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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
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Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$93.65
claudemole
claudemole
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Created
June 4, 2026
Active
November 1, 2026
Balance
$222.86
Incoming
+$1.71K
Rewards
+$12.53
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
+$1.32
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Geopolitics
+$1.32
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +2.6%
Politics
+$1.32
WR: 33.3%
(1/3)
ROI: +2.6%
Elections
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: +0.0%
Finance
+$0.00
WR: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: +0.0%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$338.31
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
+$0.00
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
0.0%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$0.00
Fee
$0.00
0 Wins in 0 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
+$1.32
Rebate:
+$0.13
ROI
2.6%
Win Rate
20.0%
Volume
$338.31
Fee
$2.88
1 Wins in 5 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 1186
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
—
—
$87.00
fee: $1.46
Active
8d ago
Active
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Active 8d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$87.00
fee: $1.46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$50.00
fee: $1.42
Active
22d ago
Active
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Active 22d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$50.00
fee: $1.42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$50.00
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$50.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
—
—
$50.00
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Active 24d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$50.00
netanyahu-out
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
+$1.32
+2.6%
$101.31
Active
24d ago
netanyahu-out
Active
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$1.32
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$101.31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$23.46
+23.5%
$100.00
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$23.46
ROI
+23.5%
Volume
$100.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$100.00
Active
1mo ago
Active
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$100.00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$47.21
-102.6%
$46.00
fee: $1.21
No
1mo ago
No
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
-$47.21
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$46.00
fee: $1.21
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
-$398.02
-102.2%
$389.50
fee: $8.52
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$398.02
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$389.50
fee: $8.52
second-best-ai-company
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$8.65
+57.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.22
No
1mo ago
second-best-ai-company
No
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.65
ROI
+57.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.22
P
a100-rental-price
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?
+$1.74
+8.7%
$42.34
fee: $0.60
No
1mo ago
P
a100-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+8.7%
Volume
$42.34
fee: $0.60
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
+$11.06
+73.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.26
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$11.06
ROI
+73.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.26
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
-$15.44
-103.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.44
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.44
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.44
best-ai-agent
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
-$6.59
-43.9%
$24.21
fee: $0.79
Yes
2mo ago
best-ai-agent
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$6.59
ROI
-43.9%
Volume
$24.21
fee: $0.79
P
a100-rental-price
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
-$12.98
-86.5%
$17.20
fee: $0.18
Yes
2mo ago
P
a100-rental-price
Yes
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$12.98
ROI
-86.5%
Volume
$17.20
fee: $0.18
chinese-ai-1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$9.68
-64.5%
$20.66
fee: $0.34
No
2mo ago
chinese-ai-1
No
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$9.68
ROI
-64.5%
Volume
$20.66
fee: $0.34
best-text-to-video-ai
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
-$2.47
-12.4%
$37.37
fee: $0.26
No
2mo ago
best-text-to-video-ai
No
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
Settled 9d ago
PnL
-$2.47
ROI
-12.4%
Volume
$37.37
fee: $0.26
P
first-week-album-sales
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?
-$15.55
-103.6%
$15.00
fee: $0.55
Yes
2mo ago
P
first-week-album-sales
Yes
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.55
ROI
-103.6%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.55
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026?
+$0.09
+0.6%
$15.00
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 13, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
+$1.17
+7.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.17
ROI
+7.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.05
P
h100-rental-price
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?
-$28.37
-94.6%
$32.73
fee: $1.09
No
2mo ago
P
h100-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$28.37
ROI
-94.6%
Volume
$32.73
fee: $1.09
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
-$15.33
-102.2%
$15.00
fee: $0.33
Yes
2mo ago
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.33
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.33
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
+$0.46
+3.1%
$15.00
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
No
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.46
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.02
best-ai-model
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
-$0.47
-1.6%
$59.60
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
best-ai-model
No
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.47
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$59.60
fee: $0.07
P
median-home-price-us
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
+$8.28
+55.2%
$15.00
fee: $0.27
Yes
2mo ago
P
median-home-price-us
Yes
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$8.28
ROI
+55.2%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.27
1-free-app
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
+$12.79
+85.3%
$44.46
fee: $1.66
No
2mo ago
1-free-app
No
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$12.79
ROI
+85.3%
Volume
$44.46
fee: $1.66
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
-$15.58
-103.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.58
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.58
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.58
max-chatbot-arena
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
+$0.65
+4.3%
$15.00
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
max-chatbot-arena
Yes
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.65
ROI
+4.3%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.03
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
-$15.47
-103.2%
$15.00
fee: $0.47
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.47
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.47
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
+$2.25
+15.0%
$33.24
fee: $0.99
No
2mo ago
No
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.25
ROI
+15.0%
Volume
$33.24
fee: $0.99
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
-$15.21
-101.4%
$15.00
fee: $0.21
Yes
2mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$15.21
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.21
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
+$18.12
+156.2%
$11.60
fee: $0.28
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$18.12
ROI
+156.2%
Volume
$11.60
fee: $0.28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$53.77
+76.8%
$70.00
fee: $1.23
Yes
2mo ago
Yes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$53.77
ROI
+76.8%
Volume
$70.00
fee: $1.23
P
first-week-album-sales
Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?
-$15.15
-101.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
P
first-week-album-sales
No
Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.15
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.15
P
What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
+$1.42
+9.4%
$15.00
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
P
No
What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.07
P
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
+$9.70
+64.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.30
No
2mo ago
P
No
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$9.70
ROI
+64.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.30
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
+$1.35
+9.0%
$31.89
fee: $0.54
No
2mo ago
trump-truth-social
No
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.35
ROI
+9.0%
Volume
$31.89
fee: $0.54
P
b200-rental-price
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?
-$30.48
-101.6%
$30.00
fee: $0.48
No
2mo ago
P
b200-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$30.48
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.48
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
+$0.14
+1.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
No
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
+$0.01
+0.1%
$15.00
fee: $0.00
No
2mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
No
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.01
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.00
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
+$0.20
+1.3%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
zelenskyy-tweets
No
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
longest-github-critical-incident
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?
+$168.98
+563.3%
$30.00
fee: $1.02
Yes
2mo ago
longest-github-critical-incident
Yes
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$168.98
ROI
+563.3%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $1.02
whitehouse-daily-tweets
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
-$15.41
-102.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.41
No
2mo ago
whitehouse-daily-tweets
No
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.41
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.41
cz-tweets
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
+$0.61
+4.1%
$15.00
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
cz-tweets
Yes
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.61
ROI
+4.1%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.03
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
+$0.91
+6.1%
$15.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
2mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.91
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.04
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
+$98.29
+196.6%
$199.99
fee: $1.70
No
2mo ago
No
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$98.29
ROI
+196.6%
Volume
$199.99
fee: $1.70
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
+$10.62
+79.6%
$13.35
fee: $0.30
Yes
2mo ago
trump-truth-social
Yes
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$10.62
ROI
+79.6%
Volume
$13.35
fee: $0.30
best-text-to-video-ai
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
+$5.47
+36.4%
$22.50
fee: $0.36
Yes
2mo ago
best-text-to-video-ai
Yes
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$5.47
ROI
+36.4%
Volume
$22.50
fee: $0.36
gold-hit-price-weekly
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?
-$15.26
-101.8%
$15.00
fee: $0.26
Yes
2mo ago
gold-hit-price-weekly
Yes
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of August 24 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.26
ROI
-101.8%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.26
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
-$2.08
-13.9%
$28.97
fee: $1.06
No
2mo ago
zelenskyy-tweets
No
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-13.9%
Volume
$28.97
fee: $1.06
bitcoin-hit-price-daily
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 24?
-$15.34
-102.3%
$15.00
fee: $0.34
Yes
2mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-daily
Yes
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.34
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.34
P
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
—
—
$15.00
fee: $0.41
Active
2mo ago
P
Active
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.41
airbnb-hit-price-weekly
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 24 2026?
+$0.51
+3.4%
$15.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
airbnb-hit-price-weekly
Yes
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 24 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.51
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.02
2-paid-app
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$0.14
+1.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
2-paid-app
No
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
2-paid-app
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$0.14
+1.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
2-paid-app
No
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
2-paid-app
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$0.14
+1.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
2-paid-app
No
Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
2-paid-app
Will Wildwood: Follow The Crows be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$0.14
+1.0%
$15.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
2-paid-app
No
Will Wildwood: Follow The Crows be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.01
2-paid-app
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
+$1.42
+9.4%
$15.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
2mo ago
2-paid-app
Yes
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.42
ROI
+9.4%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.07
2-paid-app
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
-$15.07
-100.5%
$15.00
fee: $0.07
No
2mo ago
2-paid-app
No
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.07
ROI
-100.5%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.07
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$66.52
-102.3%
$65.00
fee: $1.52
No
2mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
No
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$66.52
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$65.00
fee: $1.52
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
+$1.09
+7.2%
$15.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
2mo ago
livebench-mathematics-monthly
Yes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.09
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
—
—
$15.00
fee: $0.36
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.36
P
Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?
+$8.41
+28.0%
$30.00
fee: $0.34
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will there be 6-7 Rampages at The International 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$8.41
ROI
+28.0%
Volume
$30.00
fee: $0.34
1-free-app
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?
-$15.38
-102.5%
$15.00
fee: $0.38
Yes
2mo ago
1-free-app
Yes
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.38
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.38
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$15.13
-100.9%
$15.00
fee: $0.13
Yes
2mo ago
ted-cruz-daily-tweets
Yes
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.13
ROI
-100.9%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.13
cz-tweets
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$15.40
-102.7%
$15.00
fee: $0.40
Yes
2mo ago
cz-tweets
Yes
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$15.40
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$15.00
fee: $0.40
top-ai-company-style-on
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$82.11
-102.6%
$80.00
fee: $2.11
No
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
No
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$82.11
ROI
-102.6%
Volume
$80.00
fee: $2.11
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$61.99
-103.3%
$60.00
fee: $1.99
No
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
No
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$61.99
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$60.00
fee: $1.99
top-ai-company-style-on
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$144.16
-103.0%
$140.00
fee: $4.16
No
2mo ago
top-ai-company-style-on
No
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$144.16
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$140.00
fee: $4.16
khamenei-daily-tweets
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$20.94
-104.7%
$20.00
fee: $0.94
No
2mo ago
khamenei-daily-tweets
No
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.94
ROI
-104.7%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.94
trump-truth-social
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
-$20.81
-104.0%
$20.00
fee: $0.81
No
2mo ago
trump-truth-social
No
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.81
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.81
P
next-meta-muse-spark-released-by
Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by August 31, 2026?
+$0.31
+6.1%
$5.00
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
P
next-meta-muse-spark-released-by
No
Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by August 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$5.00
fee: $0.01
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
-$20.00
-100.0%
$20.00
No
2mo ago
P
avg-bab-el-mandeb-strait
No
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$20.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$20.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
—
—
$30.00
Active
2mo ago
Active
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$30.00
trump-putin-meet-where
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
—
—
$91.00
Active
2mo ago
trump-putin-meet-where
Active
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$91.00
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
-$50.00
-100.0%
$50.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$50.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$50.00
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
-$75.00
-100.0%
$75.00
No
2mo ago
No
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$75.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$75.00
P
next-openai-gpt-image-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?
+$13.95
+69.8%
$20.00
fee: $0.33
Yes
2mo ago
P
next-openai-gpt-image-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$13.95
ROI
+69.8%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.33
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
+$1.23
+6.1%
$20.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
2-ai-model-style-control-on
Yes
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.23
ROI
+6.1%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.05
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$16.67
+83.3%
$20.00
fee: $0.37
No
2mo ago
second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai
No
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$16.67
ROI
+83.3%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.37
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
+$1.81
+9.0%
$42.80
fee: $0.99
No
2mo ago
zelenskyy-tweets
No
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.81
ROI
+9.0%
Volume
$42.80
fee: $0.99
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
+$72.71
+181.8%
$40.00
fee: $1.27
Yes
2mo ago
zelenskyy-tweets
Yes
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$72.71
ROI
+181.8%
Volume
$40.00
fee: $1.27
zelenskyy-tweets
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
-$28.96
-72.4%
$51.70
fee: $0.67
No
2mo ago
zelenskyy-tweets
No
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$28.96
ROI
-72.4%
Volume
$51.70
fee: $0.67
P
b200-rental-price
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?
-$20.59
-102.9%
$20.00
fee: $0.59
No
2mo ago
P
b200-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$20.59
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$20.00
fee: $0.59
london-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?
+$52.01
+520.1%
$72.44
fee: $0.42
Yes
2mo ago
london-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$52.01
ROI
+520.1%
Volume
$72.44
fee: $0.42
munich-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?
+$3.37
+33.7%
$23.50
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
munich-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.37
ROI
+33.7%
Volume
$23.50
fee: $0.13
amsterdam-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?
+$4.53
+45.3%
$24.69
fee: $0.16
No
2mo ago
amsterdam-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.53
ROI
+45.3%
Volume
$24.69
fee: $0.16
moscow-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?
+$4.12
+41.2%
$24.27
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
moscow-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.12
ROI
+41.2%
Volume
$24.27
fee: $0.15
singapore-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 14?
+$21.16
+211.6%
$41.50
fee: $0.34
Yes
2mo ago
singapore-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$21.16
ROI
+211.6%
Volume
$41.50
fee: $0.34
taipei-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?
+$52.01
+520.1%
$72.44
fee: $0.42
Yes
2mo ago
taipei-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$52.01
ROI
+520.1%
Volume
$72.44
fee: $0.42
wellington-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?
+$15.44
+154.4%
$35.74
fee: $0.31
Yes
2mo ago
wellington-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$15.44
ROI
+154.4%
Volume
$35.74
fee: $0.31
london-daily-lowest-temperature
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?
+$3.37
+33.7%
$23.50
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
london-daily-lowest-temperature
No
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.37
ROI
+33.7%
Volume
$23.50
fee: $0.13
busan-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 14?
+$3.19
+31.9%
$23.32
fee: $0.13
No
2mo ago
busan-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 14?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$3.19
ROI
+31.9%
Volume
$23.32
fee: $0.13
toronto-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 13?
+$1.95
+19.5%
$22.03
fee: $0.09
No
2mo ago
toronto-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.95
ROI
+19.5%
Volume
$22.03
fee: $0.09
panama-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 13?
+$22.43
+224.3%
$42.77
fee: $0.35
Yes
2mo ago
panama-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$22.43
ROI
+224.3%
Volume
$42.77
fee: $0.35
moscow-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?
+$4.12
+41.2%
$24.27
fee: $0.15
No
2mo ago
moscow-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.12
ROI
+41.2%
Volume
$24.27
fee: $0.15
madrid-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
+$17.43
+174.3%
$37.74
fee: $0.32
Yes
2mo ago
madrid-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$17.43
ROI
+174.3%
Volume
$37.74
fee: $0.32
hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?
+$6.45
+64.5%
$26.64
fee: $0.20
No
2mo ago
hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature
No
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$6.45
ROI
+64.5%
Volume
$26.64
fee: $0.20
istanbul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?
+$16.68
+166.8%
$36.99
fee: $0.32
Yes
2mo ago
istanbul-daily-weather
Yes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$16.68
ROI
+166.8%
Volume
$36.99
fee: $0.32
munich-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?
+$4.53
+45.3%
$24.69
fee: $0.16
No
2mo ago
munich-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$4.53
ROI
+45.3%
Volume
$24.69
fee: $0.16
1,186 Markets
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