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PolyPnL
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Monitoring real-time mempool whale trades...
sd
Tier 0
Weighted Vol:
$3.39
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sddx4
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Created
February 14, 2026
Active
November 11, 2026
Balance
$20.58
Incoming
+$9.38
Rewards
+$0.17
Outgoing
-$0.00
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$4.16
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Oct 13
Oct 20
Oct 28
Nov 4
Nov 12
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Crypto
+$18.21
WR: 50.0%
(3/6)
ROI: +21.8%
Pop Culture
+$0.79
WR: 100.0%
(5/5)
ROI: +0.5%
Tweets
+$0.65
WR: 100.0%
(4/4)
ROI: +0.7%
Geopolitics
+$0.28
WR: 50.0%
(1/2)
ROI: +0.6%
Weather
+$0.11
WR: 100.0%
(1/1)
ROI: +2.1%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$749.39
86.1%
Taker Volume
$121.44
13.9%
Taker Ratio
14%
Performance Snapshot
Overview
PnL Calendar
24 Hours
Net PnL
+$0.15
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.2%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$149.49
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 1 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
+$0.15
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
0.2%
Win Rate
100.0%
Volume
$149.49
Fee
$0.00
1 Wins in 1 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$0.02
Rebate:
$0.00
ROI
-0.0%
Win Rate
40.0%
Volume
$288.67
Fee
$0.02
2 Wins in 5 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$4.16
Rebate:
+$0.01
ROI
-0.9%
Win Rate
50.0%
Volume
$870.83
Fee
$0.10
11 Wins in 22 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 138
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
+$0.15
+0.2%
$149.49
Active
19h ago
Active
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Active 19h ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$149.49
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.09
-0.4%
$43.03
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$0.09
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$43.03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
-$0.12
-0.6%
$39.20
fee: $0.02
Active
3d ago
Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 3d ago
PnL
-$0.12
ROI
-0.6%
Volume
$39.20
fee: $0.02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$36.99
Active
4d ago
Active
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Active 4d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$36.99
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 6?
+$0.04
+0.2%
$19.96
No
6d ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 6?
Settled 5d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$19.96
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
+$0.04
+0.5%
$6.97
No
8d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$6.97
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
—
—
$15.44
Active
9d ago
Active
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Active 9d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$15.44
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
+$0.03
+0.1%
$29.97
No
11d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Settled 8d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$29.97
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
-$23.27
-65.1%
$48.17
No
13d ago
largest-company
No
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
-$23.27
ROI
-65.1%
Volume
$48.17
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
+$16.80
+76.4%
$60.80
Yes
13d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
+$16.80
ROI
+76.4%
Volume
$60.80
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
-$0.04
-0.2%
$41.58
Active
14d ago
Active
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Active 14d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$41.58
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
—
—
$32.51
Active
15d ago
Active
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Active 15d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$32.51
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
+$2.52
+6.2%
$83.52
No
16d ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
+$2.52
ROI
+6.2%
Volume
$83.52
london-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?
+$0.11
+2.1%
$4.90
No
18d ago
london-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$4.90
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$0.01
-0.2%
$13.90
No
19d ago
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$0.01
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$13.90
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?
-$1.15
-106.9%
$1.08
fee: $0.07
No
22d ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$1.15
ROI
-106.9%
Volume
$1.08
fee: $0.07
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
+$0.38
+1.2%
$31.62
No
24d ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
Settled 23d ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+1.2%
Volume
$31.62
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
+$0.03
+0.1%
$52.30
Active
24d ago
Active
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 24d ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$52.30
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
-$0.04
-0.2%
$39.32
Active
24d ago
Active
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 24d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$39.32
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
+$0.20
+0.8%
$25.79
fee: $0.01
No
27d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Settled 26d ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$25.79
fee: $0.01
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
-$0.05
-0.2%
$45.59
No
29d ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Settled 4d ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$45.59
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
+$0.33
+1.3%
$48.72
Yes
29d ago
P
us-iran-ceasefire-continues
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$0.33
ROI
+1.3%
Volume
$48.72
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?
+$0.20
+0.5%
$39.80
Yes
1mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Yes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$39.80
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
-$0.03
-0.4%
$14.93
Active
1mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.03
ROI
-0.4%
Volume
$14.93
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
+$0.15
+1.1%
$13.85
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.15
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$13.85
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
-$16.41
-103.8%
$15.81
fee: $0.60
Yes
1mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Yes
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$16.41
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$15.81
fee: $0.60
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
-$0.40
-1.6%
$48.85
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.40
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$48.85
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?
+$0.26
+0.8%
$63.29
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?
Settled 12d ago
PnL
+$0.26
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$63.29
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
+$0.07
+0.3%
$21.93
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$21.93
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?
+$0.09
+0.3%
$30.91
Yes
1mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Yes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.09
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$30.91
anthropic-valuation
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
-$0.61
-2.0%
$61.66
fee: $0.03
Active
1mo ago
anthropic-valuation
Active
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.61
ROI
-2.0%
Volume
$61.66
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
+$0.10
+0.3%
$31.90
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$31.90
P
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
—
—
$64.88
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$64.88
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
—
—
$30.00
Active
1mo ago
best-ai-company
Active
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$30.00
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
—
—
$58.92
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$58.92
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$35.20
-100.0%
$35.20
No
1mo ago
best-ai-company
No
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Settled 11d ago
PnL
-$35.20
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$35.20
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
+$0.11
+0.1%
$155.12
Yes
1mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$155.12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
+$0.96
+1.1%
$177.12
fee: $0.00
No
1mo ago
No
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.96
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$177.12
fee: $0.00
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
+$0.36
+0.8%
$44.64
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$44.64
P
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
+$0.04
+0.1%
$82.87
Active
1mo ago
P
Active
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$82.87
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
+$0.38
+1.5%
$24.63
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.38
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$24.63
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
+$0.18
+0.5%
$68.99
No
1mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$68.99
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
+$0.07
+0.7%
$9.93
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$9.93
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
+$0.25
+1.9%
$12.75
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.25
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$12.75
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
+$0.16
+0.3%
$109.16
Active
1mo ago
iran-regime
Active
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.16
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$109.16
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
—
—
$63.10
Active
1mo ago
Active
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 1mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$63.10
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
-$0.10
-0.3%
$61.28
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.10
ROI
-0.3%
Volume
$61.28
shanghai-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?
-$2.82
-18.9%
$27.08
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
shanghai-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 11?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.82
ROI
-18.9%
Volume
$27.08
fee: $0.04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
-$0.05
-0.1%
$95.65
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$95.65
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.14
+0.4%
$68.64
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
No
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.14
ROI
+0.4%
Volume
$68.64
fee: $0.03
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 4?
+$0.42
+0.7%
$59.58
No
2mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 4?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.42
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$59.58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
+$0.23
+0.6%
$75.16
No
2mo ago
No
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$75.16
largest-company
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
+$0.72
+2.5%
$59.22
No
2mo ago
largest-company
No
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.72
ROI
+2.5%
Volume
$59.22
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
+$0.04
+0.1%
$69.41
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.04
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$69.41
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?
+$0.19
+0.9%
$44.71
fee: $0.01
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.19
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$44.71
fee: $0.01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$12.79
fee: $0.07
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$12.79
fee: $0.07
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$1.02
+1.8%
$112.74
Active
2mo ago
us-to-invade-iran
Active
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.02
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$112.74
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
+$0.80
+2.6%
$31.20
No
2mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.80
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$31.20
chengdu-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on August 24?
+$0.60
+3.1%
$19.40
No
2mo ago
chengdu-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on August 24?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+3.1%
Volume
$19.40
putin-out-as-president
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
+$0.07
+0.2%
$70.69
No
2mo ago
putin-out-as-president
No
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$70.69
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
+$0.37
+0.9%
$80.65
Yes
2mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$80.65
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
+$0.07
+0.3%
$45.83
No
2mo ago
No
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$45.83
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$0.06
+0.2%
$58.14
Active
2mo ago
Active
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Active 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$58.14
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?
+$0.10
+0.5%
$39.78
No
2mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.10
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$39.78
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
+$0.49
+1.8%
$53.24
No
2mo ago
No
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$53.24
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
+$1.00
+2.6%
$39.00
Tampa Bay Rays
3mo ago
mlb
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$1.00
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$39.00
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
+$0.06
+0.2%
$60.71
Yes
3mo ago
Yes
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$60.71
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
+$0.41
+1.0%
$81.10
No
3mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.41
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$81.10
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
-$0.51
-1.6%
$62.59
fee: $0.06
No
3mo ago
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$0.51
ROI
-1.6%
Volume
$62.59
fee: $0.06
largest-company
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
+$0.37
+0.9%
$86.05
fee: $0.08
Yes
3mo ago
largest-company
Yes
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.37
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$86.05
fee: $0.08
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
+$0.59
+1.9%
$30.41
No
3mo ago
No
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.59
ROI
+1.9%
Volume
$30.41
crude-oil-cl-hit
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
-$6.57
-16.6%
$71.80
fee: $0.22
No
3mo ago
crude-oil-cl-hit
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
-$6.57
ROI
-16.6%
Volume
$71.80
fee: $0.22
chengdu-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or below on July 24?
+$0.22
+1.1%
$19.78
No
3mo ago
chengdu-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or below on July 24?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.22
ROI
+1.1%
Volume
$19.78
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
+$0.11
+0.3%
$71.60
No
3mo ago
No
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.11
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$71.60
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
+$0.23
+0.6%
$37.77
No
3mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.23
ROI
+0.6%
Volume
$37.77
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-$0.04
-0.2%
$39.52
No
3mo ago
No
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.2%
Volume
$39.52
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
+$0.31
+0.7%
$43.69
No
4mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.31
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$43.69
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
+$4.56
+5.5%
$108.04
Yes
4mo ago
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$4.56
ROI
+5.5%
Volume
$108.04
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$0.54
+1.5%
$70.67
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+1.5%
Volume
$70.67
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.78
+1.8%
$88.64
No
4mo ago
No
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.78
ROI
+1.8%
Volume
$88.64
hong-kong-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 10?
+$0.20
+0.9%
$21.80
No
4mo ago
hong-kong-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 10?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.20
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$21.80
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$0.06
+0.2%
$59.40
No
4mo ago
No
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$59.40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.50
+1.0%
$49.50
No
4mo ago
No
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.50
ROI
+1.0%
Volume
$49.50
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.35
+0.8%
$83.60
No
4mo ago
No
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.35
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$83.60
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.64
+6.6%
$39.96
No
4mo ago
No
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$2.64
ROI
+6.6%
Volume
$39.96
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$0.40
+0.9%
$85.58
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.40
ROI
+0.9%
Volume
$85.58
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
+$1.32
+3.4%
$38.68
Yes
4mo ago
btc-multi-strikes-weekly
Yes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$1.32
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$38.68
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
+$0.36
+0.8%
$88.11
Yes
4mo ago
Yes
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Settled 3mo ago
PnL
+$0.36
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$88.11
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
+$0.30
+1.6%
$37.59
Active
4mo ago
Active
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.30
ROI
+1.6%
Volume
$37.59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
+$0.18
+0.5%
$69.69
No
4mo ago
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.18
ROI
+0.5%
Volume
$69.69
seoul-daily-weather
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?
+$0.12
+0.8%
$14.87
No
4mo ago
seoul-daily-weather
No
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.12
ROI
+0.8%
Volume
$14.87
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
-$0.04
-0.1%
$82.27
No
4mo ago
No
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$82.27
how-low-10-year-treasury
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
—
—
$19.00
Active
4mo ago
how-low-10-year-treasury
Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
Active 4mo ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$19.00
P
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
-$1.50
-100.0%
$1.50
Yes
4mo ago
P
Yes
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$1.50
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.50
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
-$0.38
-0.5%
$157.90
No
4mo ago
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
-$0.38
ROI
-0.5%
Volume
$157.90
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
+$0.84
+2.1%
$39.16
No
4mo ago
No
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.84
ROI
+2.1%
Volume
$39.16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.03
+0.1%
$64.85
No
5mo ago
No
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.03
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$64.85
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$0.07
+0.2%
$68.53
No
5mo ago
No
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Settled 4mo ago
PnL
+$0.07
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$68.53
openai-valuation
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
+$0.06
+0.3%
$40.50
Active
5mo ago
openai-valuation
Active
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Active 5mo ago
PnL
+$0.06
ROI
+0.3%
Volume
$40.50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
-$0.05
-0.1%
$88.83
No
5mo ago
No
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Settled 5mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-0.1%
Volume
$88.83
138 Markets
•
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