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PolyPnL
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Created
N/A
Active
July 25, 2026
Balance
$3.99
Incoming
+$229.36
Rewards
+$190.64
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$0.00
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 20
Aug 28
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Volume
$0.00
NaN%
Taker Ratio
NaN%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 340
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
-$1.04
-100.0%
$1.04
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.04
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.04
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
-$1.42
-100.0%
$1.42
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.42
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.42
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
+$0.54
+26.5%
$4.62
No
1mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+26.5%
Volume
$4.62
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
-$0.84
-102.4%
$0.82
fee: $0.02
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.84
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$0.82
fee: $0.02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
+$0.42
+12.7%
$7.02
fee: $0.12
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$7.02
fee: $0.12
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
-$6.26
-103.2%
$6.06
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
No
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.26
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$6.06
fee: $0.20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-$0.13
-1.2%
$25.30
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$25.30
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
—
—
$1.80
fee: $0.04
Active
2mo ago
how-many-spacex-starship-launches
Active
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.80
fee: $0.04
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
+$1.22
+49.8%
$15.17
Active
2mo ago
Active
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.22
ROI
+49.8%
Volume
$15.17
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
-$0.44
-17.2%
$4.68
fee: $0.08
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.44
ROI
-17.2%
Volume
$4.68
fee: $0.08
measles
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
—
—
$2.66
Active
2mo ago
measles
Active
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.66
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
—
—
$0.76
fee: $0.02
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.76
fee: $0.02
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
—
—
$6.65
fee: $0.09
Active
2mo ago
Active
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$6.65
fee: $0.09
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
+$1.81
+39.8%
$13.73
fee: $0.32
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.81
ROI
+39.8%
Volume
$13.73
fee: $0.32
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
—
—
$0.42
fee: $0.02
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$0.42
fee: $0.02
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
-$2.79
-102.6%
$2.72
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.79
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$2.72
fee: $0.07
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
+$0.69
+11.6%
$12.59
fee: $0.05
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.69
ROI
+11.6%
Volume
$12.59
fee: $0.05
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?
-$15.63
-55.4%
$40.83
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.63
ROI
-55.4%
Volume
$40.83
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
—
—
$3.65
fee: $0.04
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.65
fee: $0.04
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
+$4.80
+70.6%
$18.40
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.80
ROI
+70.6%
Volume
$18.40
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
+$0.19
+1.6%
$26.26
fee: $0.16
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$26.26
fee: $0.16
P
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?
-$1.72
-95.8%
$1.92
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
P
claude-opus-released
No
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.72
ROI
-95.8%
Volume
$1.92
fee: $0.04
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
+$0.40
+27.8%
$3.28
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+27.8%
Volume
$3.28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
-$0.05
-1.8%
$5.55
fee: $0.10
Active
2mo ago
Active
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$5.55
fee: $0.10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
-$1.16
-5.8%
$38.84
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$1.16
ROI
-5.8%
Volume
$38.84
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$9.88
+56.9%
$43.65
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$9.88
ROI
+56.9%
Volume
$43.65
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.75
fee: $0.06
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.75
fee: $0.06
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.06
-2.3%
$5.22
fee: $0.12
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$5.22
fee: $0.12
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
+$0.30
+16.2%
$4.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+16.2%
Volume
$4.00
P
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
+$0.48
+9.5%
$10.56
No
2mo ago
P
No
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+9.5%
Volume
$10.56
china-gdp
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
+$0.96
+29.1%
$7.81
fee: $0.25
No
2mo ago
china-gdp
No
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+29.1%
Volume
$7.81
fee: $0.25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
+$6.22
+36.8%
$40.06
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.22
ROI
+36.8%
Volume
$40.06
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
-$0.13
-11.5%
$2.06
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.13
ROI
-11.5%
Volume
$2.06
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
-$0.18
-4.9%
$7.14
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-4.9%
Volume
$7.14
fee: $0.12
P
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
+$0.52
+14.1%
$7.88
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.52
ROI
+14.1%
Volume
$7.88
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
-$0.09
-5.7%
$3.09
fee: $0.06
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-5.7%
Volume
$3.09
fee: $0.06
P
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
-$0.06
-3.5%
$3.36
fee: $0.06
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-3.5%
Volume
$3.36
fee: $0.06
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
-$0.18
-7.1%
$4.86
No
2mo ago
No
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-7.1%
Volume
$4.86
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
-$0.02
-0.4%
$7.52
fee: $0.02
Active
2mo ago
Active
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$7.52
fee: $0.02
P
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
+$0.35
+8.3%
$8.75
No
2mo ago
P
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+8.3%
Volume
$8.75
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
+$23.05
+124.9%
$59.95
fee: $1.62
Active
2mo ago
Active
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$23.05
ROI
+124.9%
Volume
$59.95
fee: $1.62
trump-trade-deal-countries
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
-$0.15
-6.5%
$4.47
fee: $0.05
Active
2mo ago
trump-trade-deal-countries
Active
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.15
ROI
-6.5%
Volume
$4.47
fee: $0.05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
-$0.07
-0.5%
$30.97
fee: $0.38
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$30.97
fee: $0.38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
+$0.34
+6.2%
$11.34
fee: $0.22
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.34
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$11.34
fee: $0.22
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$0.12
+1.2%
$20.92
No
2mo ago
No
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$20.92
P
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
-$0.14
-3.2%
$8.68
No
2mo ago
P
No
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-3.2%
Volume
$8.68
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
—
—
$2.88
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$2.88
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
-$46.55
-73.2%
$83.71
fee: $3.01
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$46.55
ROI
-73.2%
Volume
$83.71
fee: $3.01
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
-$11.99
-103.5%
$11.59
fee: $0.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$11.99
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$11.59
fee: $0.40
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
+$0.42
+8.1%
$10.78
No
2mo ago
No
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+8.1%
Volume
$10.78
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
-$0.56
-12.3%
$8.56
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.56
ROI
-12.3%
Volume
$8.56
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
-$0.14
-4.1%
$6.72
fee: $0.14
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$6.72
fee: $0.14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
+$0.35
+29.2%
$2.75
Active
2mo ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+29.2%
Volume
$2.75
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$4.35
+38.9%
$26.73
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
+$4.35
ROI
+38.9%
Volume
$26.73
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
-$12.42
-28.3%
$78.13
fee: $2.81
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.42
ROI
-28.3%
Volume
$78.13
fee: $2.81
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
-$0.18
-4.8%
$7.38
Active
2mo ago
Active
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.18
ROI
-4.8%
Volume
$7.38
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
+$2.73
+27.0%
$22.93
fee: $0.53
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$2.73
ROI
+27.0%
Volume
$22.93
fee: $0.53
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
-$0.16
-1.9%
$16.28
fee: $0.24
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.16
ROI
-1.9%
Volume
$16.28
fee: $0.24
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
-$0.02
-0.5%
$10.90
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$10.90
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.07
-4.1%
$3.35
fee: $0.11
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-4.1%
Volume
$3.35
fee: $0.11
germany-gdp
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
-$0.42
-17.1%
$4.50
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
germany-gdp
No
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.42
ROI
-17.1%
Volume
$4.50
fee: $0.06
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$0.12
+5.1%
$4.80
Active
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+5.1%
Volume
$4.80
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$0.63
+29.2%
$4.95
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.63
ROI
+29.2%
Volume
$4.95
china-gdp
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
-$12.67
-104.8%
$12.09
fee: $0.57
No
2mo ago
china-gdp
No
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.67
ROI
-104.8%
Volume
$12.09
fee: $0.57
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$14.03
fee: $0.26
Active
2mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$14.03
fee: $0.26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
-$0.07
-1.2%
$11.27
fee: $0.09
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-1.2%
Volume
$11.27
fee: $0.09
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
+$5.29
+35.6%
$36.22
fee: $1.17
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$5.29
ROI
+35.6%
Volume
$36.22
fee: $1.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
-$0.10
-0.6%
$32.60
Active
2mo ago
Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$32.60
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
-$0.20
-4.5%
$8.89
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
No
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-4.5%
Volume
$8.89
fee: $0.13
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
-$0.03
-1.5%
$3.99
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-1.5%
Volume
$3.99
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
-$0.14
-11.7%
$2.26
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.14
ROI
-11.7%
Volume
$2.26
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
+$0.45
+19.3%
$5.16
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
No
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.45
ROI
+19.3%
Volume
$5.16
fee: $0.07
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
+$12.03
+149.7%
$28.68
fee: $0.57
No
2mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.03
ROI
+149.7%
Volume
$28.68
fee: $0.57
P
north-korea-missile-test
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
+$0.20
+9.3%
$4.52
Yes
2mo ago
P
north-korea-missile-test
Yes
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+9.3%
Volume
$4.52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
-$0.02
-1.8%
$2.18
fee: $0.04
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-1.8%
Volume
$2.18
fee: $0.04
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
-$0.06
-1.6%
$7.62
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.06
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$7.62
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
—
—
$9.72
Active
2mo ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$9.72
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
-$1.75
-9.1%
$36.67
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.75
ROI
-9.1%
Volume
$36.67
russia-enter-group
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
-$0.48
-14.8%
$6.00
Active
2mo ago
russia-enter-group
Active
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.48
ROI
-14.8%
Volume
$6.00
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
+$0.76
+13.9%
$11.76
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.76
ROI
+13.9%
Volume
$11.76
fee: $0.12
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
-$4.76
-50.1%
$14.55
fee: $0.29
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$4.76
ROI
-50.1%
Volume
$14.55
fee: $0.29
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
+$0.49
+10.8%
$9.59
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+10.8%
Volume
$9.59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
—
—
$22.40
fee: $0.18
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$22.40
fee: $0.18
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
+$0.92
+127.8%
$2.36
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.92
ROI
+127.8%
Volume
$2.36
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
-$0.21
-10.0%
$4.01
Active
2mo ago
how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike
Active
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.21
ROI
-10.0%
Volume
$4.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
-$0.02
-1.4%
$2.94
No
2mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-1.4%
Volume
$2.94
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
+$0.56
+18.4%
$6.64
No
2mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.56
ROI
+18.4%
Volume
$6.64
P
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
-$0.20
-20.0%
$1.80
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-20.0%
Volume
$1.80
P
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
-$0.47
-63.3%
$1.06
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.47
ROI
-63.3%
Volume
$1.06
fee: $0.03
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
-$0.02
-1.3%
$3.10
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.02
ROI
-1.3%
Volume
$3.10
P
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
-$2.17
-85.1%
$2.93
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.17
ROI
-85.1%
Volume
$2.93
spacex-starship-flight-test
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
+$1.44
+26.7%
$12.24
Yes
2mo ago
spacex-starship-flight-test
Yes
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.44
ROI
+26.7%
Volume
$12.24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$3.30
Active
2mo ago
Active
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$3.30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
+$0.18
+4.1%
$8.94
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$8.94
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
+$2.16
+39.7%
$13.04
No
2mo ago
No
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.16
ROI
+39.7%
Volume
$13.04
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
+$0.57
+8.9%
$13.31
No
2mo ago
No
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+8.9%
Volume
$13.31
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
+$0.04
+2.6%
$3.32
fee: $0.12
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$3.32
fee: $0.12
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
-$0.44
-34.0%
$2.24
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.44
ROI
-34.0%
Volume
$2.24
fee: $0.09
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
-$5.47
-35.9%
$25.01
Yes
2mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.47
ROI
-35.9%
Volume
$25.01
P
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
-$0.20
-2.2%
$18.20
No
2mo ago
P
No
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Settled 18d ago
PnL
-$0.20
ROI
-2.2%
Volume
$18.20
340 Markets
•
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