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PolyPnL
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Mempool
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powered by
PolyEdge Engine
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Created
N/A
Active
October 2, 2026
Balance
$0.30
Incoming
+$21.92
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$13.37
PnL Over Time
Cumulative PnL
-$11.24
1D
3D
7D
30D
All
Sep 2
Sep 9
Sep 17
Sep 24
Oct 2
Top Categories
Last 30 Days
Finance
+$1.78
WR: 50.0%
(2/4)
ROI: +29.6%
Economy
+$1.53
WR: 66.7%
(4/6)
ROI: +13.9%
Geopolitics
-$0.15
WR: 60.0%
(3/5)
ROI: -1.7%
Tech
-$2.60
WR: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -65.1%
Politics
-$6.07
WR: 20.0%
(1/5)
ROI: -67.5%
Trading Style
Last 30 Days
Maker Volume
$0.00
0.0%
Taker Volume
$58.00
100.0%
Taker Ratio
100%
Performance Snapshot
24 Hours
Net PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.4%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$3.00
Fee
$0.06
0 Wins in 3 Markets
3 Days
Net PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.4%
Win Rate
0.0%
Volume
$3.00
Fee
$0.06
0 Wins in 3 Markets
7 Days
Net PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-32.4%
Win Rate
28.6%
Volume
$7.00
Fee
$0.13
2 Wins in 7 Markets
30 Days
Net PnL
-$11.24
ROI
-20.4%
Win Rate
45.5%
Volume
$58.00
Fee
$1.16
15 Wins in 33 Markets
Recent Markets
| total 84
Market
PnL
ROI
Volume
Status
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.02
Active
4h ago
elon-tweets-48h
Active
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Active 4h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.02
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
-$1.01
-101.4%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Up
13h ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Up
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
Settled 8h ago
PnL
-$1.01
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
P
claude-haiku-released
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.02
Active
21h ago
P
claude-haiku-released
Active
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
Active 21h ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
fee: $0.01
Active
5d ago
elon-tweets
Active
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Active 5d ago
PnL
—
ROI
—
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
elon-net-worth
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?
+$0.48
+47.9%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
5d ago
elon-net-worth
No
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
+$0.48
ROI
+47.9%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
+$0.27
+27.1%
$1.00
fee: $0.01
No
6d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Settled 7h ago
PnL
+$0.27
ROI
+27.1%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.01
P
h100-rental-price
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?
-$1.03
-103.0%
$1.00
fee: $0.03
No
6d ago
P
h100-rental-price
No
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?
Settled 7h ago
PnL
-$1.03
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$1.00
fee: $0.03
P
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
No
7d ago
P
No
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Settled 1d ago
PnL
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$1.00
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
+$0.57
+28.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
10d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.57
ROI
+28.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
+$0.54
+27.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
13d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Settled 6d ago
PnL
+$0.54
ROI
+27.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
+$0.64
+32.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
13d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
-$2.07
-103.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
No
15d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Settled 10d ago
PnL
-$2.07
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
+$0.75
+37.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
No
16d ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+37.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?
-$2.04
-102.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
No
16d ago
P
warsh-mentions
No
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
-$2.07
-103.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
No
17d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Settled 13d ago
PnL
-$2.07
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
-$2.05
-102.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
18d ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
+$1.08
+53.8%
$2.00
No
18d ago
No
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+53.8%
Volume
$2.00
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
+$0.74
+37.0%
$2.00
No
18d ago
ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz
No
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
+$0.74
ROI
+37.0%
Volume
$2.00
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
-$2.04
-102.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
19d ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-102.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
-$2.08
-103.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
No
19d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Settled 17d ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-103.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
fed-3-parlay
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
-$2.08
-104.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
No
20d ago
fed-3-parlay
No
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
+$1.03
+51.5%
$2.00
Yes
21d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Settled 14d ago
PnL
+$1.03
ROI
+51.5%
Volume
$2.00
core-cpi
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
+$2.03
+101.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
21d ago
core-cpi
Yes
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$2.03
ROI
+101.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
+$2.95
+147.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Down
22d ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
+$2.95
ROI
+147.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
-$2.08
-104.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
No
22d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-104.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
P
earnings-call-mentions
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?
-$2.05
-102.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
No
22d ago
P
earnings-call-mentions
No
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?
Settled 21d ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-102.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
+$1.04
+52.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
No
23d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$1.04
ROI
+52.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
Yes
23d ago
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Settled 16d ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
P
core-cpi-mom
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?
+$2.29
+114.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
No
23d ago
P
core-cpi-mom
No
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$2.29
ROI
+114.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
-$2.05
-102.3%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
24d ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
Settled 19d ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
+$0.87
+43.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
Yes
24d ago
bank-of-russia-decision
Yes
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Settled 20d ago
PnL
+$0.87
ROI
+43.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
+$1.19
+59.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
No
29d ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$1.19
ROI
+59.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.06
-103.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
29d ago
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
P
jobs-added
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
+$0.61
+30.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
P
jobs-added
No
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$0.61
ROI
+30.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
1-free-app
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
-$2.02
-101.3%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
1-free-app
No
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.3%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
ewy-hit-price-weekly
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 31 2026?
+$1.74
+86.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
ewy-hit-price-weekly
Yes
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 31 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+86.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$2.06
-102.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
fomc
No
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Settled 15d ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-102.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
microsoft-hit-price-weekly
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of August 31 2026?
-$2.06
-103.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
microsoft-hit-price-weekly
No
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of August 31 2026?
Settled 27d ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
north-korea-missile-test
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?
+$1.08
+53.8%
$2.00
Yes
1mo ago
north-korea-missile-test
Yes
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.08
ROI
+53.8%
Volume
$2.00
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
+$0.75
+37.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
No
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.75
ROI
+37.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
-$2.08
-103.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
+$2.21
+110.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
No
1mo ago
No
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.21
ROI
+110.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
third-best-ai-agent-lab
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
+$7.46
+373.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
third-best-ai-agent-lab
Yes
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$7.46
ROI
+373.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
+$2.95
+147.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
privates-largest-increase-in-valuation-monthly
No
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.95
ROI
+147.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 18?
-$2.06
-103.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
Down
1mo ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 18?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-103.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$2.08
-103.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.08
ROI
-103.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
-$2.07
-103.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.07
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
opendoor-hit-price-weekly
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of August 17 2026?
+$1.20
+59.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.03
No
1mo ago
opendoor-hit-price-weekly
No
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of August 17 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.20
ROI
+59.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
-$2.02
-101.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Yes
1mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.02
ROI
-101.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
P
canada-gdp-mom
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
-$2.07
-103.3%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
Yes
1mo ago
P
canada-gdp-mom
Yes
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.07
ROI
-103.3%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
+$3.34
+167.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$3.34
ROI
+167.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$0.60
+29.9%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
No
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.60
ROI
+29.9%
Volume
$2.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
No
1mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
+$0.64
+32.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.64
ROI
+32.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
-$2.05
-102.4%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
Yes
1mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.05
ROI
-102.4%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
us-annual-inflation
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
+$2.82
+141.0%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
Yes
1mo ago
us-annual-inflation
Yes
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.82
ROI
+141.0%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
us-monthly-inflation
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?
-$2.07
-103.7%
$2.00
fee: $0.07
No
1mo ago
us-monthly-inflation
No
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.07
ROI
-103.7%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.07
spy-daily-up-or-down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
-$2.04
-102.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Down
1mo ago
spy-daily-up-or-down
Down
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-102.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
-$2.06
-103.1%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-103.1%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
P
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
+$0.53
+26.6%
$2.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.53
ROI
+26.6%
Volume
$2.00
P
all-kpis
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?
+$2.30
+115.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
P
all-kpis
Yes
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$2.30
ROI
+115.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
+$0.51
+25.5%
$2.00
fee: $0.02
No
1mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$0.51
ROI
+25.5%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.02
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
+$6.26
+312.9%
$2.00
fee: $0.08
Yes
1mo ago
Yes
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$6.26
ROI
+312.9%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.08
P
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
-$2.00
-100.0%
$2.00
Yes
1mo ago
P
Yes
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
-$2.00
ROI
-100.0%
Volume
$2.00
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
+$1.59
+79.6%
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Yes
1mo ago
elon-tweets
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$1.59
ROI
+79.6%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
+$4.20
+209.8%
$2.00
fee: $0.05
No
1mo ago
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Settled 1mo ago
PnL
+$4.20
ROI
+209.8%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.05
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
+$1.64
+82.9%
$1.98
fee: $0.05
Yes
2mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.64
ROI
+82.9%
Volume
$1.98
fee: $0.05
P
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
+$1.74
+141.5%
$1.23
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.74
ROI
+141.5%
Volume
$1.23
fee: $0.03
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
-$0.05
-2.3%
$1.99
fee: $0.05
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
2mo ago
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.05
ROI
-2.3%
Volume
$1.99
fee: $0.05
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
-$1.29
-102.3%
$1.26
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.29
ROI
-102.3%
Volume
$1.26
fee: $0.03
P
warsh-mentions
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
-$1.14
-102.5%
$1.11
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
warsh-mentions
Yes
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.14
ROI
-102.5%
Volume
$1.11
fee: $0.03
P
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
+$1.07
+54.8%
$1.95
fee: $0.03
No
2mo ago
P
No
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.07
ROI
+54.8%
Volume
$1.95
fee: $0.03
P
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
-$2.04
-101.6%
$2.01
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-101.6%
Volume
$2.01
fee: $0.03
elon-tweets-48h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
+$0.47
+30.4%
$1.54
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
elon-tweets-48h
Yes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.47
ROI
+30.4%
Volume
$1.54
fee: $0.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
+$0.49
+31.6%
$1.54
No
2mo ago
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.49
ROI
+31.6%
Volume
$1.54
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
-$0.07
-4.4%
$1.56
fee: $0.04
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
2mo ago
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.07
ROI
-4.4%
Volume
$1.56
fee: $0.04
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
-$0.04
-2.5%
$1.53
fee: $0.04
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
2mo ago
Yes (50%) / No (50%)
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$0.04
ROI
-2.5%
Volume
$1.53
fee: $0.04
yum-earnings
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
-$1.30
-102.9%
$1.26
fee: $0.04
Yes
2mo ago
yum-earnings
Yes
Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$1.30
ROI
-102.9%
Volume
$1.26
fee: $0.04
P
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
-$2.04
-101.4%
$2.01
fee: $0.03
Yes
2mo ago
P
Yes
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.04
ROI
-101.4%
Volume
$2.01
fee: $0.03
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
+$1.13
+58.7%
$1.92
No
2mo ago
No
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.13
ROI
+58.7%
Volume
$1.92
P
ma-kpis
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5%-8.5%?
-$2.03
-101.0%
$2.01
fee: $0.02
Yes
2mo ago
P
ma-kpis
Yes
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5%-8.5%?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.03
ROI
-101.0%
Volume
$2.01
fee: $0.02
bank-of-russia-decision
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
+$1.10
+59.4%
$1.86
fee: $0.04
No
2mo ago
bank-of-russia-decision
No
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$1.10
ROI
+59.4%
Volume
$1.86
fee: $0.04
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$0.43
+27.1%
$1.58
fee: $0.02
No
2mo ago
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
+$0.43
ROI
+27.1%
Volume
$1.58
fee: $0.02
elon-tweets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
-$2.06
-103.2%
$2.00
fee: $0.06
No
2mo ago
elon-tweets
No
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Settled 2mo ago
PnL
-$2.06
ROI
-103.2%
Volume
$2.00
fee: $0.06
84 Markets