23
Active
1h ago
P
Active
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?
Active 1h ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+5.8%
Volume
$26.23
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?
—
—
$121.51
Active
2h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$121.51
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?
—
—
$54.02
Active
2h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$54.02
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
+$0.09
+14.7%
$57.63
Active
2h ago
chinese-ai-1
Active
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+14.7%
Volume
$57.63
second-best-math-ai
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
-$0.45
-5.3%
$63.43
Active
2h ago
second-best-math-ai
Active
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$63.43
google-gemini-flash-lite-model-released-by
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
-$23.37
-13.8%
$312.04
Active
2h ago
google-gemini-flash-lite-model-released-by
Active
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
-$23.37
ROI
-13.8%
Volume
$312.04
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
-$3.63
-2.0%
$327.14
Active
2h ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
-$3.63
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$327.14
second-largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
-$0.05
-8.5%
$59.57
Active
2h ago
second-largest-company
Active
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-8.5%
Volume
$59.57
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?
+$0.20
+7.7%
$67.10
Active
2h ago
Active
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?
Active 2h ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+7.7%
Volume
$67.10
claude-opus-released
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
+$2.36
+2.1%
$229.42
Active
2h ago
claude-opus-released
Active
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
Active 2h ago
PnL
+$2.36
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$229.42
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?
+$0.00
+5.9%
$20.26
Active
2h ago
Active
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?
Active 2h ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+5.9%
Volume
$20.26
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
+$76.91
+49.5%
$290.41
Active
3h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
Active 3h ago
PnL
+$76.91
ROI
+49.5%
Volume
$290.41
5-5-earthquake
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
-$2.24
-23.8%
$16.48
Active
3h ago
5-5-earthquake
Active
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Active 3h ago
PnL
-$2.24
ROI
-23.8%
Volume
$16.48
P
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
-$8.40
-37.0%
$66.87
Active
3h ago
P
Active
Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Active 3h ago
PnL
-$8.40
ROI
-37.0%
Volume
$66.87
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?
—
—
$23.00
Active
3h ago
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Active
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?
Active 3h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$23.00
P
Will Kyren Williams have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$0.29
Active
3h ago
P
Active
Will Kyren Williams have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 3h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.29
P
nvidia-s-market-cap
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
+$0.91
+39.5%
$43.23
Active
3h ago
P
nvidia-s-market-cap
Active
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
Active 3h ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+39.5%
Volume
$43.23
measles
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
+$0.26
+0.2%
$282.65
Active
3h ago
measles
Active
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Active 3h ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$282.65
P
japan-gdp
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
-$2.77
-11.9%
$112.41
Active
3h ago
P
japan-gdp
Active
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Active 3h ago
PnL
-$2.77
ROI
-11.9%
Volume
$112.41
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
-$7.61
-19.5%
$70.39
Active
3h ago
Active
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
Active 3h ago
PnL
-$7.61
ROI
-19.5%
Volume
$70.39
P
apple-s-market-cap
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
+$1.11
+6.8%
$33.42
Active
3h ago
P
apple-s-market-cap
Active
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
Active 3h ago
PnL
+$1.11
ROI
+6.8%
Volume
$33.42
brazil-gdp
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
—
—
$28.57
Active
4h ago
brazil-gdp
Active
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?
Active 4h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$28.57
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
+$1.78
+0.3%
$1.44K
Active
4h ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Active 4h ago
PnL
+$1.78
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$1.44K
claude-opus-hle-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
-$2.15
-13.5%
$49.18
Active
4h ago
claude-opus-hle-debut
Active
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Active 4h ago
PnL
-$2.15
ROI
-13.5%
Volume
$49.18
P
Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
+$0.34
+4.6%
$17.44
Active
4h ago
P
Active
Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 4h ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$17.44
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
—
—
$17.70
Active
4h ago
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Active 4h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$17.70
h200-rental-price
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?
+$0.41
+3.0%
$30.23
Active
4h ago
h200-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?
Active 4h ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+3.0%
Volume
$30.23
median-home-price-austin
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?
—
—
$4.84
Active
4h ago
median-home-price-austin
Active
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?
Active 4h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.84
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?
-$3.68
-9.8%
$86.90
Active
5h ago
Active
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?
Active 5h ago
PnL
-$3.68
ROI
-9.8%
Volume
$86.90
claude-opus-released
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
-$5.00
-4.5%
$222.16
Active
5h ago
claude-opus-released
Active
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?
Active 5h ago
PnL
-$5.00
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$222.16
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
+$7.53
+49.1%
$38.17
Active
5h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Active 5h ago
PnL
+$7.53
ROI
+49.1%
Volume
$38.17
Will Junts win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
—
—
$142.00
Active
5h ago
Active
Will Junts win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 5h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$142.00
Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO?
-$32.98
-25.5%
$225.85
Active
5h ago
Active
Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO?
Active 5h ago
PnL
-$32.98
ROI
-25.5%
Volume
$225.85
P
japan-gdp
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
—
—
$12.56
Active
5h ago
P
japan-gdp
Active
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?
Active 5h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.56
P
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?
+$3.64
+4.9%
$145.92
Active
6h ago
P
Active
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?
Active 6h ago
PnL
+$3.64
ROI
+4.9%
Volume
$145.92
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?
-$2.53
-71.6%
$62.46
Active
6h ago
P
how-high-2-year-treasury
Active
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?
Active 6h ago
PnL
-$2.53
ROI
-71.6%
Volume
$62.46
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
-$28.54
-16.0%
$328.05
Active
6h ago
Active
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Active 6h ago
PnL
-$28.54
ROI
-16.0%
Volume
$328.05
P
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
+$1.82
+2.0%
$194.68
Active
6h ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
Active 6h ago
PnL
+$1.82
ROI
+2.0%
Volume
$194.68
P
how-high-30-year-treasury
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
—
—
$14.70
Active
7h ago
P
how-high-30-year-treasury
Active
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
Active 7h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$14.70
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
+$5.09
+19.9%
$70.87
Active
7h ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Active 7h ago
PnL
+$5.09
ROI
+19.9%
Volume
$70.87
P
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?
-$1.05
-2.0%
$153.04
Active
7h ago
P
Active
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?
Active 7h ago
PnL
-$1.05
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$153.04
P
Will Joe Burrow have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
+$0.02
+2.6%
$16.02
Active
7h ago
P
Active
Will Joe Burrow have 4,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 7h ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$16.02
openai-s-valuation
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?
+$0.69
+2.1%
$70.79
Active
7h ago
openai-s-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?
Active 7h ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$70.79
P
Will Matthew Stafford have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$65.00
Active
7h ago
P
Active
Will Matthew Stafford have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 7h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$65.00
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
—
—
$36.00
Active
7h ago
Active
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
Active 7h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$36.00
box-office-openings
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?
-$3.75
-6.0%
$121.25
Active
7h ago
box-office-openings
Active
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?
Active 7h ago
PnL
-$3.75
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$121.25
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
—
—
$9.02
Active
7h ago
Active
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Active 7h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.02
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
-$0.19
-2.3%
$30.98
Active
8h ago
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
Active 8h ago
PnL
-$0.19
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$30.98
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
—
—
$142.60
Active
8h ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Active 8h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$142.60
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$4.00
Active
8h ago
Active
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
Active 8h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$4.00
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?
-$15.57
-21.7%
$140.22
Active
8h ago
Active
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?
Active 8h ago
PnL
-$15.57
ROI
-21.7%
Volume
$140.22
h100-rental-price
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on December 31, 2026?
-$0.49
-24.1%
$66.56
Active
8h ago
h100-rental-price
Active
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on December 31, 2026?
Active 8h ago
PnL
-$0.49
ROI
-24.1%
Volume
$66.56
P
Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
—
—
$70.00
Active
9h ago
P
Active
Will Joe Burrow have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Active 9h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$70.00
P
rotten-tomatoes
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
—
—
$3.45
Active
9h ago
P
rotten-tomatoes
Active
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Active 9h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.45
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
+$0.11
+2.4%
$14.88
Active
9h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?
Active 9h ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$14.88
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
-$11.86
-28.1%
$99.96
Active
9h ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Active 9h ago
PnL
-$11.86
ROI
-28.1%
Volume
$99.96
dissent-at-fed-meeting
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
—
—
$49.00
Active
10h ago
dissent-at-fed-meeting
Active
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Active 10h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$49.00
Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
-$3.00
-9.4%
$93.00
Active
10h ago
Active
Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Active 10h ago
PnL
-$3.00
ROI
-9.4%
Volume
$93.00
Will "Encore" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
+$0.40
+1.8%
$47.45
Active
10h ago
Active
Will "Encore" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Active 10h ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$47.45
next-alibaba-qwen-plus-released-by
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$8.05
Active
10h ago
next-alibaba-qwen-plus-released-by
Active
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?
Active 10h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$8.05
P
Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?
+$0.40
+5.1%
$22.37
Active
10h ago
P
Active
Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?
Active 10h ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$22.37
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?
—
—
$3.60
Active
10h ago
openai-s-frontier-output-token-price
Active
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Active 10h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.60
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
—
—
$7.52
Active
11h ago
top-ai-company-style-on
Active
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
Active 11h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$7.52
chinese-ai-3
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
+$0.05
+14.0%
$17.80
Active
11h ago
chinese-ai-3
Active
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
Active 11h ago
PnL
+$0.05
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$17.80
chinese-ai-3
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
—
—
$66.20
Active
11h ago
chinese-ai-3
Active
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
Active 11h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$66.20
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?
+$2.22
+5.4%
$109.90
Active
11h ago
Active
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?
Active 11h ago
PnL
+$2.22
ROI
+5.4%
Volume
$109.90
box-office-total-gross
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?
-$5.22
-11.8%
$83.40
Active
12h ago
box-office-total-gross
Active
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?
Active 12h ago
PnL
-$5.22
ROI
-11.8%
Volume
$83.40
next-leader-out
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
-$0.25
-0.5%
$136.78
Active
12h ago
next-leader-out
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Active 12h ago
PnL
-$0.25
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$136.78
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
+$0.09
+13.3%
$5.48
Active
13h ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Active 13h ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+13.3%
Volume
$5.48
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?
-$17.51
-61.5%
$39.61
Active
13h ago
Active
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?
Active 13h ago
PnL
-$17.51
ROI
-61.5%
Volume
$39.61
databricks-vs-stripe
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
—
—
$37.00
Active
13h ago
databricks-vs-stripe
Active
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
Active 13h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$37.00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
+$1.00
+2.9%
$69.00
Active
13h ago
Active
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Active 13h ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$69.00
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
-$0.96
-24.3%
$6.97
Active
14h ago
Active
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
Active 14h ago
PnL
-$0.96
ROI
-24.3%
Volume
$6.97
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
+$1.13
+1.7%
$147.94
Active
14h ago
Active
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
Active 14h ago
PnL
+$1.13
ROI
+1.7%
Volume
$147.94
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?
—
—
$89.30
Active
14h ago
Active
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?
Active 14h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$89.30
P
Will Diable play for Bilibili Gaming in 2027?
-$4.84
-22.3%
$38.50
Active
15h ago
P
Active
Will Diable play for Bilibili Gaming in 2027?
Active 15h ago
PnL
-$4.84
ROI
-22.3%
Volume
$38.50
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?
—
—
$78.10
Active
15h ago
Active
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?
Active 15h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$78.10
median-home-price-nyc
Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?
—
—
$29.61
Active
15h ago
median-home-price-nyc
Active
Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?
Active 15h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$29.61
median-home-price-nyc
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?
-$2.26
-10.1%
$57.50
Active
15h ago
median-home-price-nyc
Active
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?
Active 15h ago
PnL
-$2.26
ROI
-10.1%
Volume
$57.50
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
-$0.43
-0.7%
$139.80
Active
16h ago
3-ai-model-style-control-on
Active
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?
Active 16h ago
PnL
-$0.43
ROI
-0.7%
Volume
$139.80
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
-$2.48
-3.9%
$124.00
Active
17h ago
fed-3-parlay
Active
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Active 17h ago
PnL
-$2.48
ROI
-3.9%
Volume
$124.00
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
+$0.11
+2.6%
$8.90
Active
17h ago
Active
Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Active 17h ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$8.90
trump-administration-resignations
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+$1.28
+12.5%
$172.45
Active
18h ago
trump-administration-resignations
Active
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Active 18h ago
PnL
+$1.28
ROI
+12.5%
Volume
$172.45
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
-$1.22
-100.0%
$1.22
Yes
19h ago
Yes
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
-$1.22
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.22
P
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
-$25.00
-100.0%
$25.00
Yes
19h ago
P
Yes
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Settled 15h ago
PnL
-$25.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$25.00
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?
+$1.46
+7.2%
$105.78
Active
20h ago
zelenskyy-tweets
Active
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?
Active 20h ago
PnL
+$1.46
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$105.78
Over $20M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?
-$10.00
-58.8%
$24.00
Active
21h ago
Active
Over $20M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?
Active 21h ago
PnL
-$10.00
ROI
-58.8%
Volume
$24.00
P
Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?
-$0.18
-2.4%
$34.12
Active
21h ago
P
Active
Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?
Active 21h ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-2.4%
Volume
$34.12
173 Markets
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