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PolyPnL
Leaderboard
Mempool
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$369.53
marki01
marki01
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Created
April 17, 2026
Active
September 22, 2026
Balance
$0.32
Incoming
+$3.54K
Rewards
+$1.20
Outgoing
-$1.77K
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$402.37
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Aug 28
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 27
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Pop Culture
+$10.45
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +26.1%
Geopolitics
-$39.16
WR: 81.8%
(9/11)
ROI: -2.4%
Tech
-$139.76
WR: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -32.7%
Elections
-$233.89
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -71.9%
Politics
-$260.11
WR: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -46.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$236.98
9.0%
Taker Volume
$2.41K
91.0%
Taker Ratio
91%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$390.57
ROI
-100.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$390.57
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 3 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$402.37
ROI
-16.6%
Win Rate
61.1%
Volume
$2.65K
Fee
$11.29
11 Wins in 18 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 110
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
-$40.00
-100.0%
$40.00
No
4d ago
P
No
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$40.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$40.00
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
-$221.39
-100.0%
$221.39
No
5d ago
No
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$221.39
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$221.39
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?
-$129.18
-100.0%
$129.18
No
6d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
No
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$129.18
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$129.18
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
-$12.50
-12.0%
$195.50
No
7d ago
No
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$12.50
ROI
-12.0%
Volume
$195.50
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?
+$6.95
+3.5%
$200.00
Yes
11d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$6.95
ROI
+3.5%
Volume
$200.00
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?
+$14.08
+7.0%
$200.00
Yes
12d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$14.08
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$200.00
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?
+$8.33
+4.2%
$200.00
Yes
14d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$8.33
ROI
+4.2%
Volume
$200.00
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?
+$13.78
+7.0%
$195.67
Yes
15d ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$13.78
ROI
+7.0%
Volume
$195.67
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
-$95.20
-94.8%
$106.62
fee: $1.00
No
15d ago
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
-$95.20
ROI
-94.8%
Volume
$106.62
fee: $1.00
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?
+$13.66
+9.1%
$150.30
Yes
15d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$13.66
ROI
+9.1%
Volume
$150.30
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?
+$25.71
+14.0%
$183.35
Yes
16d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$25.71
ROI
+14.0%
Volume
$183.35
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?
+$28.15
+20.6%
$136.85
Yes
16d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$28.15
ROI
+20.6%
Volume
$136.85
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?
+$13.21
+9.2%
$143.89
Yes
17d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$13.21
ROI
+9.2%
Volume
$143.89
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?
+$6.15
+11.3%
$54.37
Yes
17d ago
israel-military-action-against-lebanon
Yes
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$6.15
ROI
+11.3%
Volume
$54.37
P
Will John Ternus say "One More Thing" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote?
-$1.28
-103.8%
$1.24
fee: $0.05
No
17d ago
P
No
Will John Ternus say "One More Thing" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$1.28
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$1.24
fee: $0.05
P
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
+$59.72
+37.3%
$160.00
fee: $1.67
No
17d ago
P
No
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$59.72
ROI
+37.3%
Volume
$160.00
fee: $1.67
P
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
-$103.00
-62.3%
$234.60
fee: $6.77
No
17d ago
P
No
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
-$103.00
ROI
-62.3%
Volume
$234.60
fee: $6.77
P
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
+$10.45
+26.1%
$92.25
fee: $1.80
Yes
23d ago
P
gta-vi-extended-look-views
Yes
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$10.45
ROI
+26.1%
Volume
$92.25
fee: $1.80
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
+$41.04
+41.5%
$98.96
No
1mo ago
No
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$41.04
ROI
+41.5%
Volume
$98.96
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
—
—
$69.73
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$69.73
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
-$28.67
-32.5%
$152.85
fee: $5.12
No
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
-$28.67
ROI
-32.5%
Volume
$152.85
fee: $5.12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
-$115.00
-100.0%
$115.00
No
1mo ago
No
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$115.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$115.00
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
+$0.09
+2.9%
$3.16
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+2.9%
Volume
$3.16
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
+$4.92
+2.4%
$207.23
fee: $0.20
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.92
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$207.23
fee: $0.20
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
-$208.56
-104.5%
$199.58
fee: $8.98
No
1mo ago
No
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$208.56
ROI
-104.5%
Volume
$199.58
fee: $8.98
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
+$0.28
+0.2%
$124.60
fee: $0.01
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$124.60
fee: $0.01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
-$51.71
-32.8%
$267.15
fee: $3.36
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$51.71
ROI
-32.8%
Volume
$267.15
fee: $3.36
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
-$421.90
-100.0%
$421.90
No
1mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
No
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$421.90
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$421.90
who-trump-insult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
+$84.10
+46.0%
$182.94
fee: $2.95
No
1mo ago
who-trump-insult
No
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$84.10
ROI
+46.0%
Volume
$182.94
fee: $2.95
anti-cartel-operation
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
+$462.70
+406.5%
$690.36
No
1mo ago
anti-cartel-operation
No
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$462.70
ROI
+406.5%
Volume
$690.36
P
chatgpt-outage-days
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
-$39.17
-15.3%
$485.58
fee: $11.13
No
2mo ago
P
chatgpt-outage-days
No
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$39.17
ROI
-15.3%
Volume
$485.58
fee: $11.13
P
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
+$13.20
+6.4%
$206.80
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$13.20
ROI
+6.4%
Volume
$206.80
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
-$89.79
-49.6%
$272.12
No
2mo ago
No
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$89.79
ROI
-49.6%
Volume
$272.12
P
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
+$54.60
+26.6%
$205.39
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$54.60
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$205.39
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
-$2.35
-8.0%
$58.72
fee: $2.35
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.35
ROI
-8.0%
Volume
$58.72
fee: $2.35
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
-$15.60
-6.0%
$510.02
fee: $3.22
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.60
ROI
-6.0%
Volume
$510.02
fee: $3.22
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
+$42.19
+8.4%
$749.14
fee: $0.98
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$42.19
ROI
+8.4%
Volume
$749.14
fee: $0.98
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
-$119.41
-102.0%
$117.12
fee: $2.29
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$119.41
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$117.12
fee: $2.29
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
+$138.60
+72.4%
$191.40
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$138.60
ROI
+72.4%
Volume
$191.40
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
-$50.79
-101.6%
$50.63
fee: $1.41
No
2mo ago
No
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$50.79
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$50.63
fee: $1.41
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
—
—
$98.50
fee: $2.40
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$98.50
fee: $2.40
P
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$204.50
-100.6%
$203.32
fee: $1.18
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$204.50
ROI
-100.6%
Volume
$203.32
fee: $1.18
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
+$266.19
+133.1%
$200.00
No
2mo ago
P
russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting
No
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$266.19
ROI
+133.1%
Volume
$200.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
+$28.64
+12.7%
$224.66
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$28.64
ROI
+12.7%
Volume
$224.66
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?
+$1.32
+0.6%
$432.52
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.32
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$432.52
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
+$50.67
+53.9%
$94.01
fee: $1.65
No
2mo ago
No
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$50.67
ROI
+53.9%
Volume
$94.01
fee: $1.65
trump-countries-visited
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
+$31.40
+17.7%
$177.50
fee: $1.10
Yes
2mo ago
trump-countries-visited
Yes
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$31.40
ROI
+17.7%
Volume
$177.50
fee: $1.10
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
+$54.26
+43.2%
$305.68
fee: $0.17
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$54.26
ROI
+43.2%
Volume
$305.68
fee: $0.17
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
-$2.52
-3.5%
$144.00
fee: $2.52
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.52
ROI
-3.5%
Volume
$144.00
fee: $2.52
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
-$13.11
-5.9%
$429.18
Yes
2mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$13.11
ROI
-5.9%
Volume
$429.18
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
-$48.00
-100.0%
$48.00
No
2mo ago
No
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$48.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$48.00
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
-$99.69
-100.7%
$99.00
fee: $0.69
No
2mo ago
No
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$99.69
ROI
-100.7%
Volume
$99.00
fee: $0.69
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
+$23.88
+15.3%
$156.14
fee: $0.82
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$23.88
ROI
+15.3%
Volume
$156.14
fee: $0.82
openai-debut
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
+$34.54
+12.8%
$270.14
fee: $0.97
Yes
2mo ago
openai-debut
Yes
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$34.54
ROI
+12.8%
Volume
$270.14
fee: $0.97
waymo-launch
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
-$158.29
-101.9%
$155.39
fee: $2.90
No
2mo ago
waymo-launch
No
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$158.29
ROI
-101.9%
Volume
$155.39
fee: $2.90
crude-oil-cl-settle
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
-$48.00
-100.0%
$48.00
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-settle
No
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$48.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$48.00
oil-daily-up-or-down
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?
+$0.22
+258.0%
$0.40
fee: $0.01
Up
3mo ago
oil-daily-up-or-down
Up
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+258.0%
Volume
$0.40
fee: $0.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
+$14.00
+66.7%
$56.00
No
3mo ago
No
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$14.00
ROI
+66.7%
Volume
$56.00
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
-$102.49
-102.5%
$100.00
fee: $2.49
No
3mo ago
ethereum-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$102.49
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $2.49
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
+$56.54
+56.5%
$256.76
Yes
3mo ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day
Yes
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$56.54
ROI
+56.5%
Volume
$256.76
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
+$164.61
+140.7%
$252.00
fee: $3.39
No
3mo ago
No
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$164.61
ROI
+140.7%
Volume
$252.00
fee: $3.39
P
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
+$0.28
+0.1%
$804.79
fee: $0.42
Active
3mo ago
P
Active
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Active 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.28
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$804.79
fee: $0.42
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
+$10.39
+19.7%
$116.39
fee: $0.49
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$10.39
ROI
+19.7%
Volume
$116.39
fee: $0.49
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
+$9.55
+4.5%
$210.45
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$9.55
ROI
+4.5%
Volume
$210.45
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
-$111.47
-100.4%
$111.00
fee: $0.47
No
3mo ago
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$111.47
ROI
-100.4%
Volume
$111.00
fee: $0.47
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
-$104.80
-31.8%
$553.62
Yes
3mo ago
who-attend-us-x-iran-meeting
Yes
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$104.80
ROI
-31.8%
Volume
$553.62
5-5-earthquake
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
+$17.98
+8.7%
$207.16
fee: $0.86
Yes
3mo ago
5-5-earthquake
Yes
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$17.98
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$207.16
fee: $0.86
where-us-iran-meeting
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
+$23.66
+15.9%
$321.81
Yes
3mo ago
where-us-iran-meeting
Yes
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$23.66
ROI
+15.9%
Volume
$321.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$21.27
+18.9%
$246.05
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$21.27
ROI
+18.9%
Volume
$246.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
+$12.67
+29.7%
$97.88
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$12.67
ROI
+29.7%
Volume
$97.88
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?
-$24.62
-103.0%
$23.90
fee: $0.73
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$24.62
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$23.90
fee: $0.73
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?
-$10.37
-103.7%
$10.00
fee: $0.37
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$10.37
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$10.00
fee: $0.37
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
+$51.00
+108.5%
$145.00
No
3mo ago
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
No
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$51.00
ROI
+108.5%
Volume
$145.00
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
+$22.01
+222.3%
$42.30
fee: $0.49
No
3mo ago
us-annual-inflation
No
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$22.01
ROI
+222.3%
Volume
$42.30
fee: $0.49
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
-$24.80
-100.0%
$24.80
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$24.80
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$24.80
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?
+$2.56
+25.6%
$22.90
fee: $0.34
No
3mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$2.56
ROI
+25.6%
Volume
$22.90
fee: $0.34
beijing-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
-$34.43
-100.9%
$34.12
fee: $0.30
No
3mo ago
beijing-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$34.43
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$34.12
fee: $0.30
nyc-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?
+$0.96
+2.4%
$40.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
3mo ago
nyc-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+2.4%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $0.05
toronto-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?
+$1.75
+32.1%
$5.45
fee: $0.07
Yes
3mo ago
toronto-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.75
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$5.45
fee: $0.07
istanbul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 3?
+$3.18
+10.6%
$30.00
fee: $0.15
Yes
3mo ago
istanbul-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 3?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$3.18
ROI
+10.6%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
-$102.32
-102.3%
$100.00
fee: $2.32
No
3mo ago
No
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$102.32
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $2.32
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
+$17.82
+23.7%
$168.18
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$17.82
ROI
+23.7%
Volume
$168.18
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
-$18.61
-103.5%
$17.98
fee: $0.63
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$18.61
ROI
-103.5%
Volume
$17.98
fee: $0.63
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
-$31.40
-100.0%
$31.40
No
3mo ago
No
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$31.40
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$31.40
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
+$8.46
+8.7%
$97.34
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$8.46
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$97.34
claude-4pt8
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
-$43.29
-103.3%
$41.91
fee: $1.37
Yes
4mo ago
claude-4pt8
Yes
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$43.29
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$41.91
fee: $1.37
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
+$55.50
+49.6%
$182.20
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$55.50
ROI
+49.6%
Volume
$182.20
trump-talk-monthly
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
+$2.80
+16.3%
$17.20
Yes
4mo ago
trump-talk-monthly
Yes
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.80
ROI
+16.3%
Volume
$17.20
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?
+$23.01
+283.9%
$8.10
fee: $0.05
No
4mo ago
seoul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$23.01
ROI
+283.9%
Volume
$8.10
fee: $0.05
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
-$103.96
-104.0%
$100.00
fee: $3.96
No
4mo ago
No
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$103.96
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $3.96
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
-$103.95
-104.0%
$100.00
fee: $3.95
No
4mo ago
No
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$103.95
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $3.95
trump-photographed
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
-$561.79
-103.6%
$542.42
fee: $19.37
No
4mo ago
trump-photographed
No
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$561.79
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$542.42
fee: $19.37
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
-$100.72
-100.7%
$103.88
fee: $4.60
No
4mo ago
No
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$100.72
ROI
-100.7%
Volume
$103.88
fee: $4.60
fa-cup
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
-$6.22
-6.2%
$196.43
fee: $2.65
Yes
4mo ago
fa-cup
Yes
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$6.22
ROI
-6.2%
Volume
$196.43
fee: $2.65
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
-$74.42
-102.9%
$72.33
fee: $2.09
Yes
4mo ago
seoul-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$74.42
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$72.33
fee: $2.09
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
-$101.55
-101.5%
$100.00
fee: $1.55
No
4mo ago
No
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$101.55
ROI
-101.5%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $1.55
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
+$48.16
+48.2%
$100.00
fee: $1.66
No
4mo ago
No
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$48.16
ROI
+48.2%
Volume
$100.00
fee: $1.66
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
+$105.66
+81.3%
$368.06
fee: $2.41
No
4mo ago
No
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$105.66
ROI
+81.3%
Volume
$368.06
fee: $2.41
confirmed-case-of-hantavirus
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
+$345.07
+153.4%
$224.90
fee: $3.78
Yes
4mo ago
confirmed-case-of-hantavirus
Yes
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$345.07
ROI
+153.4%
Volume
$224.90
fee: $3.78
hong-kong-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
+$14.42
+28.1%
$117.84
fee: $0.97
Yes
4mo ago
hong-kong-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$14.42
ROI
+28.1%
Volume
$117.84
fee: $0.97
110 Markets
•
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