Cheddar-FactoryCheddar-Facto...

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Created October 5, 2025

Active June 15, 2026

Balance$206.63

PnL Over Time

Cumulative PnL+$266.01

Apr 28

May 16

Jun 2

Jun 20

Jul 7

Top Categories

Last 30 Days

Politics+$28.91

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +5.5%

Geopolitics+$28.91

WR: 100.0%(1/1)

ROI: +5.5%

Trading Style

Last 30 Days

Maker Volume$0.00

0.0%

Taker Volume$528.20

100.0%

Taker Ratio

100%

Performance Snapshot

24 Hours

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

3 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

7 Days

Net PnL

+$0.00

ROI

0.0%

Win Rate

0.0%

Volume

$0.00

Fee

$0.00

0 Wins in 0 Markets

30 Days

Net PnL

+$28.91

ROI

5.5%

Win Rate

100.0%

Volume

$528.20

Fee

$1.14

1 Wins in 1 Markets

Recent Markets | total 29

Market

PnL

ROI

Volume

Status

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

+$28.91

+5.5%

fee: $1.14

22d ago

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$28.91

ROI+5.5%

Volumefee: $1.14

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

+$1.47

+0.2%

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Settled 29d ago

PnL+$1.47

ROI+0.2%

Volume

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

+$40.71

+4062.8%

fee: $0.04

Yes

1mo ago

Yes

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$40.71

ROI+4062.8%

Volumefee: $0.04

box-office-openings

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

+$1.23

+0.3%

fee: $0.06

Yes

1mo ago

box-office-openings

Yes

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$1.23

ROI+0.3%

Volumefee: $0.06

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

+$42.00

+4.4%

1mo ago

netanyahu-out

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$42.00

ROI+4.4%

Volume

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

-$251.92

-101.2%

fee: $2.92

1mo ago

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Settled 12d ago

PnL-$251.92

ROI-101.2%

Volumefee: $2.92

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

+$12.53

+3.4%

1mo ago

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$12.53

ROI+3.4%

Volume

AI bubble burst in 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

+$20.27

+19.0%

1mo ago

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$20.27

ROI+19.0%

Volume

us-to-invade-iran

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

—

Active

1mo ago

us-to-invade-iran

Active

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

—

Active

1mo ago

Active

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Active 1mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

+$33.00

+12.4%

1mo ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Settled 6d ago

PnL+$33.00

ROI+12.4%

Volume

Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?

+$15.48

+7.4%

1mo ago

Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$15.48

ROI+7.4%

Volume

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

-$7.70

-19.7%

1mo ago

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL-$7.70

ROI-19.7%

Volume

spacex-starship-flight-test

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?

+$17.06

+2.0%

fee: $0.70

1mo ago

spacex-starship-flight-test

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$17.06

ROI+2.0%

Volumefee: $0.70

trump-declare-war-on-iran

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

+$3.43

+0.6%

2mo ago

trump-declare-war-on-iran

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$3.43

ROI+0.6%

Volume

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

+$1.77

+0.5%

2mo ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$1.77

ROI+0.5%

Volume

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

+$3.20

+1.6%

2mo ago

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$3.20

ROI+1.6%

Volume

spacex-starship-flight-test

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

+$2.00

+0.4%

2mo ago

spacex-starship-flight-test

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$2.00

ROI+0.4%

Volume

best-coding-ai

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

+$3.61

+0.9%

fee: $0.15

Yes

2mo ago

best-coding-ai

Yes

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$3.61

ROI+0.9%

Volumefee: $0.15

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

+$0.52

+1.1%

2mo ago

ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Settled 1mo ago

PnL+$0.52

ROI+1.1%

Volume

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

+$1.73

+0.6%

2mo ago

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$1.73

ROI+0.6%

Volume

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

+$4.53

+0.5%

2mo ago

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$4.53

ROI+0.5%

Volume

dissent-at-fed-meeting

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

+$282.51

+8.4%

fee: $9.37

2mo ago

dissent-at-fed-meeting

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$282.51

ROI+8.4%

Volumefee: $9.37

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

+$20.00

+11.1%

2mo ago

Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$20.00

ROI+11.1%

Volume

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

-$13.32

-19.6%

fee: $3.32

Yes

2mo ago

bitcoin-hit-price-monthly

Yes

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL-$13.32

ROI-19.6%

Volumefee: $3.32

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

+$3.00

+1.0%

2mo ago

us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Settled 2mo ago

PnL+$3.00

ROI+1.0%

Volume

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

—

Active

2mo ago

Active

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Active 2mo ago

PnL—

ROI—

Volume

29 Markets