P
PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
A live demo site
powered by
PolyEdge Engine
6s
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$281.31
6sFjgt22jX8tME
6sFjgt22jX8tM...
View on Polymarket
Save
Created
August 9, 2026
Active
September 20, 2026
Balance
$0.00
Incoming
+$359.94
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$351.33
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$32.24
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Sep 1
Sep 8
Sep 16
Sep 23
Oct 1
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$35.49
WR: 63.6%
(63/99)
ROI: +15.9%
Soccer
+$6.97
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +89.0%
Crypto
+$4.05
WR: 81.8%
(9/11)
ROI: +5.1%
Geopolitics
+$3.84
WR: 75.0%
(3/4)
ROI: +19.4%
Pop Culture
+$0.93
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +11.9%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$122.47
12.1%
Taker Volume
$885.65
87.9%
Taker Ratio
88%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$32.24
ROI
5.6%
Win Rate
57.5%
Volume
$1.01K
Fee
$12.06
103 Wins in 179 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 343
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
chinese-ai-3
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
-$2.02
-101.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
No
10d ago
chinese-ai-3
No
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
P
next-openai-gpt-luna-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
-$1.99
-97.2%
$2.11
fee: $0.00
Yes
10d ago
P
next-openai-gpt-luna-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$1.99
ROI
-97.2%
Volume
$2.11
fee: $0.00
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
-$1.96
-99.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
No
10d ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$1.96
ROI
-99.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
chinese-ai-1
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$2.03
-92.1%
$2.38
fee: $0.01
No
10d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$2.03
ROI
-92.1%
Volume
$2.38
fee: $0.01
chinese-ai-1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$0.39
-66.2%
$0.79
fee: $0.01
No
10d ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$0.39
ROI
-66.2%
Volume
$0.79
fee: $0.01
ai-imo-gold-medal
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
-$1.68
-85.1%
$2.28
fee: $0.07
Active
10d ago
ai-imo-gold-medal
Active
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.68
ROI
-85.1%
Volume
$2.28
fee: $0.07
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
-$1.83
-87.4%
$2.35
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.83
ROI
-87.4%
Volume
$2.35
fee: $0.09
second-best-ai-agent-lab
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
-$1.29
-67.0%
$2.66
fee: $0.09
No
10d ago
second-best-ai-agent-lab
No
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-67.0%
Volume
$2.66
fee: $0.09
livebench-coding-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
-$1.60
-77.9%
$2.52
fee: $0.02
No
10d ago
livebench-coding-monthly
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$1.60
ROI
-77.9%
Volume
$2.52
fee: $0.02
openai-ipo
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
-$1.95
-85.5%
$2.61
fee: $0.10
Active
10d ago
openai-ipo
Active
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.95
ROI
-85.5%
Volume
$2.61
fee: $0.10
best-ai-agent
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
-$0.54
-35.8%
$2.50
fee: $0.04
No
10d ago
best-ai-agent
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
-$0.54
ROI
-35.8%
Volume
$2.50
fee: $0.04
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
-$1.14
-58.6%
$2.74
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.14
ROI
-58.6%
Volume
$2.74
fee: $0.08
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
-$0.91
-44.4%
$3.17
fee: $0.12
Active
10d ago
Active
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.91
ROI
-44.4%
Volume
$3.17
fee: $0.12
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
-$1.26
-65.2%
$2.61
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Active
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.26
ROI
-65.2%
Volume
$2.61
fee: $0.08
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
-$0.90
-46.4%
$2.98
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.90
ROI
-46.4%
Volume
$2.98
fee: $0.09
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
-$1.75
-45.2%
$6.10
fee: $0.14
Active
10d ago
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Active
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.75
ROI
-45.2%
Volume
$6.10
fee: $0.14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
-$0.57
-29.5%
$3.31
fee: $0.12
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-29.5%
Volume
$3.31
fee: $0.12
P
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
-$0.97
-43.8%
$3.45
fee: $0.12
Active
10d ago
P
Active
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.97
ROI
-43.8%
Volume
$3.45
fee: $0.12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
-$0.63
-31.9%
$3.31
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.63
ROI
-31.9%
Volume
$3.31
fee: $0.05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
-$0.60
-28.6%
$3.60
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.60
ROI
-28.6%
Volume
$3.60
fee: $0.05
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
-$0.59
-28.6%
$3.55
Active
10d ago
ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal
Active
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.59
ROI
-28.6%
Volume
$3.55
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
-$0.52
-26.5%
$3.40
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Active
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.52
ROI
-26.5%
Volume
$3.40
fee: $0.08
P
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?
-$0.47
-23.7%
$3.49
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
P
Active
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.47
ROI
-23.7%
Volume
$3.49
fee: $0.09
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
-$1.29
-61.2%
$2.91
fee: $0.11
Active
10d ago
Active
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-61.2%
Volume
$2.91
fee: $0.11
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
-$2.59
-24.8%
$18.29
fee: $0.57
Active
10d ago
Active
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$2.59
ROI
-24.8%
Volume
$18.29
fee: $0.57
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
-$0.22
-11.3%
$3.72
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.22
ROI
-11.3%
Volume
$3.72
fee: $0.05
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
-$0.06
-3.4%
$3.42
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-3.4%
Volume
$3.42
fee: $0.05
poilievre-out
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
-$0.57
-28.6%
$3.43
fee: $0.12
Active
10d ago
poilievre-out
Active
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.57
ROI
-28.6%
Volume
$3.43
fee: $0.12
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
-$0.94
-48.3%
$2.94
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Active
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.94
ROI
-48.3%
Volume
$2.94
fee: $0.09
jones-act-requirements-removed-by
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
-$0.72
-33.3%
$3.62
fee: $0.13
Active
10d ago
jones-act-requirements-removed-by
Active
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.72
ROI
-33.3%
Volume
$3.62
fee: $0.13
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
-$0.12
-5.9%
$3.86
fee: $0.13
Active
10d ago
Active
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$3.86
fee: $0.13
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
-$0.10
-4.9%
$3.84
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$3.84
fee: $0.09
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026?
-$0.38
-59.1%
$0.93
fee: $0.01
No
10d ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-59.1%
Volume
$0.93
fee: $0.01
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?
-$0.04
-1.9%
$3.94
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
Active
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$3.94
fee: $0.02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
+$0.02
+0.9%
$4.01
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.02
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$4.01
P
Astra removed from public access by September 30?
-$0.04
-2.0%
$3.94
fee: $0.01
Active
10d ago
P
Active
Astra removed from public access by September 30?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$3.94
fee: $0.01
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
-$0.03
-1.4%
$3.91
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$3.91
fee: $0.05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
-$0.13
-2.3%
$11.56
fee: $0.32
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$11.56
fee: $0.32
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+$0.00
+0.0%
$3.97
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.00
ROI
+0.0%
Volume
$3.97
fee: $0.02
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?
-$0.31
-16.9%
$3.46
fee: $0.05
Yes
10d ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$0.31
ROI
-16.9%
Volume
$3.46
fee: $0.05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
-$0.43
-21.1%
$3.67
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.43
ROI
-21.1%
Volume
$3.67
fee: $0.05
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
+$0.09
+4.8%
$4.05
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
Active
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+4.8%
Volume
$4.05
fee: $0.02
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
+$0.06
+3.2%
$4.04
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
Active
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$4.04
fee: $0.02
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
+$0.14
+7.1%
$4.09
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
Active
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$4.09
fee: $0.02
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.09
+4.6%
$4.03
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+4.6%
Volume
$4.03
fee: $0.05
P
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
+$0.14
+7.1%
$4.09
fee: $0.02
Active
10d ago
P
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+7.1%
Volume
$4.09
fee: $0.02
P
deepseek-pro-released-by
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?
-$1.25
-64.5%
$2.63
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
P
deepseek-pro-released-by
Active
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.25
ROI
-64.5%
Volume
$2.63
fee: $0.08
next-openai-gpt-luna-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
+$0.15
+7.5%
$4.14
fee: $0.01
Yes
10d ago
next-openai-gpt-luna-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+7.5%
Volume
$4.14
fee: $0.01
openai-1t-valuation
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
-$0.21
-10.6%
$3.73
fee: $0.06
Active
10d ago
openai-1t-valuation
Active
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-10.6%
Volume
$3.73
fee: $0.06
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
+$0.07
+3.2%
$4.16
fee: $0.01
Yes
10d ago
Yes
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+3.2%
Volume
$4.16
fee: $0.01
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
+$0.20
+10.1%
$4.14
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
max-chatbot-arena-coding
Active
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+10.1%
Volume
$4.14
fee: $0.05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
+$0.22
+11.3%
$4.18
fee: $0.03
Active
10d ago
Active
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$4.18
fee: $0.03
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
+$0.27
+13.7%
$4.19
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+13.7%
Volume
$4.19
fee: $0.08
companies-with-1-ai
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
+$0.24
+11.9%
$4.22
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
companies-with-1-ai
Active
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$4.22
fee: $0.05
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.04
+2.1%
$4.04
fee: $0.04
Yes
10d ago
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$4.04
fee: $0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.75
+19.7%
$8.59
fee: $0.16
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+19.7%
Volume
$8.59
fee: $0.16
P
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
-$1.03
-53.2%
$2.86
fee: $0.07
Active
10d ago
P
next-openai-gpt-terra-release-by
Active
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-53.2%
Volume
$2.86
fee: $0.07
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.21
+10.4%
$4.20
fee: $0.04
Yes
10d ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.21
ROI
+10.4%
Volume
$4.20
fee: $0.04
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
-$0.11
-4.9%
$4.55
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.11
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$4.55
fee: $0.05
P
next-z-ai-glm-released-by
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.24
+12.3%
$4.20
fee: $0.04
Active
10d ago
P
next-z-ai-glm-released-by
Active
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.24
ROI
+12.3%
Volume
$4.20
fee: $0.04
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
+$0.35
+17.6%
$4.26
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
Active
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+17.6%
Volume
$4.26
fee: $0.08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.42
+21.2%
$4.35
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
Active
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+21.2%
Volume
$4.35
fee: $0.05
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
+$0.67
+38.5%
$4.13
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
anthropic-ipo
Active
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+38.5%
Volume
$4.13
fee: $0.08
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
+$0.16
+8.2%
$4.14
fee: $0.06
Active
10d ago
Active
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+8.2%
Volume
$4.14
fee: $0.06
second-best-ai-company
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
+$0.56
+28.9%
$4.46
fee: $0.09
Active
10d ago
second-best-ai-company
Active
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.56
ROI
+28.9%
Volume
$4.46
fee: $0.09
P
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.63
+31.7%
$4.59
fee: $0.03
Yes
10d ago
P
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+31.7%
Volume
$4.59
fee: $0.03
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.67
+34.3%
$4.61
fee: $0.03
Active
10d ago
Active
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.67
ROI
+34.3%
Volume
$4.61
fee: $0.03
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
+$0.49
+24.8%
$4.42
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
max-chatbot-arena
Active
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+24.8%
Volume
$4.42
fee: $0.05
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
+$0.73
+33.3%
$5.09
fee: $0.10
Active
10d ago
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Active
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.73
ROI
+33.3%
Volume
$5.09
fee: $0.10
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
-$1.54
-39.6%
$6.22
fee: $0.18
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.54
ROI
-39.6%
Volume
$6.22
fee: $0.18
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
+$1.80
+144.0%
$4.30
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Active
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$1.80
ROI
+144.0%
Volume
$4.30
fee: $0.05
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
+$1.10
+54.5%
$5.14
fee: $0.18
Active
10d ago
Active
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+54.5%
Volume
$5.14
fee: $0.18
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$0.83
+37.9%
$5.34
fee: $0.11
Yes
10d ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Yes
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
+$0.83
ROI
+37.9%
Volume
$5.34
fee: $0.11
P
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
-$0.45
-11.5%
$7.42
fee: $0.11
Active
10d ago
P
Active
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$0.45
ROI
-11.5%
Volume
$7.42
fee: $0.11
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
+$2.38
+115.2%
$6.50
fee: $0.05
Active
10d ago
chinese-ai-1
Active
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$2.38
ROI
+115.2%
Volume
$6.50
fee: $0.05
nfl-2026
Raiders vs. Chargers
-$0.01
-0.2%
$7.99
Raiders
10d ago
nfl-2026
Raiders
Raiders vs. Chargers
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$7.99
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
+$2.15
+111.1%
$6.03
fee: $0.13
Active
10d ago
Active
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$2.15
ROI
+111.1%
Volume
$6.03
fee: $0.13
nfl-2026
Eagles vs. Titans
-$0.05
-1.3%
$7.95
Eagles
10d ago
nfl-2026
Eagles
Eagles vs. Titans
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$7.95
second-best-ai-company
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$3.56
+172.5%
$7.73
fee: $0.03
Yes
10d ago
second-best-ai-company
Yes
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
+$3.56
ROI
+172.5%
Volume
$7.73
fee: $0.03
max-chatbot-arena-math
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
+$2.84
+147.4%
$6.70
fee: $0.16
Active
10d ago
max-chatbot-arena-math
Active
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$2.84
ROI
+147.4%
Volume
$6.70
fee: $0.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$1.96
-24.7%
$13.93
fee: $0.13
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.96
ROI
-24.7%
Volume
$13.93
fee: $0.13
nvidia-hit-price-monthly
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?
+$1.06
+15.9%
$14.43
fee: $0.02
No
10d ago
nvidia-hit-price-monthly
No
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?
Settled 9h ago
PnL
+$1.06
ROI
+15.9%
Volume
$14.43
fee: $0.02
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$1.35
-12.2%
$20.71
fee: $0.33
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Active 10d ago
PnL
-$1.35
ROI
-12.2%
Volume
$20.71
fee: $0.33
solana-hit-price-monthly
Will Solana reach $130 in September?
+$0.41
+5.1%
$16.28
fee: $0.06
No
10d ago
solana-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Solana reach $130 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$16.28
fee: $0.06
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?
+$0.90
+11.3%
$16.85
fee: $0.10
No
10d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$0.90
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$16.85
fee: $0.10
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
+$0.93
+11.9%
$16.55
fee: $0.03
Active
10d ago
who-trump-insult
Active
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$0.93
ROI
+11.9%
Volume
$16.55
fee: $0.03
3rd-largest-company
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$0.68
+8.6%
$16.65
fee: $0.06
Yes
10d ago
3rd-largest-company
Yes
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 7h ago
PnL
+$0.68
ROI
+8.6%
Volume
$16.65
fee: $0.06
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?
+$0.92
+11.6%
$16.87
fee: $0.16
No
10d ago
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$0.92
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$16.87
fee: $0.16
nvidia-hit-price-monthly
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?
+$0.82
+10.3%
$16.77
fee: $0.06
No
10d ago
nvidia-hit-price-monthly
No
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?
Settled 9h ago
PnL
+$0.82
ROI
+10.3%
Volume
$16.77
fee: $0.06
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
+$0.99
+12.4%
$16.94
fee: $0.09
No
10d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$0.99
ROI
+12.4%
Volume
$16.94
fee: $0.09
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
+$1.30
+16.7%
$16.90
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+16.7%
Volume
$16.90
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
+$1.05
+10.5%
$21.03
fee: $0.07
Yes
10d ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 11h ago
PnL
+$1.05
ROI
+10.5%
Volume
$21.03
fee: $0.07
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
+$1.30
+16.5%
$17.23
fee: $0.16
No
10d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+16.5%
Volume
$17.23
fee: $0.16
second-largest-company
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$1.30
+16.4%
$17.25
fee: $0.09
Yes
10d ago
second-largest-company
Yes
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 7h ago
PnL
+$1.30
ROI
+16.4%
Volume
$17.25
fee: $0.09
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?
+$1.33
+16.9%
$17.26
fee: $0.13
No
10d ago
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$1.33
ROI
+16.9%
Volume
$17.26
fee: $0.13
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
+$1.49
+18.8%
$17.34
fee: $0.08
Active
10d ago
Active
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$1.49
ROI
+18.8%
Volume
$17.34
fee: $0.08
xagusd-hit-month
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?
+$1.52
+19.1%
$17.45
fee: $0.08
No
10d ago
xagusd-hit-month
No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?
Settled 6h ago
PnL
+$1.52
ROI
+19.1%
Volume
$17.45
fee: $0.08
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
+$3.12
+39.0%
$19.11
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$3.12
ROI
+39.0%
Volume
$19.11
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+$7.43
+190.5%
$15.23
fee: $0.51
Active
10d ago
Active
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Active 10d ago
PnL
+$7.43
ROI
+190.5%
Volume
$15.23
fee: $0.51
solana-hit-price-monthly
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?
+$1.61
+20.5%
$17.54
fee: $0.22
No
10d ago
solana-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?
Settled 1h ago
PnL
+$1.61
ROI
+20.5%
Volume
$17.54
fee: $0.22
343 Markets
•
Subscribe to PolyEdge for full data