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正在实时监听 Polymarket 内存池大单...
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Tier 0
加权交易量:
$8.48
0xa1BdB11beA3eD660701b1e394789d8A83d6f880b-1768258636869
0xa1BdB11beA3...
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创建于
January 12, 2026
活跃于
November 10, 2026
余额
$1.28K
Incoming
+$1.36K
Rewards
+$12.61
Outgoing
-$0.00
收益走势
累计盈亏
-$26.22
1天
3天
7天
30天
全部
Oct 12
Oct 19
Oct 27
Nov 3
Nov 11
主要交易类别
最近 30 天
政治
+$3.42
胜率: 25.0%
(2/8)
ROI: +3.1%
大选
+$3.42
胜率: 28.6%
(2/7)
ROI: +3.1%
流行文化
+$0.00
胜率: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
加密货币
+$0.00
胜率: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
地缘政治
+$0.00
胜率: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
交易风格
最近 30 天
挂单交易量
$45.42
33.6%
吃单交易量
$89.57
66.4%
吃单比例
66%
盈亏数据
周期概览
盈亏日历
24小时
净收益
+$1.61
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
1.5%
胜率
12.5%
交易量
$57.75
手续费
$0.90
在 8 个市场中获胜 1 次
3天
净收益
+$1.61
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
1.5%
胜率
12.5%
交易量
$57.75
手续费
$0.90
在 8 个市场中获胜 1 次
7天
净收益
+$4.48
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
4.1%
胜率
18.2%
交易量
$97.73
手续费
$1.27
在 11 个市场中获胜 2 次
30天
净收益
-$26.22
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
-18.3%
胜率
11.8%
交易量
$134.99
手续费
$1.83
在 17 个市场中获胜 2 次
最近交易市场
| 总计 76
交易市场
收益
投资回报率
交易量
状态
anthropic-ipo
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
—
—
$5.66
进行中
12小时前
anthropic-ipo
进行中
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
进行中 12小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$5.66
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
—
—
$5.06
手续费: $0.20
进行中
12小时前
进行中
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
进行中 12小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$5.06
手续费: $0.20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$2.99
手续费: $0.12
进行中
12小时前
进行中
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
进行中 12小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.99
手续费: $0.12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$1.61
+1.5%
$30.44
手续费: $0.12
进行中
13小时前
进行中
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
进行中 13小时前
收益
+$1.61
ROI
+1.5%
交易量
$30.44
手续费: $0.12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
—
—
$4.65
手续费: $0.17
进行中
13小时前
进行中
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
进行中 13小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$4.65
手续费: $0.17
trump-administration-resignations
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
—
—
$2.30
手续费: $0.07
进行中
13小时前
trump-administration-resignations
进行中
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
进行中 13小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.30
手续费: $0.07
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$3.00
手续费: $0.13
进行中
13小时前
fomc
进行中
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
进行中 13小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$3.00
手续费: $0.13
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
—
—
$3.65
手续费: $0.09
进行中
13小时前
fomc
进行中
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
进行中 13小时前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$3.65
手续费: $0.09
trump-out
Trump out as President before 2027?
—
—
$18.73
进行中
6天前
trump-out
进行中
Trump out as President before 2027?
进行中 6天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$18.73
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
+$2.87
+55.4%
$20.24
手续费: $0.38
进行中
6天前
进行中
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
进行中 6天前
收益
+$2.87
ROI
+55.4%
交易量
$20.24
手续费: $0.38
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
6天前
进行中
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
进行中 6天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
-$1.06
-103.8%
$1.02
手续费: $0.04
No
8天前
No
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
已结算于 7天前
收益
-$1.06
ROI
-103.8%
交易量
$1.02
手续费: $0.04
best-ai-company
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$2.01
-100.0%
$2.01
Yes
13天前
best-ai-company
Yes
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
已结算于 10天前
收益
-$2.01
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$2.01
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
—
—
$1.12
进行中
13天前
best-ai-company
进行中
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
进行中 13天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.12
best-ai-company
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$5.00
-100.0%
$5.00
No
14天前
best-ai-company
No
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
已结算于 10天前
收益
-$5.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$5.00
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
No
14天前
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
已结算于 10天前
收益
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.00
P
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-$21.63
-89.7%
$27.11
手续费: $0.52
No
14天前
P
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
已结算于 13天前
收益
-$21.63
ROI
-89.7%
交易量
$27.11
手续费: $0.52
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
-$3.15
-104.9%
$3.00
手续费: $0.15
No
1个月前
bitcoin-hit-price-monthly
No
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$3.15
ROI
-104.9%
交易量
$3.00
手续费: $0.15
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
—
—
$2.40
手续费: $0.09
进行中
1个月前
fomc
进行中
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.40
手续费: $0.09
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$19.68
-104.1%
$18.90
手续费: $0.78
No
1个月前
fomc
No
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$19.68
ROI
-104.1%
交易量
$18.90
手续费: $0.78
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$77.10
+153.8%
$178.84
手续费: $1.46
Yes
1个月前
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$77.10
ROI
+153.8%
交易量
$178.84
手续费: $1.46
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$12.00
手续费: $0.27
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$12.00
手续费: $0.27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$20.98
手续费: $0.19
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$20.98
手续费: $0.19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+$1.53
+15.3%
$21.58
手续费: $0.92
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
+$1.53
ROI
+15.3%
交易量
$21.58
手续费: $0.92
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$2.01
手续费: $0.06
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.01
手续费: $0.06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
—
—
$5.06
手续费: $0.16
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$5.06
手续费: $0.16
best-ai-company
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
-$5.27
-103.5%
$5.09
手续费: $0.18
No
2个月前
best-ai-company
No
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$5.27
ROI
-103.5%
交易量
$5.09
手续费: $0.18
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
—
—
$14.17
手续费: $0.39
进行中
2个月前
进行中
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$14.17
手续费: $0.39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
+$0.37
+0.9%
$80.63
手续费: $0.66
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
+$0.37
ROI
+0.9%
交易量
$80.63
手续费: $0.66
yearly-ipos
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
+$0.95
+37.3%
$68.35
手续费: $0.05
进行中
3个月前
yearly-ipos
进行中
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
进行中 3个月前
收益
+$0.95
ROI
+37.3%
交易量
$68.35
手续费: $0.05
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
—
—
$7.10
进行中
3个月前
进行中
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$7.10
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$0.15
+2.9%
$10.35
进行中
3个月前
us-to-invade-iran
进行中
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
进行中 3个月前
收益
+$0.15
ROI
+2.9%
交易量
$10.35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
—
—
$4.50
进行中
3个月前
进行中
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$4.50
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
—
—
$7.07
进行中
3个月前
iran-regime
进行中
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$7.07
yearly-ipos
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
—
—
$23.90
手续费: $0.22
进行中
3个月前
yearly-ipos
进行中
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$23.90
手续费: $0.22
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
+$202.99
+54.8%
$296.23
手续费: $1.06
No
3个月前
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
+$202.99
ROI
+54.8%
交易量
$296.23
手续费: $1.06
GTA VI released by October 31?
-$1.02
-50.5%
$3.02
No
4个月前
No
GTA VI released by October 31?
已结算于 10天前
收益
-$1.02
ROI
-50.5%
交易量
$3.02
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
-$6.00
-100.0%
$6.00
Yes
4个月前
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$6.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$6.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.06
-102.8%
$1.03
手续费: $0.03
No
4个月前
No
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.06
ROI
-102.8%
交易量
$1.03
手续费: $0.03
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
-$1.54
-102.8%
$1.50
手续费: $0.04
Yes
4个月前
Yes
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.54
ROI
-102.8%
交易量
$1.50
手续费: $0.04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
No
4个月前
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.00
iran-regime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
-$11.50
-100.0%
$11.50
No
4个月前
iran-regime
No
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$11.50
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$11.50
soccer-fifwc
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
-$2.05
-102.4%
$2.00
手续费: $0.05
No
4个月前
soccer-fifwc
No
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$2.05
ROI
-102.4%
交易量
$2.00
手续费: $0.05
P
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
-$2.50
-100.0%
$2.50
No
4个月前
P
No
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$2.50
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$2.50
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
+$8.50
+566.7%
$1.50
Yes
4个月前
Yes
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
+$8.50
ROI
+566.7%
交易量
$1.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
+$6.10
+176.8%
$13.00
Yes
4个月前
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
+$6.10
ROI
+176.8%
交易量
$13.00
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
-$49.88
-104.9%
$47.57
手续费: $2.31
No
4个月前
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$49.88
ROI
-104.9%
交易量
$47.57
手续费: $2.31
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
+$25.55
+270.4%
$9.45
Yes
4个月前
nuclear-deal
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
+$25.55
ROI
+270.4%
交易量
$9.45
yearly-ipos
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
—
—
$8.17
手续费: $0.21
进行中
5个月前
yearly-ipos
进行中
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$8.17
手续费: $0.21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
-$1.04
-100.0%
$1.04
No
5个月前
No
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
-$1.04
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.04
nuclear-deal
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
+$7.82
+255.6%
$13.94
No
5个月前
nuclear-deal
No
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$7.82
ROI
+255.6%
交易量
$13.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
+$4.85
+236.6%
$8.95
No
5个月前
No
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$4.85
ROI
+236.6%
交易量
$8.95
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
-$2.50
-100.0%
$2.50
No
5个月前
No
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$2.50
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$2.50
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
—
—
$2.10
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.10
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
-$6.45
-103.8%
$6.22
手续费: $0.23
No
5个月前
No
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$6.45
ROI
-103.8%
交易量
$6.22
手续费: $0.23
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
—
—
$2.14
手续费: $0.10
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.14
手续费: $0.10
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$0.08
-1.6%
$9.84
手续费: $0.32
No
5个月前
fomc
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$0.08
ROI
-1.6%
交易量
$9.84
手续费: $0.32
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
-$10.67
-100.3%
$10.64
手续费: $0.03
Yes
5个月前
Yes
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$10.67
ROI
-100.3%
交易量
$10.64
手续费: $0.03
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
-$35.94
-103.4%
$34.77
手续费: $1.17
No
5个月前
No
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$35.94
ROI
-103.4%
交易量
$34.77
手续费: $1.17
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
-$57.39
-101.7%
$56.44
手续费: $0.96
No
5个月前
No
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$57.39
ROI
-101.7%
交易量
$56.44
手续费: $0.96
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
+$11.89
+54.0%
$27.99
手续费: $0.12
No
5个月前
No
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$11.89
ROI
+54.0%
交易量
$27.99
手续费: $0.12
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
-$4.90
-101.0%
$4.85
手续费: $0.05
No
5个月前
No
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$4.90
ROI
-101.0%
交易量
$4.85
手续费: $0.05
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
-$2.10
-103.8%
$2.03
手续费: $0.08
No
5个月前
No
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$2.10
ROI
-103.8%
交易量
$2.03
手续费: $0.08
trump-out
Trump out as President by June 30?
-$6.82
-102.9%
$6.63
手续费: $0.19
No
5个月前
trump-out
No
Trump out as President by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$6.82
ROI
-102.9%
交易量
$6.63
手续费: $0.19
Will Sui dip to $0.80 before 2027?
+$2.76
+128.6%
$2.15
手续费: $0.09
Yes
5个月前
Yes
Will Sui dip to $0.80 before 2027?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$2.76
ROI
+128.6%
交易量
$2.15
手续费: $0.09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
-$113.39
-103.0%
$110.06
手续费: $3.33
No
6个月前
No
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$113.39
ROI
-103.0%
交易量
$110.06
手续费: $3.33
fomc
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
-$0.18
-17.8%
$1.93
手续费: $0.10
No
6个月前
fomc
No
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
-$0.18
ROI
-17.8%
交易量
$1.93
手续费: $0.10
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
-$3.12
-102.9%
$3.04
手续费: $0.09
No
6个月前
No
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$3.12
ROI
-102.9%
交易量
$3.04
手续费: $0.09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
—
—
$3.08
手续费: $0.10
进行中
6个月前
进行中
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
进行中 6个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$3.08
手续费: $0.10
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
+$1.88
+75.2%
$6.95
手续费: $0.07
Yes
6个月前
Yes
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$1.88
ROI
+75.2%
交易量
$6.95
手续费: $0.07
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
+$0.47
+3.9%
$6.68
手续费: $0.24
No
6个月前
No
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
+$0.47
ROI
+3.9%
交易量
$6.68
手续费: $0.24
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
-$1.05
-104.9%
$1.00
手续费: $0.05
No
6个月前
No
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.05
ROI
-104.9%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.05
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
-$1.65
-103.4%
$1.60
手续费: $0.05
No
6个月前
No
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
-$1.65
ROI
-103.4%
交易量
$1.60
手续费: $0.05
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
—
—
$1.09
手续费: $0.04
进行中
6个月前
进行中
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
进行中 6个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.09
手续费: $0.04
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
—
—
$1.20
手续费: $0.04
进行中
6个月前
进行中
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
进行中 6个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.20
手续费: $0.04
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
-$1.05
-105.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.05
No
6个月前
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
已结算于 6个月前
收益
-$1.05
ROI
-105.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.05
76 个市场