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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
41
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$1.15K
418Imateapot
418Imateapot
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Save
Created
May 5, 2025
Active
September 30, 2026
Balance
$15.19
Incoming
+$426.18
Rewards
+$9.84
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$202.45
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Sep 1
Sep 8
Sep 16
Sep 23
Oct 1
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Tech
+$198.53
WR: 100.0%
(4/4)
ROI: +17.8%
Elections
+$15.06
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +33.5%
Politics
+$3.92
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +4.4%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$121.34
4.3%
Taker Volume
$2.73K
95.7%
Taker Ratio
96%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$182.50
ROI
19.9%
Win Rate
66.7%
Volume
$2.26K
Fee
$49.43
4 Wins in 6 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$202.45
ROI
16.8%
Win Rate
71.4%
Volume
$2.85K
Fee
$53.35
5 Wins in 7 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$202.45
ROI
16.8%
Win Rate
71.4%
Volume
$2.85K
Fee
$53.35
5 Wins in 7 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$202.45
ROI
16.8%
Win Rate
71.4%
Volume
$2.85K
Fee
$53.35
5 Wins in 7 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 55
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
+$106.06
+20.4%
$1.25K
fee: $26.30
Active
9h ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Active 9h ago
PnL
+$106.06
ROI
+20.4%
Volume
$1.25K
fee: $26.30
P
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
+$15.06
+33.5%
$105.06
fee: $1.95
Active
9h ago
P
Active
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
Active 9h ago
PnL
+$15.06
ROI
+33.5%
Volume
$105.06
fee: $1.95
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
-$11.14
-25.5%
$76.36
fee: $1.90
Active
9h ago
Active
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Active 9h ago
PnL
-$11.14
ROI
-25.5%
Volume
$76.36
fee: $1.90
P
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?
—
—
$40.96
fee: $0.00
Active
15h ago
P
Active
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?
Active 15h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$40.96
fee: $0.00
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
+$66.20
+29.6%
$534.23
fee: $15.28
Active
22h ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Active 22h ago
PnL
+$66.20
ROI
+29.6%
Volume
$534.23
fee: $15.28
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
+$6.32
+7.3%
$255.18
fee: $4.00
Active
22h ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Active 22h ago
PnL
+$6.32
ROI
+7.3%
Volume
$255.18
fee: $4.00
P
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
+$19.95
+6.9%
$594.80
fee: $3.91
Active
1d ago
P
Active
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Active 1d ago
PnL
+$19.95
ROI
+6.9%
Volume
$594.80
fee: $3.91
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
-$69.58
-25.4%
$480.95
fee: $1.83
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 29d ago
PnL
-$69.58
ROI
-25.4%
Volume
$480.95
fee: $1.83
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
+$17.10
+50.3%
$86.99
fee: $1.89
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$17.10
ROI
+50.3%
Volume
$86.99
fee: $1.89
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
-$18.24
-103.6%
$17.60
fee: $0.64
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$18.24
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$17.60
fee: $0.64
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
-$13.61
-75.6%
$22.39
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$13.61
ROI
-75.6%
Volume
$22.39
google-multi-strikes-weekly
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $315?
-$12.94
-102.3%
$12.65
fee: $0.29
Yes
2mo ago
google-multi-strikes-weekly
Yes
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $315?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.94
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$12.65
fee: $0.29
google-multi-strikes-weekly
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $325?
-$25.50
-103.2%
$24.70
fee: $0.80
No
2mo ago
google-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $325?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$25.50
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$24.70
fee: $0.80
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?
+$9.06
+1006.3%
$10.89
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
Yes
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.06
ROI
+1006.3%
Volume
$10.89
fee: $0.03
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $24B?
+$6.92
+230.5%
$3.00
fee: $0.08
Yes
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
Yes
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $24B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.92
ROI
+230.5%
Volume
$3.00
fee: $0.08
google-multi-strikes-monthly
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of July?
-$22.83
-100.0%
$22.83
No
2mo ago
google-multi-strikes-monthly
No
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$22.83
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$22.83
google-hit-price-monthly
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?
-$48.10
-102.8%
$46.80
fee: $1.30
No
2mo ago
google-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$48.10
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$46.80
fee: $1.30
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?
+$148.52
+291.8%
$52.90
fee: $1.58
Yes
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
Yes
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$148.52
ROI
+291.8%
Volume
$52.90
fee: $1.58
google-hit-price-monthly
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?
-$6.05
-29.9%
$35.74
fee: $1.34
No
2mo ago
google-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$6.05
ROI
-29.9%
Volume
$35.74
fee: $1.34
google-multi-strikes-weekly
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $375?
-$4.13
-103.2%
$4.00
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
google-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of July 20 above $375?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$4.13
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$4.00
fee: $0.13
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $49B?
-$12.36
-103.0%
$12.00
fee: $0.36
No
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
No
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $49B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$12.36
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$12.00
fee: $0.36
P
googl-kpis
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?
-$29.31
-102.7%
$28.54
fee: $0.76
Yes
2mo ago
P
googl-kpis
Yes
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$29.31
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$28.54
fee: $0.76
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
-$47.77
-102.9%
$46.41
fee: $1.36
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$47.77
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$46.41
fee: $1.36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$39.79
-103.1%
$38.60
fee: $1.19
No
2mo ago
No
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$39.79
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$38.60
fee: $1.19
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$115.37
-64.1%
$251.36
fee: $6.52
Yes
2mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$115.37
ROI
-64.1%
Volume
$251.36
fee: $6.52
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$5.20
-103.9%
$5.00
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$5.20
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.20
best-ai-company
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
-$9.36
-104.0%
$9.00
fee: $0.36
No
2mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.36
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$9.00
fee: $0.36
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$41.75
-102.8%
$40.60
fee: $1.15
No
2mo ago
No
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$41.75
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$40.60
fee: $1.15
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
-$9.24
-57.7%
$22.77
fee: $0.90
Active
2mo ago
Active
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$9.24
ROI
-57.7%
Volume
$22.77
fee: $0.90
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
-$16.00
-81.6%
$23.20
fee: $0.18
Active
2mo ago
Active
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$16.00
ROI
-81.6%
Volume
$23.20
fee: $0.18
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
-$187.56
-53.0%
$332.83
fee: $6.30
No
3mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$187.56
ROI
-53.0%
Volume
$332.83
fee: $6.30
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
+$8.40
+175.0%
$51.00
fee: $0.60
No
3mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$8.40
ROI
+175.0%
Volume
$51.00
fee: $0.60
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
-$2.58
-5.3%
$61.80
fee: $0.78
No
3mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$2.58
ROI
-5.3%
Volume
$61.80
fee: $0.78
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
-$4.95
-99.0%
$5.05
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$4.95
ROI
-99.0%
Volume
$5.05
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
+$10.90
+27.9%
$88.90
Yes
3mo ago
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$10.90
ROI
+27.9%
Volume
$88.90
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
-$1.86
-4.0%
$92.25
fee: $1.94
No
3mo ago
No
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.86
ROI
-4.0%
Volume
$92.25
fee: $1.94
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
+$41.46
+67.7%
$61.21
fee: $0.99
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$41.46
ROI
+67.7%
Volume
$61.21
fee: $0.99
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
+$8.00
+88.9%
$26.00
fee: $0.89
Active
4mo ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
+$8.00
ROI
+88.9%
Volume
$26.00
fee: $0.89
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
+$108.54
+74.0%
$146.66
fee: $2.47
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$108.54
ROI
+74.0%
Volume
$146.66
fee: $2.47
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
+$5.38
+66.0%
$22.22
fee: $0.54
No
4mo ago
No
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$5.38
ROI
+66.0%
Volume
$22.22
fee: $0.54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
-$0.42
-41.3%
$1.69
fee: $0.07
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.42
ROI
-41.3%
Volume
$1.69
fee: $0.07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
+$0.41
+2.8%
$29.22
fee: $0.03
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$29.22
fee: $0.03
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
-$5.88
-100.5%
$24.15
fee: $0.03
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$5.88
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$24.15
fee: $0.03
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
-$37.58
-92.0%
$45.88
fee: $1.74
No
4mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$37.58
ROI
-92.0%
Volume
$45.88
fee: $1.74
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
-$101.69
-18.6%
$1.01K
fee: $14.69
No
4mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$101.69
ROI
-18.6%
Volume
$1.01K
fee: $14.69
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
+$92.98
+39.9%
$556.69
fee: $5.50
No
4mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$92.98
ROI
+39.9%
Volume
$556.69
fee: $5.50
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
+$31.90
+8.7%
$33.11
fee: $1.21
No
4mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$31.90
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$33.11
fee: $1.21
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
-$6.67
-103.9%
$6.41
fee: $0.25
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$6.67
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$6.41
fee: $0.25
best-ai-company
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
+$58.95
+77.5%
$214.08
fee: $2.97
No
4mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$58.95
ROI
+77.5%
Volume
$214.08
fee: $2.97
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
-$1.71
-103.9%
$1.65
fee: $0.06
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.71
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$1.65
fee: $0.06
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
-$21.77
-103.7%
$21.00
fee: $0.77
No
4mo ago
No
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$21.77
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$21.00
fee: $0.77
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
-$96.44
-73.4%
$154.71
fee: $4.00
Yes
4mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$96.44
ROI
-73.4%
Volume
$154.71
fee: $4.00
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?
+$7.75
+12.6%
$132.26
fee: $1.04
No
4mo ago
No
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$7.75
ROI
+12.6%
Volume
$132.26
fee: $1.04
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
-$141.24
-101.8%
$111.23
fee: $2.47
Yes
5mo ago
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$141.24
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$111.23
fee: $2.47
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
-$6.24
-103.9%
$6.00
fee: $0.24
No
5mo ago
No
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$6.24
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$6.00
fee: $0.24
55 Markets