LeeVargas157153LeeVargas1571...

View on Polymarket

Created January 10, 2025

Active June 24, 2026

Balance$45.67

Trade+$8.04

Incoming+$37.63

Outgoing-$0.00

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL

May 25

Jun 2

Jun 9

Jun 17

Jun 24

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Geopolitics+$9.75

WR: 29.2%(7/24)

ROI: +0.9%

Politics+$7.49

WR: 26.7%(4/15)

ROI: +0.9%

Elections-$0.13

WR: 0.0%(0/2)

ROI: -0.1%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$1.08K

46.7%

Taker Volume$1.24K

53.3%

Taker Ratio

53%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$2.68

ROI

1.6%

Win Rate

33.3%

Volume

$329.96

Fee

$0.00

1 Wins in 3 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$2.28

ROI

0.7%

Win Rate

14.3%

Volume

$689.38

Fee

$0.00

1 Wins in 7 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$2.15

ROI

0.5%

Win Rate

12.5%

Volume

$817.56

Fee

$0.00

1 Wins in 8 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$9.75

ROI

0.8%

Win Rate

28.0%

Volume

$2.32K

Fee

$0.00

7 Wins in 25 Markets

Recent Markets | total 35

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

+$2.70

+7.1%

Active

1h ago

Active

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Active 1h ago

PnL+$2.70

ROI+7.1%

Volume

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

-$0.02

-0.0%

Active

12h ago

Active

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Active 12h ago

PnL-$0.02

ROI-0.0%

Volume

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

—

Active

19h ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Active

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Active 19h ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

china-x-taiwan-clash

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

—

Active

1d ago

china-x-taiwan-clash

Active

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

china-x-philippines-clash

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

—

Active

1d ago

china-x-philippines-clash

Active

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

—

Active

1d ago

Active

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Active 1d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

-$0.40

-0.7%

Active

2d ago

hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal

Active

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Active 2d ago

PnL-$0.40

ROI-0.7%

Volume

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-$0.13

-0.2%

Active

6d ago

Active

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active 6d ago

PnL-$0.13

ROI-0.2%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

+$4.93

+7.5%

Yes

11d ago

Yes

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Settled 9d ago

PnL+$4.93

ROI+7.5%

Volume

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

—

Yes

14d ago

Yes

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Settled 9d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

ukraine-not-nato

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

+$0.29

+0.2%

Active

14d ago

ukraine-not-nato

Active

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Active 14d ago

PnL+$0.29

ROI+0.2%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

-$0.42

-0.8%

Yes

15d ago

nuclear-deal

Yes

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Settled 9d ago

PnL-$0.42

ROI-0.8%

Volume

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

+$0.04

+3.4%

Active

15d ago

Active

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Active 15d ago

PnL+$0.04

ROI+3.4%

Volume

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

+$0.09

+0.2%

Active

18d ago

Active

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Active 18d ago

PnL+$0.09

ROI+0.2%

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

-$0.23

-0.8%

Active

19d ago

Active

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Active 19d ago

PnL-$0.23

ROI-0.8%

Volume

putin-out-as-president

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

-$0.01

-0.0%

Active

20d ago

putin-out-as-president

Active

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Active 20d ago

PnL-$0.01

ROI-0.0%

Volume

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

—

Active

20d ago

Active

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Active 20d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

—

Active

21d ago

Active

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Active 21d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

—

Active

22d ago

Active

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Active 22d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Alberta join the US?

-$0.04

-0.1%

Active

22d ago

Active

Will Alberta join the US?

Active 22d ago

PnL-$0.04

ROI-0.1%

Volume

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

+$0.12

+6.2%

23d ago

nuclear-deal

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Settled 23d ago

PnL+$0.12

ROI+6.2%

Volume

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

—

Active

24d ago

ukraine-x-russia-peace-deal

Active

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Active 24d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

+$3.20

+10.3%

26d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Settled 23d ago

PnL+$3.20

ROI+10.3%

Volume

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

—

Active

27d ago

Active

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Active 27d ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

-$0.36

-26.7%

29d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Settled 23d ago

PnL-$0.36

ROI-26.7%

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

-$0.04

-0.1%

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$0.04

ROI-0.1%

Volume

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

+$3.15

+10.8%

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$3.15

ROI+10.8%

Volume

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

-$5.04

-14.9%

1mo ago

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Settled 23d ago

PnL-$5.04

ROI-14.9%

Volume

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

—

fee: $0.00

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volumefee: $0.00

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

+$0.04

+0.1%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.04

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

+$0.05

+0.1%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.05

ROI+0.1%

Volume

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

+$0.03

+0.1%

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL+$0.03

ROI+0.1%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

+$0.16

+12.6%

1mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Settled 23d ago

PnL+$0.16

ROI+12.6%

Volume

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

-$0.01

-0.1%

1mo ago

trump-agree-iran

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Settled 23d ago

PnL-$0.01

ROI-0.1%

Volume

35 Markets