P
PolyPnL
排行榜
统计
NEW
正在实时监听 Polymarket 内存池大单...
no
Tier 0
加权交易量:
$10.68
nonc
nonc
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收藏
分享
创建于
December 17, 2025
活跃于
November 7, 2026
余额
$22.68
Incoming
+$6.45
Rewards
+$0.00
Outgoing
-$0.00
收益走势
累计盈亏
-$1.48
1天
3天
7天
30天
全部
Oct 10
Oct 18
Oct 25
Nov 2
Nov 9
主要交易类别
最近 30 天
科技
+$0.18
胜率: 20.0%
(1/5)
ROI: +18.4%
经济
+$0.00
胜率: 0.0%
(0/1)
ROI: +0.0%
地缘政治
-$0.33
胜率: 0.0%
(0/3)
ROI: -33.3%
金融
-$0.33
胜率: 0.0%
(0/2)
ROI: -33.3%
政治
-$0.65
胜率: 25.0%
(1/4)
ROI: -7.3%
交易风格
最近 30 天
挂单交易量
$0.00
0.0%
吃单交易量
$29.37
100.0%
吃单比例
100%
盈亏数据
周期概览
盈亏日历
24小时
净收益
+$0.00
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
0.0%
胜率
0.0%
交易量
$0.00
手续费
$0.00
在 0 个市场中获胜 0 次
3天
净收益
-$1.01
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
-50.7%
胜率
0.0%
交易量
$2.99
手续费
$0.11
在 2 个市场中获胜 0 次
7天
净收益
-$1.48
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
-12.4%
胜率
16.7%
交易量
$29.37
手续费
$0.40
在 12 个市场中获胜 2 次
30天
净收益
-$1.48
返佣:
$0.00
投资回报率
-12.4%
胜率
16.7%
交易量
$29.37
手续费
$0.40
在 12 个市场中获胜 2 次
最近交易市场
| 总计 109
交易市场
收益
投资回报率
交易量
状态
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?
-$0.68
-68.0%
$1.32
手续费: $0.05
进行中
2天前
进行中
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?
进行中 2天前
收益
-$0.68
ROI
-68.0%
交易量
$1.32
手续费: $0.05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
-$0.33
-33.3%
$1.67
手续费: $0.06
进行中
2天前
进行中
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
进行中 2天前
收益
-$0.33
ROI
-33.3%
交易量
$1.67
手续费: $0.06
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
-$0.74
-73.8%
$1.31
手续费: $0.04
No
5天前
No
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
已结算于 4天前
收益
-$0.74
ROI
-73.8%
交易量
$1.31
手续费: $0.04
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
+$0.08
+1.1%
$16.08
手续费: $0.20
进行中
5天前
进行中
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
进行中 5天前
收益
+$0.08
ROI
+1.1%
交易量
$16.08
手续费: $0.20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
5天前
进行中
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
进行中
5天前
进行中
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
P
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
5天前
P
进行中
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
P
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
5天前
P
进行中
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?
+$0.18
+18.4%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
5天前
No
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?
已结算于 2天前
收益
+$0.18
ROI
+18.4%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
deepseek-pro-released-by
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
5天前
deepseek-pro-released-by
进行中
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
5天前
进行中
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
—
—
$2.00
进行中
5天前
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
进行中
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
进行中 5天前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$2.00
P
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
+$0.47
+47.1%
$1.00
No
1个月前
P
No
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.47
ROI
+47.1%
交易量
$1.00
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
+$0.46
+45.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
1个月前
Yes
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.46
ROI
+45.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
P
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-$1.03
-102.7%
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
No
1个月前
P
fomc
No
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
已结算于 12天前
收益
-$1.03
ROI
-102.7%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
P
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?
+$0.14
+14.4%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
1个月前
P
No
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.14
ROI
+14.4%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
+$0.68
+67.9%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Yes
1个月前
Yes
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
已结算于 5天前
收益
+$0.68
ROI
+67.9%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
+$0.25
+25.0%
$1.00
No
1个月前
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.25
ROI
+25.0%
交易量
$1.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
+$0.42
+20.8%
$2.00
No
1个月前
No
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.42
ROI
+20.8%
交易量
$2.00
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
fomc
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+$0.23
+22.5%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
1个月前
fomc
Yes
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.23
ROI
+22.5%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
-$1.01
-101.3%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
1个月前
No
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$1.01
ROI
-101.3%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
1个月前
进行中
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
ai-millennium-prize-solution
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
1个月前
ai-millennium-prize-solution
进行中
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
进行中 1个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
apple-release-new-product
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
+$0.04
+4.2%
$2.04
手续费: $0.02
进行中
1个月前
apple-release-new-product
进行中
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
进行中 1个月前
收益
+$0.04
ROI
+4.2%
交易量
$2.04
手续费: $0.02
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.17
+17.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
next-openai-gpt-sol-release-by
Yes
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.17
ROI
+17.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
+$0.16
+15.7%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
Yes
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?
已结算于 28天前
收益
+$0.16
ROI
+15.7%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
P
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
进行中
2个月前
P
进行中
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
+$1.70
+170.3%
$1.00
Yes
2个月前
us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting
Yes
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$1.70
ROI
+170.3%
交易量
$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$0.49
+49.3%
$1.00
No
2个月前
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
已结算于 8天前
收益
+$0.49
ROI
+49.3%
交易量
$1.00
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
claude-opus-released
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.26
+25.7%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
claude-opus-released
Yes
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.26
ROI
+25.7%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
+$0.32
+32.3%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
Yes
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.32
ROI
+32.3%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
P
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.14
+14.4%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
2个月前
P
No
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?
已结算于 8天前
收益
+$0.14
ROI
+14.4%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
-$1.02
-102.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
No
2个月前
No
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
已结算于 8天前
收益
-$1.02
ROI
-102.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
+$0.14
+13.5%
$2.13
No
2个月前
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.14
ROI
+13.5%
交易量
$2.13
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
—
—
$4.30
手续费: $0.04
进行中
2个月前
进行中
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$4.30
手续费: $0.04
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
+$0.15
+14.6%
$2.14
手续费: $0.01
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
+$0.15
ROI
+14.6%
交易量
$2.14
手续费: $0.01
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
-$0.11
-5.6%
$3.96
手续费: $0.08
Yes
2个月前
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
-$0.11
ROI
-5.6%
交易量
$3.96
手续费: $0.08
frontier-math-problem
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
+$0.41
+40.9%
$2.42
手续费: $0.02
Yes
2个月前
frontier-math-problem
Yes
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.41
ROI
+40.9%
交易量
$2.42
手续费: $0.02
merz-out
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
2个月前
merz-out
进行中
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
P
bank-of-japan
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
+$0.13
+13.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
P
bank-of-japan
Yes
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.13
ROI
+13.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
fed-rate-hike
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
-$1.02
-102.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Yes
2个月前
fed-rate-hike
Yes
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$1.02
ROI
-102.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
进行中
2个月前
进行中
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
进行中
2个月前
进行中
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
+$0.14
+14.4%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.14
ROI
+14.4%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
+$0.35
+35.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
2个月前
Yes
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.35
ROI
+35.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
+$0.10
+10.2%
$2.14
手续费: $0.04
No
2个月前
No
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.10
ROI
+10.2%
交易量
$2.14
手续费: $0.04
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
+$0.06
+6.4%
$1.00
No
2个月前
No
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.06
ROI
+6.4%
交易量
$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
+$0.45
+44.9%
$1.00
No
2个月前
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.45
ROI
+44.9%
交易量
$1.00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
-$0.16
-50.0%
$3.05
手续费: $0.03
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
进行中 2个月前
收益
-$0.16
ROI
-50.0%
交易量
$3.05
手续费: $0.03
fomc
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$1.01
-101.3%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
2个月前
fomc
No
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
-$1.01
ROI
-101.3%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
-$1.02
-102.5%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
No
2个月前
No
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
已结算于 5天前
收益
-$1.02
ROI
-102.5%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
+$0.98
+98.0%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Yes
2个月前
Yes
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
已结算于 5天前
收益
+$0.98
ROI
+98.0%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
—
—
$1.43
手续费: $0.07
进行中
2个月前
进行中
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
进行中 2个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.43
手续费: $0.07
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
3个月前
进行中
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
+$0.16
+15.6%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
3个月前
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.16
ROI
+15.6%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
+$0.60
+59.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
No
3个月前
No
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
已结算于 8天前
收益
+$0.60
ROI
+59.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
+$0.50
+50.2%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
3个月前
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.50
ROI
+50.2%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
+$0.13
+13.2%
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
Yes
3个月前
Yes
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
已结算于 5天前
收益
+$0.13
ROI
+13.2%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
+$1.04
+104.1%
$1.00
No
3个月前
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$1.04
ROI
+104.1%
交易量
$1.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
-$1.01
-100.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
3个月前
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
-$1.01
ROI
-100.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
-$1.02
-102.2%
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
No
3个月前
No
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
-$1.02
ROI
-102.2%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.02
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
3个月前
进行中
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
us-to-invade-iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
—
—
$1.00
进行中
3个月前
us-to-invade-iran
进行中
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$0.35
+35.1%
$1.00
No
3个月前
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
已结算于 1个月前
收益
+$0.35
ROI
+35.1%
交易量
$1.00
ai-frontiermath-score-90
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
-$3.80
-103.5%
$26.91
手续费: $0.13
Yes
3个月前
ai-frontiermath-score-90
Yes
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
-$3.80
ROI
-103.5%
交易量
$26.91
手续费: $0.13
ai-imo-gold-medal
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
—
—
$1.71
手续费: $0.05
进行中
3个月前
ai-imo-gold-medal
进行中
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
进行中 3个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.71
手续费: $0.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$2.32
+232.2%
$4.42
手续费: $0.10
Yes
3个月前
Yes
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
+$2.32
ROI
+232.2%
交易量
$4.42
手续费: $0.10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$1.17
+117.2%
$3.26
手续费: $0.09
No
3个月前
No
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
+$1.17
ROI
+117.2%
交易量
$3.26
手续费: $0.09
claude-extend
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
+$1.68
+167.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Yes
4个月前
claude-extend
Yes
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
+$1.68
ROI
+167.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
+$0.38
+37.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
4个月前
Yes
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
已结算于 2个月前
收益
+$0.38
ROI
+37.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
进行中
4个月前
进行中
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
进行中 4个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
4个月前
进行中
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
进行中 4个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
-$1.01
-100.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
4个月前
No
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
-$1.01
ROI
-100.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
ecb-interest-rates
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
+$0.23
+22.5%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
5个月前
ecb-interest-rates
Yes
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
+$0.23
ROI
+22.5%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$1.03
-102.5%
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
No
5个月前
No
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
-$1.03
ROI
-102.5%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
—
—
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.03
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
+$0.82
+81.8%
$1.00
No
5个月前
hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
已结算于 3个月前
收益
+$0.82
ROI
+81.8%
交易量
$1.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
Yes
5个月前
Yes
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
Yes
5个月前
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
-$0.74
-24.7%
$5.26
手续费: $0.24
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
-$0.74
ROI
-24.7%
交易量
$5.26
手续费: $0.24
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
—
—
$0.18
手续费: $0.01
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$0.18
手续费: $0.01
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
+$1.15
+114.6%
$4.99
手续费: $0.02
Yes
5个月前
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$1.15
ROI
+114.6%
交易量
$4.99
手续费: $0.02
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
-$0.06
-103.8%
$1.43
手续费: $0.00
No
5个月前
No
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$0.06
ROI
-103.8%
交易量
$1.43
手续费: $0.00
mythos-released
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
+$0.38
+37.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Yes
5个月前
mythos-released
Yes
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
已结算于 5个月前
收益
+$0.38
ROI
+37.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
-$1.00
-100.0%
$1.00
Yes
5个月前
Yes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.00
ROI
-100.0%
交易量
$1.00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
-$1.01
-100.8%
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
No
5个月前
No
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
已结算于 4个月前
收益
-$1.01
ROI
-100.8%
交易量
$1.00
手续费: $0.01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
—
—
$0.62
手续费: $0.03
进行中
5个月前
进行中
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
进行中 5个月前
收益
—
ROI
—
交易量
$0.62
手续费: $0.03
109 个市场
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